2015 AFL Round 21 Preview


Fremantle were unable to secure the minor premiership thanks to their loss in a spiteful Western Derby last weekend and just about every other position in the top eight is still up for grabs.

Hawthorn remain clear favourites to take out their third straight AFL Premiership and they get proceedings underway in round 21 against Port Adelaide on Friday night, while there are a number of other key games spaced out right across the weekend.

We have analysed every game across round 21 of the 2015 AFL season and we have come up with a number of betting plays.

Hawthorn are clear favourites to beat Port Adelaide this weekend, but we are offering $2 for the Hawks to win by 15 points or more!

Hawthorn Hawks vs Port Adelaide Power

Friday, August 21 – 7:50pm AEST – Etihad Stadium

Port Adelaide upset Hawthorn at the Adelaide Oval earlier this season, but a great deal has changed since. The Hawks have won ten of their past 11 games and they had no problems disposing of a resurgent Geelong last weekend. Hawthorn forwards have been electric in recent weeks and they will prove very tough to stop once again. Port Adelaide did enough to beat the Greater Western Sydney Giants last weekend, but they are still extremely unlikely to play finals football and they may not have the motivation that is required to beat the outright premiership favourites. Hawthorn will win this game, but they are far too short at their current quote of $1.10 and the Power look like a good bet to beat the line of 46.5 points.

Collingwood Magpies vs Richmond Tigers

Saturday, August 22 – 1:45pm AEST – MCG

Richmond ended their poor run against Collingwood with a narrow win in round seven and they will take plenty of confidence into this fixture. The Tigers bounced back from their poor effort against the Adelaide Crows to beat the Gold Coast Suns in very comfortable fashion last Sunday and that effort suggests they will have little problems dealing with the Magpies. Collingwood were far from disgraced again against Sydney last weekend, but they were still unable to get the job done and their inability to win close games has plagued them all season long. The battle between these two exciting midfields will be good to watch, but the Tigers have too much quality right across the park and they look like a good bet to beat the current line of 13.5 points.

Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Sydney Swans

Saturday, August 22 – 2:10pm AEST – Spotless Stadium

The Sydney Derby has developed into a competitive fixture in the last couple of seasons, but the Swans will be very confident that they can beat their cross-town rivals and remain in the hunt for a top four finish. The Giants have been absolutely savaged by injuries in the second half of the season and they have battled on bravely, but it is starting to take its toll. The Swans have injury problems of their own following the broken leg suffered by Luke Parker last weekend, but this is a midfield that is full of quality and they have the depth to cover this loss. Poor kicking cost the Giants in their meeting with the Swans earlier this season, but I don’t think it will be as close this weekend and the Swans should be able to record a fairly comfortable 20 point win.

Gold Coast Suns vs Essendon Bombers

Saturday, August 22 – 4:35pm AEST – Metricon Stadium

James Hird has finally resigned as Essendon Bombers Head Coach and it will be very interesting to see how the Bombers respond this weekend. The Bombers haven’t look interested in playing football over the past two months, but this could be the change that they need to return to winning form. The Gold Coast Suns were completely outclassed by Richmond last Sunday afternoon after a promising start and there is very little left for them to salvage this season. This is easily the toughest game of the weekend to analyse, but we are banking on the Bombers taking advantage of the caretaker coach boost and they look like good value at their current quote of $2.80.

St Kilda Saints vs Geelong Cats

Saturday, August 22– 7:20pm AEST – Etihad Stadium

Geelong simply must win this game in order to keep pace with the top eight and it will be just about curtains if they are unable to get the job done this weekend. The Cats looked to be building towards a finals run, but they were brought crashing back to earth by Hawthorn last weekend. In saying that, this is a far easier assignment and the Saints were far from impressive against North Melbourne. The Saints have exceeded expectations this season, but they look to have faded slightly in recent weeks and they could struggle again on Saturday. The Cats have won their past five meetings with St Kilda and it is tough to see that streak ending this weekend.

Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions

Saturday, August 22 – 7:40pm AEST – Adelaide Oval

The Brisbane Lions pulled themselves off the bottom of the AFL ladder with a big win over Carlton last Saturday night and they could be a sneaky underdog chance this weekend. The Lions were almost able to pull off an upset against the Crows in round 13 earlier this year and they have the ability, at times, to trouble a free-flowing team like the Crows. However, the Crows showed no mercy to a hapless Essendon last weekend and put on a massive 171 points and they still have motivation to score big wins as percentage could prove key in the battle for a position in the top eight. The Crows are extremely likely to continue their winning run, but it would not surprise if the Lions gave this a shake and they are a good bet to bet the line of 44.5 points.

North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Fremantle Dockers

Sunday, August 23 – 1:10pm AEST – Etihad Stadium

This is easily the game of the round and it will be a true test of just where North Melbourne are at. The Kangaroos have come from nowhere to record six wins on the trot and a number of the more fancied sides may be keen to avoid them in the early stages of the finals. The Dockers were relatively flat against the West Coast Eagles last weekend and the question has to be asked – did they peak too soon? Ross Lyon will have his players fired up for this clash and if they were playing in Perth you would favour the Dockers, but the fact the game is being played at Etihad Stadium does give the Roos a chance. However, it is hard to ignore the $1.85 that is currently on offer for the Dockers and they should be able to win a close, low-scoring affair.

Carlton Blues vs Melbourne Demons

Sunday, August 23 – 3:20pm AEST – MCG

It is very hard to get excited about this game. Carlton now look likely to win the wooden spoon and there is few that would argue that they are not deserving of the title. They were woeful against the Lions last weekend and they really need to show something to take anything from this season. The promising signs that the Demons produced earlier this season have now been forgotten and the Paul Roos era is coming to an end with a thud. No team has produced a worse single quarter performance than the Demons did against the Bulldogs last weekend and they looked to have completely checked out this season. You can’t trust any of these teams and it is very hard to find anything worth betting on in this encounter.

West Coast Eagles vs Western Bulldogs

Sunday, August 23 – 4:40pm AEST – Domain Stadium

This is the most important game of the round and will go a long way to deciding the exact makeup of the top four. The West Coast Eagles kept Hawthorn at bay for another week to maintain second position and if they win this fixture they should be able to cruise to a second place finish. The Western Bulldogs remain in fourth following their big win over the Demons last weekend, but if they lose this game they could be leapfrogged by Sydney and even on points with Richmond and North Melbourne. The Bulldogs have only played one other top eight side since round seven and this is a huge test, which is not made easier by the fact that they face a testing trip to Perth. You have to stick with the Eagles this weekend and they should be able to beat the line of 18.5 points fairly comfortably.

Don’t forget about our $2 Friday Night Football Special! We’re offering a whopping $2 for the Hawks to roll the Power by more than 15 points this Friday night.

Tips, recommendations and commentary are for entertainment only. We provide no warranty about accuracy or completeness. You should make your own assessment before placing a bet.