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2015 AFL Round 13 Preview

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Round 13 of the 2015 AFL season is highlighted by a Thursday Night Blockbuster between the Fremantle Dockers and the Collingwood Magpies – a game that is vital for both sides as we move towards the business end of the season.

There are set to be a number of short-priced favourites this weekend, but we are still confident that there is plenty of value to be found across six fixtures, while the North Melbourne Kangaroos, Greater Western Sydney Giants, Port Adelaide Power, West Coast Eagles, Geelong Cars and Melbourne Demons.

Sydney  are currently priced at $1.28 to beat the West Coast, but we are offering $2 for the Swans to maintain their place in the top four with our Friday Night Footy Special!

Fremantle Dockers vs Collingwood Magpies

Thursday, June 25 – 8:10pm AEST – Domain Stadium

This is set to be an absolute ripper and will be a key indicator of both these sides premiership chances going forward. Fremantle started the season in outstanding form, but they suffered a surprise loss against Richmond and only just got home against the Gold Coast Suns before they had a week off. The Dockers will have freshened up after the bye and it will be interesting to see what level they are at following their week off. Collingwood continue to defy expectations and have won four games on the trot, but this is the biggest test that they have faced in 2015 to date. The Magpies were absolutely flogged by the Dockers last year, but they are clearly a much better side in 2015 and the likes of Dane Swan and Scott Pendlebury are back to their very best. The Dockers are deserving favourites for this clash, but the Magpies are good enough on both sides of the football to give the ladder leaders a shake and they looked well-placed to beat the line of 25.5 points.

Sydney Swans vs Richmond Tigers

Friday, June 26 – 7:50pm AEST – SCG

This is the first meeting between these two sides since Richmond’s famous victory over the Swans in the final regular season round last season. The Swans continue to win without being overly impressive this season, but coach John Longmire is sure to have his team ready for the run to the finals following their week off. Richmond’s winning streak came to an end at the hands of the West Coast Eagles last Friday night and there are still some big question marks over just how this side is. The Swans are superior to the Tigers in all key metrics, but the Tigers have a surprisingly good recent record against the Swans and they seem to be able to trouble the Swans in what are generally low-scoring affairs. The odds look to be just about right for both these teams, but there is definitely value in the under option in the Over/Under betting market.

Hawthorn Hawks vs Essendon Bombers

Saturday, June 27 – 1:40pm AEST – MCG

Essendon beat Hawthorn in round two earlier this season, but the chances of the Bombers replicating that victory appear fairly slim. Hawthorn showed glimpses of their brilliant best against the Adelaide Crows last weekend and are still yet to put together four strong quarters of football, but loom as the major dangers to Fremantle and Sydney. Essendon have fallen in a heap in the last month and the never-ending drug saga continues to be a massive drain on the football club. The Bombers midfield have had no problems accumulating possessions during their losing run, but their ability in front of goal has been absolutely embarrassing and there is little chance of them scoring enough points to beat the Hawks. The Hawks are easily the safest bet of the weekend and should be included in all multi bets.

Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows

Saturday, June 27 – 4:35pm AEST – The Gabba

The Adelaide Crows were far from disgraced against Hawthorn last weekend and they have an excellent chance to return to winning form against the Brisbane Lions this weekend. Patrick Dangerfield was at his brilliant best on Thursday night and the Lions have no chance of stopping the superstar if he produces a similar effort this weekend. Injuries continue to plague the Brisbane Lions and they completely fell apart last Saturday to suffer a big defeat at the hands of the Western Bulldogs. The Crows are a much better side than the Bulldogs and the Lions will have to produce a much more spirited performance to avoid another big defeat.  Brisbane have played well at The Gabba so far this season, but the $1.30 on offer for the Crows represents good value and they are a good bet to beat the line of 24 and a half points.

St Kilda Saints vs Western Bulldogs

Saturday, June 27 – 7:20pm AEST – Etihad Stadium

Both these sides have performed far better than expected in 2015 to date and this will be a very interesting game due to the exciting football played by these two teams. The Western Bulldogs looked to have regressed in the past six week, but they returned to outstanding form with a strong all-round team effort against the Lions last Saturday night. St Kilda showed that they were no longer wooden spoon contenders when they beat the Western Bulldogs in round 5 and they will be fresh off a bye following their thrilling victory over the Melbourne Demons. Billy Longer has stamped himself as one of the most promising ruck men in the AFL in 2015 and his personal battle with Will Minson could go a long way to deciding the winner of this encounter. The Western Bulldogs have won only two of their past nine clashes with St Kilda, but they should be able to get the job done this weekend.

Carlton Blues vs Gold Coast Suns

Sunday, June 28 – 3:20pm AEST – Etihad Stadium

Fans of both these teams would have been hoping at the start of the season that this would be a clash between two finals contenders, but instead this game could instead decide the winner of the wooden spoon. Carlton will head into this game on a high after their impressive victory over Port Adelaide last weekend and nobody can argue that the side isn’t playing much better football under caretaker coach John Barker. Whether they can replicate that effort in back-to-back wins is another question, but they still have a clear edge over the Suns in a number of key metrics. The Suns have been woeful throughout 2015, but they will take plenty of hope from the return of inspirational captain Gary Ablett. The return of Ablett may not be enough to get the Gold Coast over the line in this contest, but there is no doubt that the Suns are a much better side with Ablett in it. Carlton have been the best centre clearance team in the AFL this season, despite their generally poor form, and that gives them a clear edge over the Suns. The Blues can make it two wins on a trot this weekend and they are great value at their current quote of $1.55.

Don’t forget about our $2 Friday Night Football Special! We’re offering a whopping $2 for the Swans to roll Richmond this Friday night.

Tips, recommendations and commentary are for entertainment only. We provide no warranty about accuracy or completeness. You should make your own assessment before placing a bet.