The Moir Stakes headlines a big night of racing at The Valley for the inaugural Ladbrokes Friday Night Lights meeting and the Group 1 event is packed full of talent.
Golden Slipper winner She Will Reign will take on the older horses in her racing return, but it is McEwen Stakes winner Russian Revolution that is a narrow favourite.
Can Russian Revolution claim another Group 1 victory or will She Will Reign become the first filly to win the race since 2005? We have analysed every horse in the field and our Moir Stakes tips can be found below!
Terravista failed to fire in both the Newmarket Handicap and the T.J. Smith Stakes last campaign, but it should not be forgotten that he won the Black Caviar Lightning Stakes first-up in the Autumn over 1000 metres, while he has six wins from nine first-up starts. His racing style doesn’t really suit The Valley and he will need luck in running, but you can’t rule him out at $16.
Malaguerra is another horse that flies fresh and he has recorded four wins from five first-up starts. He bolted in to win the Australia Stakes in the Autumn first-up and this race is tougher, but he is proven that he is up to Group 1 company. The wide barrier draw is something of a concern and he will likely need a peach of a ride from Ben Melham. He still goes into this clash as genuine contender and he is another horse that represents value at his current price.
Voodoo Lad was excellent in The Heath first-up, but he was left flat-footed when they sprinted in the Bobbie Lewis Quality. Although he has won at this distance before, I don’t really fancy him as a 1000 metres horses – especially at this level.
Rock Magic is a consistent sprinter from Perth and we have seen how well horses from the West have performed in Melbourne over the past two years. He finished fourth in the William Reid Stakes in the Autumn, but this is tougher. I expect him to run a nice race as he always does, but he would need to go to another level to win.
Russian Revolution returned to the races with a very classy win in the McEwen Stakes at The Valley last start and he looked like he still had plenty of improvement left in him. He is a horse that is capable of sitting on a fast tempo before showed a sensational turn-of-foot when asked for an extra effort and that is exactly what he is going to have to do in the Moir Stakes. He does have the tactical speed required to press across from the wide barrier draw and I am confident that we can see a repeat of the Moir Stakes.
The majority of Derryn’s best form has come on wet tracks and he has only recorded the one win from his eight starts on a good surface. Even his best form would probably not be good enough to win a race of this quality.
Jungle Edge is in a similar position to Derryn, but even more so – the horse is a genuine wet-tracker. His first-up run in the Carlyon Stakes was very plain.
1000 metres is something of a query for Faatinah and he will likely need plenty of luck in running from barrier one. He does race well fresh and he is capable of a high-rating performance on his day, but I can’t have him in this race.
Joao Moreira will take the ride on Sheidel in the Moir Stakes and he does have an excellent record on the talented mare. She was well-backed in The Heath and it looked a lovely race for her, but her performance was fairly flat and it is tough to back her in a race of this qualify off that sort of effort.
Viddora is the 1000 metres specialist in this field and five of her six career wins have come over this distance. The question is whether she has the class to win the Moir Stakes and the answer to that is probably no, but it wouldn’t surprise if she ran a nice race.
Heatherly is back for another crack at the Moir Stakes after she finished second behind Extreme Choice 12 months ago. She will take up the running in the early stages of the Moir Stakes and she will give a sight, but she will need to improve on her McEwen Stakes effort to have any chance of turning-the-tables on Russian Revolution.
Sweet Sherry has produced some of the best performances of her career at The Valley and she does have plenty of speed. She smashed the clock when she worked at The Valley before Ladbrokes Cox Plate Qualifier Day, but this is a tough race and is probably beyond her.
She Will Reign
She Will Reign is the x-factor in this race and she is currently on the second line of our Moir Stakes betting markets. History is against She Will Reign and I am keen to take a firm stand against her in this race. No Golden Slipper winner since Pierro has gone on to win another Group 1 and Houtzen showed in the McEwen Stakes how tough it is for three-year-olds fillies to take the step-up to open company. She could be a genuine star and prove me wrong, but I can’t possibly get her anywhere near as short as her current price.
Hellbent is the first emergency in the Moir Stakes field and he needs a scratching to earn a start. He failed to fire in the McEwen Stakes and it is tough to back him off that effort.
Supido is the second emergency in the Moir Stakes field. I am yet to be convinced that he is a genuine Group 1 horse and he hasn’t really taken the next step.
Super Cash is the third emergency in the Moir Stakes field and he is unlikely to get start.
Ability has been absolutely flying this campaign and has recorded four wins on the trot, but unless there are four scratchings won’t get a run at Group 1 level.