The 2017 Tour de France gets underway on Saturday and Richie Porte is a genuine chance to deliver Australia our second ever Tour de France victory.
Three-time winner Chris Froome ($2.38) is currently a narrow favourite in betting, but there has been plenty of support for Porte and he is on the second line of betting at a quote of $2.63.
Can Porte join Cadel Evans as an Australian winner of the Tour de France? We have analysed all the key betting markets and our complete 2017 Tour de France tips can be found below.
There really does look to be only three serious contenders and Richie Porte really does look like the value.
Froom has been excellent at the Tour de France in recent years, but he has looked a touch vulnerable during 2017 to date and he was shown up by Porte at the Criterium du Dauphine.
Team Sky are not as strong as they once were and they will be able to dominate the race like they have in the race.
Nario Quintana is the strongest climber in the field, but it is incredibly tough to target both the Giro d’Italia and the Tour de France and he has done exactly that this year.
The recent history of the Tour de France is littered with Giro winners that were unable to maintain that level of form in France.
That leaves Porte.
He is a superior climber to Froom and the fact that there is such a lack of time trial kilometres is a big advantage.
His one weakness is that he will lack the support that the likes of Froom and Quintana will receive and that was definitely a factor in his defeat at the Criterium du Dauphine.
However, the likes of Cadel Evans have shown that you don’t need the strongest team to win the Tour de France and Porte may never have a better opportunity to wear the Yellow Jersey into Paris.
Recommended Bets: Back Richie Porte @ $2.53
King Of The Mountains
The King Of The Mountains is always the most competitive classification at the Tour de France and that should be the case again in 2017.
Thibaut Pinot ($4.33) is currently a clear favourite from Rafal Majka ($7) and there is then a big drop back to the likes of Pierre Rolland ($11) and Thomas De Gendt ($13).
Pinot is a favourite for a reason and he looks as though he will be very tough to beat for the Polka Dot jersey.
The Frenchmen has indicated that winning the King Of The Mountains is his major goal at the 2017 Tour de France and he certainly has the climbing ability to do just that.
He was a key player on the big mountain stages at the Giro and the fact that he is not targeting the general classification means that he can pick and choose his battles in the mountains.
That will make him very tough to beat.
Recommended Bets: Back Thibaut Pinot To Win @ $4.33
Peter Sagan has dominated the Points Classification in recent years and he is a dominant favourite to equal Erik Zabel’s record of six Points Classification wins.
Marcel Kittel is on the second line of betting at $3.50 and there is then a big gap to Arnaud Demare ($13).
Sagan has never really looked like being beaten in the Points Classification and he dominated Kittel 12 months ago – a repeat seems highly likely.
He is incredibly consistent and it really is only injury that can deny him an historic victory.
Recommended Bet: Back Peter Sagan To Win @ $1.53
The Young Rider classification does look like a genuine race in two between Louis Meintjes and Simon Yates and the market has priced them accordingly.
Yates finished sixth in the Vuelta a Espana last year, but his two previous performances at the Tour de France did leave a little bit to be desired and he is unproven in this environment.
Meintjes made his Tour de France debut 12 months ago and he finished eighth, while he once again comes into the race on the back of a very solid effort at the Criterium du Dauphine.
The South African is clearly the rider to beat and really should be a much shorter favourite.
Recommended Bet: Back Louis Meintjes To Win @ $2