Race 1 - 11:25am
Swire Shipping Class 6 Plate (1110m)
Tango Rain was beaten as a short-priced favourite in the Hawkesbury XXXX Gold Rush first-up, but he will still start this race as a clear favourite. He is a horse that has generally been overrated by the market and I can’t get him anywhere near as short as his current price.
In Times Of War doesn’t have a great winning record, but she should be at peak fitness third-up and she does look well-placed in this contest. The form around her this preparation has been strong and if she is able to perform at her best she will be tough to beat/
1.5 Units In Times Of War
Race 2 - 12:00pm
Ambassador Travel Handicap (1350m)
Eminent returned to the races with a fast-finishing win at the Sunshine Coast and he should take plenty of improvement from that performance. He is unbeaten second-up and he is a horse that still has plenty of upside at this stage of his racing career. I would not be surprised to see him claim a black-type win at some stage this campaign and he does appeal at the current odds of $5.
1.5 Units Eminent
Race 3 - 12:35pm
Listed Members’ Handicap (1600m)
It has been a while between wins for Spectroscope, but he gets his chance to return to winning form this afternoon. I like the fact that trainer James Cummings has given him a barrier trial in between starts and the drop back to 1600 metres will suit. This is the weakest race that he has contested for some time and if he is able to produce close to his best form, he is the horse to beat.
1.5 Units Spectroscope
Race 4 - 1:10pm
Group 3 Chairman’s Handicap (2000m)
This is an open race and there are a host of winning chances. Megablast returned to the races with a win in the Easter Handicap in New Zealand and the step-up to 2000 metres will suit. He has raced in Australia before without a great deal of success, but he is capable of a high-rating performance on his day and he does appeal at $10 in what is a very open betting race.
1 Unit Megablast
Race 5 - 1:50pm
Group 2 Champagne Classic (1200m)
There was plenty to like about the debut win of Dynamited at Rosehill Gardens last year and Sydney two-year-olds do have an excellent record in this race. He has trialed nicely ahead of his return to the races and it would not surprise if he did prove too strong for the locally-trained juveniles.
You can’t knock the form of Mishani Hustler and he has recorded three wins on the trot following his tough victory in the Dalrello Stakes at Doomben last start. He makes his own luck right on the speed and I don’t want to lose on the race if he gets the job done.
1.5 Units Dynamited
1.5 Units Mishani Hustler
Race 6 - 2:30pm
Listed Queensland Day Stakes (1350m)
Marsupial started his 2018 Brisbane Winter Carnival campaign with a comfortable win in the Makers Mark Plate and he is well-placed to record a maiden black-type race win on Saturday. He maps to get a lovely run just behind the leaders with Jim Byrne in the saddle and this could very well be close to a replica of his last start win. I think that he is a horse with plenty of upside and I expect him to string some wins together in Brisbane.
2 Units Marsupial
Race 7 - 3:10pm
Group 2 The Roses (2000m)
Torvill was a big drifter ahead of the Gold Coast Bracelet a fortnight ago, but she was still able to record a comfortable win and she is the horse to beat in this contest again. The wide barrier draw is an obvious concern and she will be forced to get a long way back, but that is her general racing pattern anyway. She found the line fairly when she finished sixth in the Vinery Stud Stakes and I think that class will take her a long way in this contest.
2 Units Torvill
Race 8 - 3:50pm
Group 1 Doomben 10,000 (1200m)
This is one of the strongest editions of the Doomben 10,000 in recent memory and a number of the most talented sprinters in Australia are set to do battle. Redzel claimed a maiden Group 1 victory when he won this race 12 months ago and there is no doubt that he has improved since. He hasn’t won a Group 1 this campaign, but there has been nothing wrong with his form and the best thing about him is that he makes his own luck right on the speed. That could prove to be a difference maker as he will have a headstart over his main rivals.
The question is whether you can get him as short as his current price and that is tough in a race of this quality. In Her Time has been in outstanding form this campaign and she would have finished much closer to Redzel in the TJ Smith Stakes, if she wasn’t given a poor ride by Damian Lane.
Le Romain returned to a semblance of his best form with a close second behind Trapeze Artist in the All Aged Stakes, while Impending is a horse that is still on the way up following his soft win in the Victory Stakes.
I don’t want to bet again Redzel, but I can’t get him as short as his current price.
Race 9 - 4:30pm
Group 3 Rough Habit Plate (2000m)
Higher Ground is a horse that is still on the way up and he produced a career best performance to win the Frank Packer Plate at Royal Randwick last start. He beat a quality horse in the form of Tangled to win that contest and the form coming out of that race has been strong. The So You Think colt has the right profile for a Rough Habit Plate winner and he will be tough to beat.
A horse that does appeal at his current price is Astoria. He didn’t stay the trip in either the Australian Derby or the VRC St Leger, but his form over 2000 metres has been fairly strong. It was only Levendi that denied him in the Tulloch Stakes – he went on to win the Australian Derby – and he was also second in the Autumn Classic.
3 Units Higher Ground
1 Unit Astoria