The 2017 Queensland Derby is one of a number of outstanding betting races set to take place at Doomben on Saturday.
Of the three Group 1 events on the Doomben card this weekend, the Queensland Derby is easily the most open and you can make a case for the majority of the horses in the event.
This is a very tricky race for punters, but we have done the hard work for you and you can find our complete 2017 Queensland Derby tips below.
Volatile Mix won the South Australian Derby two starts ago and he was only narrowly denied by Order Again after storming home in the Grand Prix Stakes. He would have been very tough to beat if this race was held over 2400 metres at Eagle Farm, but the shorter distance and the fact that the race is at Doomben does make it tougher for him. He is still one of the leading contenders, but he maps to get a long way back and it is tough to get him as short as his current price.
Ruthven looked like the winner at the top of the straight in the South Australian Derby before he died on his run in the last 100 metres. The fact that the distance has been reduced from 2400 metres to 2200 metres is a big bonus for him and that does make him one of the leading chances. He has not been far away at Group 1 level throughout his Autumn Racing Carnival campaign and this really does look like his chance to break through. He maps to get a lovely run right on the speed and he has the benefit of Hugh Bowman in the saddle.
Black On Gold
Black On Gold was one of a number of horses that failed in the Grand Prix Stakes, but I am happy to put the pen through that form. Before that he had improved each time that he had been seen at the races this preparation, but he would still need to improve again to be a genuine winning chance in the Queensland Derby.
It is tough to know what to make of Mongolian Wolf. His Australian debut in the Frank Packer Plate was excellent, but he was very poor in the Noel Rundle Handicap at Caulfield. There is no doubt that he is a horse with a fair amount of talent, but it is very tough to back him off his last start effort.
Violate continues to race well without winning, but I don’t think that he has the same amount of upside as some of the other horses in this field. He should run well once again, but I couldn’t back him to win at his current price.
Shocking Luck is currently on top of our Queensland Derby betting market and he is deserving of that status. He returns to Doomben where he bolted in to win the Rough Habit Plate and he is another horse that is advantaged by the transferred meeting. He never had a chance taking up the running in the worst part of the track in the Grand Prix Stakes and if it was not for that run he would be an even shorter favourite. He makes his own luck right on the speed and he can deliver the Kiwis another big Group 1 win in Australia.
Fontein Lad recorded a tough win at Ipswich last weekend and he has been a consistent performer this preparation. He will have no problems running out the trip strongly and he is one of the fittest horses in the race. The Turffontein gelding represents a touch of value at his current quote.
A fair bit was expected from Sizzling Bullet at the start of his 2017 Sydney Autumn Racing Carnival campaign, but he hasn’t really gone on with the job. His last start effort at Royal Randwick was fairly plain and he is yet to really show that he is capable of winning at this level.
Monasterio produced a career best performance to win at Royal Randwick last start and he is a horse that is heading in the right direction, but he would need to improve significantly again.
Wu Gok steps-up in class significantly after finishing third at Scone last start. He is a fit horse that is owned by the same connections as Queensland Oaks winner Egg Tart, but he is another that will need to improve.
Here He Comes
Here He Comes is the other New Zealand-trained runner in the Queensland Derby field. He did beat Shocking Luck home in the Grand Prix Stakes, but he doesn’t have the same upside as his countryman.
Rockstar Rebel is the second Darren Weir-trained horse in the 2017 Queensland Derby field. This is a big step-up from his win at Ballarat last start, but he has plenty of kilometres in his legs and you can never count out Darren Weir.
Garbhan was very poor last start at Royal Randwick and he is yet to show that he is up to this level.
Shine Tak Star
Shine Take Star produced an extremely flat effort at Ipswich last start and it is very tough to back him off that effort.
Dazzle Em Sid
Dazzle Em Sid produced a career best performance to finish fifth in the Grand Prix Stakes and there are obvious question marks over that form.
Ana Royale is one of the most interesting runners in the Queensland Derby field. She was never really able to find clear running in the Queensland Oaks last weekend and if she did so probably would have finished in the placings. The problem for Ana Royale is that she maps to settle a long way back on the rail again and it is very different to win from there at Doomben.
Shadow Vision was beaten a very long way in both the Rough Habit Plate and the Grand Prix Stakes. He looks outclassed in a race of this quality.
Mandalay Bay is the second emergency in the 2017 Queensland Derby field. He rarely runs a bad race, but doesn’t have the class to win at this level.
Top Of The Range
Top Of The Range is the third emergency in the 2017 Queensland Derby field.
The Barracuda is the fourth emergency in the 2017 Queensland Derby field.
Wake Up Victa
Wake Up Victa is the fifth emergency in the 2017 Queensland Derby field.