Race 1 - 12:05pm
Don’t Give A Damn would have been a genuine winning chance in the Anniversary Highway and he does look well-placed to make it two wins on the trot in the Highway Consolation. His only defeat to date came at the hands of Suncraze and he romped in to win by six and a half lengths at Rosehill Gardens last start. He has drawn wide, but he does have the early speed required to cross his rivals to take up the running and if he does that he will be very tough to run down.
3 Units Don’t Give A Damn
Race 2 - 12:40pm
Breeders Stakes placegetter Santos is on the top of Victory Vein Plate betting and the colt did have genuine excuses in his racing debut. The issue is that nine of the 12 horses in this field will be making their racing debuts in the Victory Vein Plate and that makes it difficult to bet into this race with any real confidence.
Race 3 - 1:15pm
Regimen has recorded three wins from her four race starts to date and she is a filly that still looks to have plenty of upside. I like the fact that trainer James Cummings has elected to give her a barrier trial in between race starts and she will get a lovely run right on the speed in a race that doesn’t look to have a great deal of pace. She can claim a maiden black-type win in the Reginald Allen Quality and it wouldn’t surprise to see her end up in better races than this one.
2.5 Units Regimen
Race 4 - 1:50pm
The Anniversary Highway Handicap has drawn a capacity field and luck in running is going to prove crucial. Suncraze was tagged as something of a non-winner at the start of his career, but he now looks to have put it altogether and he has recorded two wins on the trot. He beat Don’t Give A Damn to win at his last start and he came out and won his next race start by six and a half lengths. I like the fact that trainer Melanie O’Gorman has freshen him up with a trial and there is no horse in this field with more upside. He can make it three wins in the trot with another Highway Handicap win.
2.5 Units Suncraze
Race 5 - 2:25pm
The Star Mile is a very interesting betting race. Invincibella has opened as a clear favourite and it really is tough to get her as short as her current quote. She was excellent first-up, but she has only three wins from her 16 race starts and she is a mare that often seems to get herself into trouble. Oklahoma Girl savaged the line when she returned to the races at Rosehill Gardens and the form coming out of the race has been strong. She will relish the step-up to 1600 metres and she is great value at her current price.
Dark Eyes failed to fire in the Shannon Stakes first-up, but he is a much better performance that that horse suggests. He normally takes a big step forward second-up and there is no way that he should be as long as his current quote of $26.
1.5 Units Oklahoma Girl
½ Unit Dark Eyes
Race 6 - 3:00pm
Big Duke finished a close second behind Foundry in The Metropolitan and he has an excellent opportunity to go one better in the Heineken 3 St Leger Stakes. He produced one of the best performances of his career when he won over this track in distance in the Chairman’s Handicap in the Autumn and he maps to get a lovely trail into this race with Brenton Avdulla in the saddle. He has a clear edge over the horses that he beat in The Metropolitan.
The JRA Cup was not run to suit Foundation at The Valley and he is a much better horse than that performance suggests. He was heading in the right direction before that run and if he can return to the sort of form that he showed at the start of his career in Europe, he will be right in this contest at a juicy price.
3.5 Units Big Duke
½ Unit Foundation
Race 7 - 3:35pm
The Sydney Stakes may be one of the strongest Listed races that has ever been run in Australia. This is a truly fascinating race that is full of quality gallopers, but it is hard to go past In Her Time. She beat a stronger field than this to win the Premiere Stakes last start – the winner of The Everest could very well come out of that race – and she is a mare that has simply gone to another level in the past 12 months. Her tactical versatility gives Corey Brown plenty of options in the early stages of this race.
It will be very interesting to see how Trapeze Artist fares against the older horses. His victory in the Golden Rose Stakes was enormous, but that was something of a spike performance and that race was run at a truly brutal tempo. I would want to see him produce something like that again before backing him in a race of this quality.
3 Units In Her Time
Race 8 - 4:15pm
The Everest concept has already proven to be a big success in its first year and the inaugural edition of the race is a truly fascinating betting affair. She Will Reign is the current favourite in our The Everest betting market and my betting strategy in this race will be centred around taking on the talented filly. Her victory in the Moir Stakes could hardly have been more impressive to the eye, but they didn’t run great overall time and the fact that she only narrowly beat Viddora does make you question the quality of that form reference.
Vega Magic has been simply outstanding since he joined the Lindsay Park team and he has three wins from as many starts for his new stable. He carried a big weight to win the Regal Roller Stakes first-up and he was nothing short of dominant in the Memsie Stakes. The scary thing is that he still has the upside to improve on that effort and if he does that he will go to a level that can only be matched by one other horse in this field. The issue for Vega Magic is the awkward barrier draw and there is definitely a scenario where he could be three wide early, but he is a versatile horse and that gives Craig Williams plenty of options.
The x-factor in The Everest is Chautauqua and you can never rule him out in 1200 metre event at Royal Randwick. All of his best performances have been over this track and distance and if is able to perform at his best he is the horse to beat. Neither The Shorts nor the Premiere Stakes have been run to suit, but he still found the line nicely in both those starts and there was nothing wrong with his closing sectionals. There is no doubt that The Everest has always been his major target and it would not surprise to see him return to his best.
One horse that will not need luck in running is Redzel and the improvement that he has made over the past 12 months has been nothing short of outstanding. He raises the bar every time that he is seen at the races and he has run his rivals off his feet in both the Concorde Stakes and The Shorts. There is no horse that can go with him early if Kerrin McEvoy elects to take up the running and they will have a very difficult time running him down if he is able to pinch a gap at the top of the straight.
I am keen to take on She Will Reign by backing Vega Magic, Chautauqua and Redzel for a positive results.
1.5 Units Vega Magic
1.5 Units Chautauqua
1.5 Units Redzel
Race 9 - 4:45pm
Racing New South Wales upped the prizemoney of the Craven Plate in an attempt to keep Winx in Sydney, but it now looks set to be a benefit for Happy Clapper. He has been nothing short of outstanding during his 2017 Spring Racing Carnival campaign and he was able to secure a well-deserved Group 1 victory in the Epsom Handicap. Before that he gave Winx a serious race in the George Main Stakes and there is no doubt that he is in career best form. He has never run over 2000 metres, but he was place in a Queen Elizabeth Stakes and most of his runs at this trip have come up against the very best company. It is incredibly tough to see him getting beaten.
6 Units Happy Clapper
Race 10 - 5:30pm
This is a very open race and a tough way to finish the day for punters. This is not a race that I am overly keen to get too heavily involved in as there are plenty of winning chances, but Accepted is a horse with x-factor. He struggled for consistency in Hong Kong, but he is a genuine 1000 metres that has produced a couple of high-rating performances during his racing career. His first trial for new trainer Gary Moore was good and he is worth a gamble at the current price.
½ Unit Accepted