The 2017 Caulfield Cup will be one of the highlights of the Spring Racing Carnival and we are set for a truly fascinating betting race.
It is Aidan O-Brien-trained Johannes Vermeer that is currently on top of our 2017 Caulfield Cup betting market, but there is very little between him and the other leading contenders like Humidor, Bonneval and Amelie’s Star.
This is one of the most open Group 1 races that you will ever see, but we have done the hard work for you and our complete 2017 Caulfield Cup tips can be found below.
Humidor could hardly have been more impressive in the Makybe Diva Stakes and he looked right on track for the Caulfield Cup, but he didn’t perform at anywhere near his best form when third behind Winx in the Turnbull Stakes. It really is tough to know what to make of that performance because in the past he has continued to improve the further that he gets into his campaign. The other query is the fact that his best form has come at Flemington. He still deserves to be right up there with the leading contenders, but I can’t get him as short as his current quote.
Marmelo is the value runner in the 2017 Caulfield Cup field and he is well and truly over the odds at his current price. He is a horse that looks as though he will be better suited in the Melbourne Cup, but we have seen in the past these sort of horses come out and run above expectations in the Caulfield Cup – a perfect example was Trip To Paris in the 2015 Caulfield Cup. Marmelo comes to Australia on the back of a win in the Prix Kergorlay – the race won by both Americain and Protectionist before they came to Australia to win the Melbourne Cup – and that is not the only high-rating performance on his racing resume. He has the benefit of Hugh Bowman in the saddle and I would be surprised if he didn’t finish in the top five.
Johannes Vermeer went to the top of our Caulfield Cup betting market with a close second behind Gailo Chop in the Ladbrokes Stakes last weekend. He is a horse that usually thrives on a quick back-up and there is no doubt that he deserves to be right up there with the leading Caulfield Cup contenders. He is recognised as more of a 2000 metres horse in Europe, but that could prove to be an advantage in a 2400 metres race that does not look to have a great deal of speed. There really is no knock on this horse and he will be tough to beat.
Jon Snow backed up his win in the JRA Cup with a tough third in the Ladbrokes Stakes and he is an ultra-consistent galloper. He makes his own luck right on the speed and he won the Australian Derby over 2400 metres earlier in the year, but the question is whether he has the upside to go to a new level that will likely be required to win the Caulfield Cup.
He’s Our Rokkii
He’s Our Rokkii is on the quick back-up following another poor effort in the Craven Plate last weekend. It is impossible to back him in a race like the Caulfield Cup off his recent form.
Sir Isaac Newton
Sir Isaac Newton went into the Caulfield Cup last year as a leading contender and he finished a credible seventh, but that remains the best performance that he has produced in Australia. It would not surprise to see him run better than the current market suggests, but it is tough to see him winning.
Ventura Storm has had an ideal preparation for the Caulfield Cup and he has improved each time that he has been seen at the races. He was unlucky in both the Heatherlie Stakes and the Makybe Diva Stakes before he relished the step-up in trip to finish second behind Winx in the Turnbull Stakes. His best form in France and Italy was over 2400 metres and if he can improve again he will go to a level that will make him very tough to beat. He is well and truly over the odds at $12.
Wicklow Brave is back in Australia following his luckless run in the Melbourne Cup 12 months ago. He won the Punchestown Champion Hurdle in Ireland earlier this year and he has run well without winning in the Curragh Cup, Goodwood Cup and Irish St Leger. Joao Moreira could press forward to try and turn this into a genuine staying contest the veteran is a much better chance than his current price suggests. A must for exotics.
Inference has been heading in the right direction this preparation and he goes into the Caulfield Cup following his fifth place finish in the Ladbrokes Stakes last weekend. He didn’t produce his best last Spring until he got to 2400 metres, but I’m still yet to be convinced that he is capable of winning a race of this quality.
They don’t get any tougher than Single Gaze and she produced another stellar effort at Group 1 level in the Ladbrokes Stakes. The question for her in the Caulfield Cup is whether she can run out the strong 2400 metres that will be required to win a race of this quality and I’ve always been of the opinion that 2000 metres was her pet distance. She will not be disgraced, but it would surprise to see her win.
Bonneval is a tough horse to assess heading into the Caulfield Cup. She was nothing short of outstanding in both the Dato’ Tan Chin Nam Stakes and the Underwood Stakes, but she was disappointing in the Ladbrokes Stakes last weekend. She was outstanding over 2400 metres in both the New Zealand Oaks and the Australian Oaks earlier in the year and on her best form she would be the horse to beat, but her last start was concerning. She is still one of the leading contenders.
Hardham was beaten as an odds-on favourite last start in the Inglis Cup and this is obviously a big step-up in class. He was excellent in the Australian Derby in the Autumn and he is another that could sneak his way into the placings at a big price.
Boom Time is on the quick back-up following his fourth place finish in the Ladbrokes Herbert Power Stakes last weekend. He is just below the level that is required to really be competitive in a race like the Caulfield Cup.
Abbey Marie is another that is on the quick back-up following the Ladbrokes Stakes. She ran well in both the P.B. Lawrence Stakes and the Dato’ Tan Chin Nam Stakes, but she has been a touch flat in the Naturalism Stakes and the Ladbrokes Stakes. It is tough to back her off those efforts.
Harlem looked like a Caulfield Cup contender in the making when he recorded a dominant win in the Naturalism Stakes, but he was disappointing in The Bart Cummings. His Naturalism Stakes win is somewhat of a spike figure in the overall terms of his career and he would need to produce at that level again to be any chance in the Caulfield Cup.
Amelie’s Star was able to return to winning form in The Bart Cummings, but she may have been flattered in that race due to the poor efforts of both Almandin and Harlem. She does have the benefit of a run over 2500 metres under her belt, but she would need to improve again on her The Bart Cummings effort and she does look under the odds.
Lord Fandango secured his place in the Caulfield Cup with an impressive win in the Ladbrokes Herbert Power Stakes. There is no doubt that he is a stayer with plenty of upside, but the Caulfield Cup may have come around a bit too quick for him and I don’t know if he is up to this level at this stage of his career.