Morphettville Racing Preview

2017 South Australian Derby Day Preview

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Race 1 - 12:35pm

Autumn Series Final (1400m)

Act Of Valour returned to winning form with a smart performance at Morphettville Parks last start and there is no reason that he can’t win again. He has drawn wide, but he has shown throughout his that he has plenty of tactical versatility and the in-form Damian Lane will have plenty of options in the early stages of the race. He still has the scope to improve on his last start effort and that will make him very tough to beat.

2.5 Units Act Of Valour

Race 2 - 1:10pm

Group 3 SA Sires’ Produce Stakes (1400m)

This is an interesting edition of the South Australia Sires’ Produce Stakes and there are a number of winning chances. Broadband stamped herself as a filly to watch with a dominant front-running victory in the Breeders’ Stakes and as long as she can run out a strong 1400 metres she will be very tough to beat. The main danger looks to be Darren Weir-trained Snitzepeg. He romped home to win by five lengths at Ballarat last start and he is a typical horse from that stable that has a wealth of upside. He will also be right on the speed in the early stages of the race. I am happy to back them both at the current prices on offer.

2.5 Units Broadband

1.5 Units Snitzepeg

Race 3 - 1:50pm

Drink Driving Grow Up Handicap (1050m)

The key to this race could be the gifted Samara Dancer. She looked like a star in the making as an older horse, but didn’t really come on during the Spring. It looks as though they are now training her exclusively as a sprinter – all her best form has been over short trips – and she flies fresh. This is a competitive race, but on her best form she has a class edge over this field and if she is placed correctly she could be in for a big preparation.

1.5 Units Samara Dancer

Race 4 - 2:30pm

SA Sprint Series Final (1100m)

This looks a lovely race for Strategic Demand. He went to another level during his summer preparation and he was excellent first-up over 1000 metres. The Strategic gelding always takes a big step forward second-up and the step-up to 1100 metres is a positive. He gets back in the run anyway and the wide barrier draw simply allows Clare Lindop to build-up momentum a long way from home. He will be tough to hold out late.

2 Units Strategic Demand

Race 5 - 3:10pm

Southaustralia.com Handicap (1200m)

There are plenty of winning chances in what the market shows is an incredibly open race. You can a case for a majority of the runners in this field and there are significant question marks over a number of the key chances. This is not a race that I can bet into with any real confidence.

No Bet

Race 6 - 3:50pm

Listed Adelaide Guineas (1600m)

Petition is a filly with an enormous amount of ability and she is deserving of her status as dominant favourite. She raced well without winning during her maiden racing preparation and she has gone to another level this campaign. The Foxwedge filly broke her maiden with a very comfortable win at Geelong and she ran serious time when she won at Flemington last start. This is a step-up in class, but she has an explosive turn-of-foot and she will be very tough to hold-out late.

5 Units Petition

Race 7 - 4:25pm

Group 1 South Australian Derby (2500m)

The South Australian Derby is never the strongest race, but it is always an interesting betting affair and that is definitely the case this weekend. You can make a case for a number of the horses in this field and there is plenty of value to be found. Ruthven has not won this preparation, but he has raced in very tough company and he does look well-placed in the South Australian Derby. He was not disgraced when fourth behind Jon Snow in the Australian Derby and he will appreciate the step back-up in trip following his second place finish at Caulfield last start.

Two other horses that appeal at double-figure odds are Savvy Dreams and Sedanzer. Sedanzer is on the quick back-up following her fifth place finish in the Australasian Oaks and this is a weaker race than that. Gai Waterhouse has an excellent record getting horses to fire on the quick back-up – especially when they are stepping up in trip.

Savvy Dreams had no luck whatsoever when she made her Australian racing debut in the Auraria Stakes, but before that she was a more than credible third in the New Zealand Oaks. If she is able to return to that sort of form she will be right in this finish at a juicy price.

1.5 Units Ruthven

½ Unit Sedanzer

½ Unit Savvy Dreams

¼ Unit Wheal Leisure

Race 8 - 5:00pm

Provincial Super Series Final (1800m)

Lieder joined the stable of Michael Hickmott after he won at the Gold Coast on March and he justified his favouritism to record a dominant victory at Murray Bridge last start. This really does not look like a particularly strong race and if he is able to replicate his last start effort he should prove too strong for this relatively average bunch. The wide barrier draw is the only query and he will get a long way back, but he does have a turn-of-foot and can finish over the top of his rivals.

2.5 Units Lieder

Tips, recommendations and commentary are for entertainment only. We provide no warranty about accuracy or completeness. You should make your own assessment before placing a bet.