2018 Queensland Oaks Day Preview

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Race 1 - 11:10am

Wilpak Wholesale Meats Handicap (1200m)

Havasay was only beaten four lengths by Impending in the Victory Stakes and he showed an excellent turn-of-foot to record an impressive win in the Swire Shipping Plate at Doomben last start. He finds himself in another fairly weak assignment and he doesn’t need to get as far back from barrier three. There is no reason that he can’t make it two wins on the trot.

1.5 Units Havasay

Race 2 - 11:46pm

Group 3 Grand Prix Stakes (2200m)

Dark Dream stamped himself as a leading Queensland Derby contender with his dominant with in the Rough Habit Plate and a repeat of that performance would make him incredibly difficult to beat in the Grand Prix Stakes. He is a horse that is perfectly suited to Doomben as he makes his own luck right on the speed and the step-up to 2000 metres doesn’t look as though it will be an issue. Tim Clark can roll across from the wide barrier in a race that doesn’t have much speed and it is very tough to bet against him.

5 Units Dark Dream

Race 3 - 12:12pm

Group 3 Premier’s Cup (2200m)

This is an interesting edition of the Premier’s Cup and there are a host of winning chances. Gallic Chieftain heads into the Premier’s Cup on the back of a tough win in the Warrnambool Cup and there are few fitter horses in this field. The wide barrier draw is some concern and he will need some luck in running, but he can’t be discounted.

A horse that appeals at big odds is The Wildfower. He has been freshened-up since he finished a credible third over 3200 metres in the Auckland Cup in March and before that he finished second behind Lizzie L’amour in the Herbie Dyke Stakes over 2000 metres. There is no doubt that he will take plenty of benefit from this run, but he is well and truly over the odds at $21.

1.5 Units Gallic Chieftain

½ Unit The Wildflower

Race 4 - 1:00pm

Group 3 Lord Mayor’s Cup (1630m)

The Lord Mayor’s Cup is a race with a deep tail, but the issue is that there are some question marks over a number of the leading contenders. It’s Somewhat drops back in trip after failing to fire in the Hollindale Stakes and he has had issue after being scratched from the Doomben Cup with a fever last weekend. Red Excitement ran well first-up, but hasn’t won for an eternity and the same can be said about Duca Valentinois and Spectroscope. This is a race that the market does look to have just about right and I am happy to stay out from a betting perspective.

No Bet

Race 5 - 1:40pm

Group 2 BRC Sires’ Produce Stakes (1350m)

The two-year-old races during the Brisbane Winter Racing Carnival have all been very interesting affairs and this race is no different. He was beaten in the Ken Russell Memorial Classic, but I am willing to give Lean Mean Machine another opportunity. The Zoustar colt was caught wide throughout the early stages of the race and he was still able to make-up plenty of ground late. He will get a long way back from the wide barrier draw again, but he does have an excellent turn-of-foot and the step-up to 1350 metres will suit.

1.5 Units Lean Mean Machine

Race 6 - 2:20pm

Group 3 Glenlogan Park Stakes (1350m)

It has been a long time between wins for Foxplay and she does have a big weight on her back, but this is the easier race that she has contested in some time. She did have excuses in each of her race starts during the Autumn and on her best form she is the class horse in this field. There is the chance that she has had enough of racing a breeding career does beckon, but I am willing to take a gamble at the current price of $11.

1 Unit Foxplay

Race 7 - 2:59pm

Group 1 Kingsford-Smith Cup (1350m)

The Kingsford-Smith Cup could be the race of the Brisbane Winter Racing and the small field is packed full of quality. You can’t really knock any of the leading contenders and Le Romain is a deserving favourite, but Impending does look very well-placed to claim another Group 1 victory. The Lonhro entire improved on his Victory Stakes win to finish a close second behind English in the Doomben 10,000 and he should not be set to peak third-up. The step-up to 1350 metres suits and Damian Browne should be able to slot him in slightly worse than midfield in the early stages of the race. He should get the last shot at them and will prove tough to hold-out.

2 Units Impending

Race 8 - 3:37pm

Group 1 Queensland Oaks (2200m)

Youngstar went straight to the top of Queensland Oaks betting with her classy win in The Roses and there is no doubt that she is the filly to beat. The question is whether you can get her as short as her current price and the $2.70 that is currently available does look under the odds.

The Australasian Oaks is the other strong form reference and after watching the replay it quickly became clear that Aloisia should have finished much closer to Sopressa than she did. Aloisia hasn’t recorded a win this campaign, but she has been thereabouts in tougher races than this one and her third place finish behind Hiyaam and Unforgotten in the Vinery Stud Stakes was excellent. A repeat of that performance would make her tough to beat and she does map to get a lovely run with Damian Browne in the saddle.

1 Unit Aloisia

Race 9 - 4:16pm

Group 3 Fred Best Classic (1400m)

The Fred Best Classic offers the winner ballot-exempt entry into the Stradbroke Handicap and is always an interesting race. Marsupial did have his colours lowered by Perast in the Queensland Day Stakes, but I am willing to give him another opportunity. Luck in running could be crucial and he does map to get a lovely run from barrier seven.

Whypeeo is the obvious danger and he was gallant when second behind Champagne Cuddles in the Gold Coast Guineas, but I can’t get him as short as his current price.

1 Unit Marsupial