It was a week for upsets in the AFL on ANZAC weekend and the likes of Richmond, Essendon, Hawthorn, and Adelaide are all licking their wounds after suffering surprise defeats last weekend.
Round 5 of the 2015 AFL season is highlighted by Showdown XXXVIII between the Adelaide Crows and Port Adelaide Power, while there is also the Q Clash between the Gold Coast Suns and Brisbane Lions as well as the rivalry game between Carlton and Collingwood.
We have analysed all nine game of round 5 of the 2015 AFL season to come up with the best betting plays for the weekend!
We are giving AFL punters a favor this weekend by offering $2 favourites on every single game this Saturday, which means the likes Geelong, Sydney, Gold Coast, Hawthorn and West Coast will be available at significantly better odds with us then with any other bookmaker.
Carlton Blues vs Collingwood Magpies
Friday, May 1 – 7:50pm AEST – MCG
The rivalry between these two teams is one of the strongest in the AFL and this is always a fierce contest. Carlton recorded their first win of the season when they beat St Kilda in New Zealand last weekend, but it far from a polished performance and they face a much more difficult task against Collingwood this weekend. The Magpies produced their best performance of the season to date to beat Essendon in the wet and it was their defense that was the absolute standout, with Paul Seedsman arguably producing the best game of his career. The Magpies have won their past four meetings with Carlton and they should be able to make it five on the stretch without any problems on Friday night without any problems.
Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats
Saturday, May 2 – 1:45pm AEST – MCG
Richmond produced a simply dreadful performance to lose to Melbourne last weekend and it could be a long season for Tigers supporters if they continue to serve up that kind of tripe. It does not get any easier for the Tigers this weekend as they have a dreadful record against the Cats and have lost the past 10 games played between the two sides. Geelong have made their worst start to a season since 2004 after they were beaten by North Melbourne at home last weekend. The pressure will really be on the Cats if they lose this clash, but they need to improve their number of contested possessions accumulated, which currently sits at the bottom of the league. This is a very tricky game to analyse, but it would not surprise if the Tigers were able to bounce back and produce an outstanding performance that we know they are capable of.
Sydney Swans vs Western Bulldogs
Saturday, May 2 – 2:10pm AEST – SCG
The Western Bulldogs continue to be of the biggest surprise packages of 2015 and they produced a magnificent performance to upset Adelaide last weekend. The Bulldogs are playing outstanding football under new coach Luke Beveridge and their young players that have struggled in recent years are really firing. The Swans were extremely slow out of the blokes against Fremantle and that cost them dearly as they were clearly the best side in the second half of the game. Sydney remain one of the benchmarks in the competition and they should be able to rack up a big score this weekend as they have beaten the Bulldogs by big margins in their past six meetings.
Gold Coast Suns vs Brisbane Lions
Saturday, May 2– 5:40pm AEST – Metricon Stadium
It has not been a good start to the season for the two Queensland teams in the AFL and the loser of this clash will have the inside running for the wooden spoon. The Suns have clearly struggled without inspirational captain Gary Ablett and they were outclassed right across the park by the Greater Western Sydney Giants last weekend. There was plenty expected of the Brisbane Lions heading into the 2015 AFL season, but they have been absolutely woeful to date and have not looked like winning a game. The team has been cruelled by injuries, but their lack of commitment and softness would have to be a major concern for coach Justin Leppitsch. It is tough to have any confidence backing either of these two teams and this could be an early contender for the worst game of the season.
North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Hawthorn Hawks
Saturday, April 25 – 7:20pm AEST – Etihad Stadium
North Melbourne looked the goods against Geelong last weekend, but they face a much stiffer assignment against the Hawks on Saturday. The Kangaroos are yet to prove that they can be a top four team in 2015 and this game could prove key to their fortunes later in the season. The Hawks almost completed an impressive comeback against Port Adelaide last weekend, but their very poor start proved too much to overcome. Coach Alastair Clarkson will have his team pumped up after a controversial week and the Hawks have lost consecutive games just twice in the past two seasons. The Kangaroos beat the Hawks in their only meeting last year, but I don’t see history repeating this weekend.
West Coast Eagles vs Greater Western Sydney Giants
Saturday, May 2 – 7:40pm AEST – Domain Stadium
This is one of the most interesting games of the round and could see the Greater Western Sydney Giants stamp themselves as an outside chance of playing finals football in 2015. The Giants amazingly sit in second place against four rounds and they have played a composed form of football that is completely different to what they produced last season. They have an excellent opportunity to maintain their excellent form as they will be facing a West Coast Eagles side that is missing a number of key personnel in both midfield and defense. West Coast have won their three previous meetings with the Giants by a combined total of 292 points, but we are giving the Giants a good chance of recording an upset and they should be able to beat the spread.
Melbourne Demons vs Fremantle Dockers
Sunday, May 3 – 1:10pm AEST – MCG
The Melbourne Demons are another side that have defied expectations to date this season and they will have taken plenty of confidence from their impressive win over the Tigers last Friday night. There have been a number of false dawns for Melbourne in recent years, but they finally look to have made some progress. The Fremantle Dockers currently sit on top of the AFL ladder and they stamped themselves as the team to beat with their tough win over Sydney last weekend. Coach Ross Lyon will be concerned with the way that the Dockers have closed out their past two contests, but they keep getting results and Nathan Fyfe is now a clear Brownlow medal favourite. The Dockers have won their past five games with the Demons by an average of almost 70 points and it is tough to see Melbourne turning that around this weekend.
St Kilda Saints vs Essendon Bombers
Sunday, May 3 – 3:20pm AEST – Simonds Stadium
St Kilda have offered their supporters a glimmer of hope in the past two weeks, but this is a list that simply lacks quality at this point and both the Magpies and Blues were able to run over the top of them. A lack of respect for the football is killing this team and they face arguably their biggest test of the season to date against the Bombers. The Bombers overachieved to start the season and went into the ANZAC Clash as clear favourites, but failed to adapt their game plan to the wet conditions and were outfought by the Magpies. A lack of match practice is no longer an excuse for the Bombers and if they want to play finals football they can’t afford to drop games like this one.
Adelaide Crows vs Port Adelaide Power
Sunday, May 3 – 4:40pm AEST – Etihad Stadium
Showdown is always one of the most anticipated games of the AFL season and in 2015 both South Australian sides are genuine finals contenders. The Crows were flawless in the first three weeks of the competition, but were beaten out of the blocks convincingly by the Western Bulldogs last weekend and were never able to get back into the contest. On the other hand, Port Adelaide got off to the best possible start against the Hawks and they were able to hang on desperately in the final quarter to record their biggest win of the year. The Powes’s second-half performance was a letdown, but they have proven that at their best they can mix it with the very best in the competition. This will likely be one of the closest games of the round and because of this we believe that the Crows offer reasonable value at their quote of $2.25 and they should be able to beat the spread.
Don’t forget to take advantage of our AFL Big Hit Special! We’re offering $2 for all match favourites this Saturday. That’s boosted odds of $2 for the Cats, Swans, Suns, Hawks and Eagles!