Sports Tips

2016 Tour de France Betting Preview

Facebooktwittermail

The Tour de France has exploded in popularity in Australia in the past decade and there will be plenty of late nights for Le Tour fans in the next three weeks.

Chris Froome has won two of the past three editions of the Tour de France and he is in the race again, but he is not as short a favourite as he has been in recent years and this is expected to be a very competitive edition.

There are four jerseys on the line at the Tour de France and we have betting markets for all four, so I have analysed a wide range of riders in this year’s event to come up with the best betting plays.

Yellow Jersey

Christopher Froome ($2.25) is a narrow favourite in our 2016 Tour de France betting market from Nairo Quintana ($2.75), Alberto Contador ($5.50), Fabio Aru ($17) and Richie Porte ($19).

Froome clearly had the measure of his rivals last year and he looks like an excellent chance of winning his third Yellow Jersey.

This year’s edition of the tour is set to advantage the big climbers and there is no climber in the world that can compete with Froome when he is at his best.

When you add in the fact that he has easily the strongest support crew in Team Sky, he is an outstanding bet to get the job done and there is definite value at his current price of $2.25.

Froome showed his dominance at the Critérium du Dauphiné and the only cyclist that was able to match him on the biggest climbs was former teammate Richie Porte.

Porte is a very inconsistent cyclist, but he has limitless upside and if he is able to maintain his concentration throughout the three weeks he has every chance of finishing on the podium.

Recommended Bets: Back Christopher Froome @ $2.25 & Richie Porte @ $19

King Of The Mountains

The King Of The Mountains is always the most competitive classification at the Tour de France and that is the case again in 2016, with Nairo Quintana ($5.50) a narrow favourite from Chris Froome ($7.50), Pierre Rolland ($11), Joaqium Rodriguez ($13) and Alberto Contador ($15).

It was Froome that took home the Polka Dot jersey in the Tour De France last year and the number of big climbs that feature in Le Tour this year suggests that it will be a general classification contender that wins the Polka Dot jersey again.

Quintana may be the favourite in this betting market, but once again it is tough to go past Froome.

He won the jersey by 11 points from Quintana last year and it really would not surprise if they fought out the finish in this classification again, so there are worst betting plays than backing both of the two yellow jersey contenders.

Recommended Bets: Back Chris Froome @ $7.50

Points Classification

Peter Sagan has not won a stage at the Tour de France since 2013, but no sprinter in the world can match his consistency and he has won the past four editions of the Points Classification.

It should come as no surprise that he is a clear favourite and he is available at a quote of $1.62 from Marcel Kittel ($5.50), Andre Greipel ($7.50) and Nacer Bouhanni ($17).

Greipel and Kittel will both win more stages than Sagan – Kittel in particular looks like an excellent bet in the opening stage – but neither of them can match Sagan for consistency and they haven’t got close to him in recent years.

There is nothing to suggest that Sagan can’t make it five wins on the trot and he is the safest bet in the race.

Recommended Bet: Back Peter Sagan To Win @ $1.62

Young Rider

Nairo Quintana won the Young Riders Classification in dominant fashion 12 months ago, but he is no longer eligible for this classification and that makes this a much more open affair.

Warren Barguil ($2) is currently a clear favourite from Adam Yates ($4), Loius Meintjes and Wilco Kelderman ($7), but it is French youngster Julian Alaphilippe that appeals at his current odds of $21.

Alaphilippe won the Tour Of California earlier this year and he upstaged Yates to take out the   Criterium du Dauphine in the lead-up to the Tour de France.

This is his first time at a Grand Tour and it is obviously a big step-up for the youngster, but he can’t be ignored at such generous odds.

Recommended Bet: Back Julian Alaphilippe To Win @ $21

 

Tips, recommendations and commentary are for entertainment only. We provide no warranty about accuracy or completeness. You should make your own assessment before placing a bet.