The 2017 VRC Oaks – formerly known as the Crown Oaks – is the highlight of a big day of racing on Thursday and for the second year in a row there is a very short-priced favourite in the Group 1 event.
Aloisia has been nothing short of outstanding during the 2017 Spring Racing Carnival and she is $1.60 to claim a second Group 1 victory in the VRC Oaks.
Will Aloisia get the job done or will there be a VRC Oaks upset similar to last year when Brenton Avdulla and Lasqueti Spirit stunned the racing world?
We have analysed every horse in the Group 1 event and our complete 2017 VRC Oaks tips can be found below.
It is impossible to go against Aloisia in the 2017 VRC Oaks. She snuck up the inside to record an upset win in the Thousand Guineas and she proved that win was no fluke when she was nothing short of dominant in the Moonee Valley Vase at The Valley on Ladbrokes Cox Plate Day. The VRC Oaks has always been her major 2017 Spring Racing Carnival target and there is no doubt that she is the class filly in this field. The form around her was franked by Shoals in the Myer Classic and she really does tick every box heading into the race. It is very tough to see her being beaten.
Luvaluva stamped herself as a VRC Oaks contender with a fast-finishing win in the Wakeful Stakes. John Sargent knows exactly how to peak a filly to win the VRC Oaks and the way that she won the Wakeful Stakes suggests that she will relish the step-up in trip. In saying that, she didn’t beat the strongest field to win the Group 2 event and the time wasn’t overly flash. She is a level below Aloisia.
Bring Me Roses
Bring Me Roses was excellent in the Edward Manifold Stakes and she was found with an issue following her poor effort in the Wakeful Stakes. She doesn’t have much time to bounce back from that problem and it is impossible to back her in this race off that effort.
Pinot is the main danger to Aloisia in the 2017 VRC Oaks. She did plenty of work early, but she was still able to kick clear and record a very comfortable victory in the Ethereal Stakes. Stephen Baster will take her to the front in the early stages of the race and the training combination of Gai Waterhouse/Adrian Bott has been on fire in Melbourne during the Spring. She will be in the race for a long way and she will give Aloisia something to catch.
Rimraam was very gallant in the Wakeful Stakes and she was only run down by Luvaluva late. She is a very consistent filly – she has only recorded the one race win, but she has not missed the placings in her seven race starts. It is unlikely that she is good enough to beat Aloisia, but she can sneak into the first three at a nice price.
Hiyaam is another consistent filly that has run well in the Edward Manifold Stakes, Ethereal Stakes and Wakeful Stakes. She kept finding the line in the Wakeful Stakes and that suggests the trip will not be a problem, but she would still need to find several lengths of improvement to be a genuine winning chance.
Lucky Louie is still a maiden and she was well beaten in both the Ethereal Stakes and Wakeful Stakes. I doubt that she is up to a race of this quality.
Reliable Dam was not disgraced against the boys in the Geelong Classic and that form stacked up fairly well in the Victoria Derby. She will run all day and she maps to get a fairly soft run. Another horse that can threaten to finish in the placings.
Sweet Mischief has been freshened-up since she beat home just one horse in the Ladbrokes Classic. She is deserving of her big price.
Four Koalas may have Hugh Bowman in the saddle, but surely even Hugh couldn’t pull this off. She has finished in the placings just one in her seven race starts and Aloisia beat her by over 14 lengths in the Moonee Valley Vase.
Circuleight was beaten a long way in the Oaks Trial and has since been beaten at Kyneton and Seymour. I have plenty of respect for the stable, but she is deserving of her position as the outsider of the field.
Miss Admiration is on the quick back-up – despite the fact that she finished 13th in the Wakeful Stakes. She has not finished in the placings in any of her six race starts.