What more is there that can be said about The Everest?
This time last year it didn’t even exist and Racing New South Wales has done a truly remarkable job to quickly turn this race into one of the highlights of the 2017 Spring Racing Carnival.
12 of the best sprinters will do battle for $10 million in prizemoney at Royal Randwick on Saturday and this truly is one of the toughest betting races you will ever see.
You can make a case for just about every horse in the 2017 The Everest field, but we have done the hard work for you and our complete 2017 The Everest tips can be found below!
The critics have come for Chautauqua once again and there is no question that he isn’t right at his best, but you can never rule him out of contention over the 1200 metres course at Royal Randwick. Neither The Shorts nor the Premiere Stakes have been run to suit him, but he has still been able to find the line nicely and he has a good foundation to return to something of his best form third-up. Because of his racing style he always needs luck in running, but at $6 I am willing to take the gamble that he produce another Royal Randwick miracle.
Vega Magic has been a revelation since he joined the Lindsay Park team and he is the horse to beat in The Everest. He carried a big weight to win the Regal Roller Stakes first-up and he never looked like losing when he cruised to victory in the Memsie Stakes. The scary thing for his rivals is that he still has improvement left in front of him and that would take him to a level that is very tough for the rest of this field to match. The only real query is the wide barrier draw and the speed map does make for some very ugly reading. It will take a masterclass from Craig Williams to settle him in the one-one and there is every chance he could be trapped wide. Despite those concerns, I still have a great deal of confidence in the horse and he should be favourite in The Everest betting.
Redzel has been a completely different horse since he was gelded and he has been nothing short of outstanding this preparation. He has now recorded four wins on the trot and he just keeps getting better everytime that he is seen at the races. I like the fact that he has been freshened up since his win in The Shorts and Kerrin McEvoy is the perfect jockey for him. He makes his own luck right on the speed and will be in the finish.
Redkirk Warrior is something of the x-factor in The Everest. He bolted in to win the Bobbie Lewis Quality in most impressive fashion and a repeat of that effort would make him a serious contender in this race, but both of his high-rating performances have come down the Flemington straight and he failed to fire when he was sent to Sydney in the Autumn. He is definitely a talented horse and I am certainly not ruling him out, but he has probably found his right price.
Clearly Innocent returned to the races with a nice third in the Premiere Stakes and that was enough to secure a berth in The Everest. Trainer Kris Lees has done a great job with this horse and he is a genuine Group 1 performer, but I’m not sure that he has the same upside as some of the other gallopers in this field. If any of the big guns turn up, I don’t think he can match it with them and he is under the odds at $13.
This is a huge step-up in class for Deploy. He won both the Show County Quality and Theo Marks Stakes in impressive fashion – he ran track records in both – but he was able to do so without being pressured. There is sure to be plenty of pressure in The Everest and I don’t think that he will handle it. He should be double his current price.
Fell Swoop has failed to fire in both The Shorts and the Premiere Stakes. He is unlucky not to be a Group 1 winner, but even his best form wouldn’t be good enough to win a race of this quality.
Brave Smash looked like a star in the making when he finished an unlucky second behind Vega Magic in the Regal Roller Stakes first-up, but he hasn’t really gone on with it. He was fairly plain when he won the Chandler Macleod Stakes at The Valley and he was beaten by Bons Away in the Testa Rossa Stakes. The application of blinkers should help and he does have upside, but he would need to hit a new career peak to have any chance whatsoever.
English is always a tricky horse to get a read on and she is in a similar boat to Chautauqua. She ran the best closing sectionals in the Premiere Stakes and the wide barrier draw will help her find clear running late, but stringing together quality performances back-to-back has proven to be an issue. She has shown that she is up to these sort of races – it took a freaking effort from Chautauqua to beat her in the T.J. Smith Stakes – and she definitely isn’t out of this contest, but she has probably found her right quote.
She Will Reign
She Will Reign is currently on top of our The Everest betting market. I have plenty of respect for the filly, but I can’t get her anywhere near as short as her current quote and I will be taking her on. Her win in the Moir Stakes was visually impressive, but there are some question marks coming out of that race. The overall time wasn’t particularly strong and the fact that she only narrowly beat an unlucky Viddora does make you question the strength of that contest. She would need to improve on that effort and I can see Corey Brown getting in some trouble from the inside barrier draw. She could make me look stupid, but I will be betting around her.
Houtzen failed to fire when she returned to the races in the McEwen Stakes before she returned to the races with a soft win in the Scarborough Stakes. This is a huge step-up in class from that race and she will not get things her own way in front. Connections have indicated that they could elect to take a sit and I don’t think she has the turn-of-foot to go with the best sprinters in the country. I would like to see Jeff Lloyd ride her aggressively, but either way I don’t really consider her to be a genuine winning chance.
Tulip is the one horse that probably doesn’t deserve her place in The Everest and I would much rather see In Her Time in the race. She was disappointing in the Tea Rose Stakes and this race is far, far tougher. She is deserving of her status as the extreme outsider of the field.