The 2017 Toorak Handicap is one of four Group 1 races set to take place on Ladbrokes Caulfield Guineas Day and it is the most open of the lot.
You can make a genuine case for just about every runner in the Toorak Handicap field and there are plenty of variables in what is a very tricky race for punters.
We have done the hard work and analysed every horse in the field and you can find our complete 2017 Toorak Handicap tips below.
Tosen Stardom always promises to deliver without ever actually landing a punch. He is still chasing his first win in Australia and he was not overly impressive in the Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes. You can’t rule him out and the step-up to 1600 metres for the first time this preparation does suit. In saying that, he maps to get a long way back in the run and he has found his right price.
The market has been keen to oppose Kaspersky and he is the best value runner in this race. It has been a while between race wins and he does struggle for consistency, but he is capable of producing a high-rating performance on his day. Kaspersky was not disgraced when fifth behind Ribchester in the Queen Anne Stakes at Royal Ascot and he was second in both the Summer Mile and the 32Red Mile. That level of form can stack up well in a Toorak Handicap and there is no way he should be as long as his current price.
Seaburge has failed to beat home a horse in either the Memsie Stakes or Makybe Diva Stakes. He had excuses last start, but he is a shadow of the horse he was 12 months ago.
Poor old Tom Melbourne and the punters that always back him. He made it four second place finishes from as many starts for Chris Waller when he finished second behind Happy Clapper in the Epsom Handicap. On paper that is excellent form – Happy Clapper is absolutely flying – but it is hard to back a horse like Tom Melbourne with any real confidence. It honestly wouldn’t be a surprise if he came out and won this race and he is a genuine contender, but he will not be carrying any of my money.
He Or She
He Or She is not the same horse that he once was and he was awful last start at Caulfield.
I Am A Star
I Am A Star returned to winning form in the Stocks Stakes at The Valley last start, but this is a genuine step-up in class. All of her best performances have been when she is able to sit right on the speed and control a race, which she will not be able to do in this field. She has found her right price.
Turnitaround is an underrated horse and it would not surprise if he finished in the first-half of this field, but it would be a big surprise if he was able to win a race of this quality.
Joao Moreira absolutely slaughtered Comin’ Through in the Epsom Handicap and you can put a line through that run. Michael Walker jumps back aboard and he has an excellent record of the Fastnet Rock entire. His form before his run in the Epsom Handicap was stellar and I still don’t think that Chris Waller has gotten to the bottom of this horse. Walker can settle him right on the speed from the nice barrier draw and he is genuine value at his current quote of $10.
Egg Tart is the x-factor in the Toorak Handicap. She returned to the races with a fast-finishing second behind Deploy in the Theo Marks Stakes before she was ruled out of the Epsom Handicap with an eye issue. Egg Tart has a terrific record and she is obviously a talented horse, but the comparisons with Winx mean that she has been overrated and I can’t get her anywhere near as short as her current price in this race. She could come out and blow them away like Winx did in the Epsom Handicap a couple of years ago, but I will be opposing her at the current price.
Mr Sneaky was terrific in the Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes and he was only narrowly denied a maiden Group 1 victory by his flying stablemate Santa Ana Lane. There was plenty of merit to that run as the early speed was very genuine and he was exposed a long way from home. The 1600 metres is a slight query, but if she can replicate her Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes effort she will be right in the finish.
Omei Sword looks to have lost the dash that she showed as a younger horse. She was not disgraced in the Golden Pendant and the form coming out of that race has been strong. Her racing style really doesn’t suit this big field and she will likely need plenty of luck in running to be any chance whatsoever.
Snitzson has turned into something of a Group 1 specialist – his only two runs at the highest level have been in the Australian Guineas and the Epsom Handicap and he finished in the placings in both. It has been a while between wins and he would need to improve again to take that next step forward.
So Si Bon
So Si Bon did what he normally does last start in the Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes – flashed home once the race was over to finish in the placings. He really is a frustrating horse and the fact that he has only one win from his 17 race starts probably sums him up.
Sovereign Nation has finally started to live up to his early potential and he produced one of the best performances of his career to finish fourth in the Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes. The way that race was run did suit him and he maps to get an incredibly long way back from the wide barrier draw.
Theanswermyfriend looked like he would get an easy lead in the Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes, but he was challenged by Attention early and that wound him up. They went very quickly early and he was entitled to give it up late, but he toughed it to the line fairly to finish a credible fifth. He is a very likeable horse that makes his own luck right on the speed and he has a genuine chance to record a maiden Group 1 victory.
There could be a riot at Caulfield if he wins the Toorak Handicap at massive odds. He will be outclassed and is worth of his status as the extreme outsider.
Jacquinot Bay is racing as consistently as ever, but this is a step-up in class from the races that he has been contesting this preparation. It has been a while between wins and he has never won in his 15 starts at Caulfield.
Wyndspelle is on the quick back-up following his second place finish in the Paris Lane Handicap. This is a big step-up in class and he would need to produce a clear career best performance to have any chance whatsoever.
Mask Of Time
Mask Of Time is the first emergency in the Toorak Handicap field and he requires a scratching to get a start in the Toorak Handicap. His European form suggests that he would be outclassed in this race.