The 2017 Thousand Guineas has drawn a field of only eight fillies, but it is still set to be a very interesting race.
Alizee finished over the top of her rivals to record an excellent win in the Flight Stakes and she is a clear favourite to replicate the feat of Global Glamour 12 months ago and complete the Flight Stakes/Thousand Guineas double.
Will Alizee win another Group 1 or will there be a Thousand Guineas upset? We have analysed every filly in the Thousand Guineas field and our 2017 Thousand Guineas tips can be found below.
Shoals is a filly with plenty of talent and she does look like the main danger to Alizee in the Thousand Guineas. She suffered the first defeat of her racing career at the hands of Booker in the Thousand Guineas Prelude, but she found the line very strongly and she outsprinted Catchy late. She doesn’t have to get as far back from barrier four this weekend and 1600 metres shouldn’t be a problem. I would be surprised if she doesn’t finish in the placings and I definitely don’t want to lose on the race if she wins.
Alizee is a clear favourite in Thousand Guineas betting markets and she is clearly the horse to beat. It took her a while to get going this preparation, but she has been nothing short of outstanding since she was stepped up in distance. She showed a blistering turn-of-foot in both the Tea Rose Stakes and the Flight Stakes and the way she ran away from her rivals late in the Thousand Guineas was very impressive. The only concern is the inside barrier draw and she will need luck in running at the right time. The pressure is on Glyn Schofield, but the small field does help and with even luck she will be very tough to hold-out.
Booker beat Shoals and Catchy to win the Thousand Guineas Prelude, but it was a performance that suggests she isn’t crying out for 1600 metres. She will likely be forced to take up the running from the wide barrier draw and she will give them something to catch, but I am happy to take her on at the current price.
Pure Score made up good ground late in the Edward Manifold Stakes, but this is a big step-up in class. She has never shown anything to suggest that she is capable of winning a race of this quality.
Aloisia is a lightly-raced filly that does have plenty of upside. She loved the line when she finished second behind Capital Gain in the JJ Atkins in Brisbane and she had no luck first-up at Caulfield. This race might have come around a bit soon for her and she will need luck in running, but she could surprise.
Leather’N’Lace started the Edward Manifold Stakes as a clear favourite, but she was handily beaten by Bring Me Roses. This race is significantly tougher and it is very tough to back her off that last start effort.
Mintha has flown under the radar heading into the Thousand Guineas, but there was a lot to like about the way she found the line behind Houtzen in the Scarborough Stakes. In saying that, she is still a maiden and the step from 1200 metres up to 1600 metres is not ideal.
She’s So High
She’s So High finished on the placegetters heels in the Thousand Guineas Prelude and before that was competitive in the Quezette Stakes and the Atlantic Jewel Stakes. She is another that could be something of a question mark at the mile.