The Kennedy Mile has attracted a field of 20 to contest the Group 1 over the 1600m at Flemington.
Darren Weir will be looking to win the race for the first time and he saddles up the favourite in the race Land Of Plenty, while Le Romain will have the chance to become the first horse since Seascay in 1994/95 to win the race twice,
We have analysed the entire field and our complete 2018 Kennedy Mile tips can be found below!
Hartnell has found some consistency this prep, which is something he had been lacking in recent times. Any thought of the 8 year old only preforming fresh can be dismissed after a very successful campaign thus far. He won the Epsom Handicap carrying 57kg and has not been more than 1.2 lengths from the winner in his other three starts. It will require an incredible performance to win this with 59kg, however he does meet Land Of Plenty 2.5kg better for his Toorak win. Considering his recent form and his determination to win, you can not dismiss him.
Another consistent horse in the race and another in very good form. Le Romain has not done a lot wrong this prep and was not disgraced in The Everest last time out. James McDonald gets back on board and he can figure in the finish. Again, the weight is an issue but he has shown time and again that he can handle it and rise to the challenge. He will have plenty of admirers, but he will have to be at his very best to win this.
Comin’ Through has always struggled in these top Group 1 races and I have always judged him as having similar ability to the enigma that is Tom Melbourne, he just has a better knowledge of what the task at hand is. Winning! He had an excellent Autumn and Winter campaign but he has struggled to find that form this prep. I think he will appreciate the step back to the mile, but I prefer others.
Land Of Plenty
Land Of Plenty will start the Kennedy Mile as favourite after his impressive win in the Toorak Handicap. The five year old from the Darren Weir stable has gone from strength to strength this campaign, culminating with a scintillating turn of foot from the back of the field to claim his first Group 1 win last time out. He has drawn well and if the pace is on up front, he should be able to storm home. The main issue I have is that he meets a number of these worse off at the weights for his Toorak win, but he has a lot of upside.
Crack Me Up
Crack Me Up has been somewhat disappointing in his two runs this prep so far. He only battled away in the Moonga Stakes last time out and I can’t back him off that run.
Dreamforce was entitled to work home a little better first-up in the Gilgai Stakes as the race was set up for the swoopers and the winner, I Am Excited, came from well behind him to win. He sat just off the leader in the Moonga Stakes and he fought on really well to hold second on the line. I would like to see Brenton Avdulla be positive from the barrier and take a sit on the leaders’ tails again. He is not the worst in the race.
Mister Sea Wolf
Mister Sea Wolf showed a nice turn of foot when finishing 8th in the Epsom first-up. He carries the same weight in this that he did in the Epsom and can rattle home late if the speed is on up front. I’m not sure he is a winning hope, but he is capable of running well.
Noire was racing in consistent fashion in Sydney before tackling the Toorak Handicap. She was shuffled back at the top of the straight at Caulfield that day and didn’t get a lot of room. She weaved her way through the field on the inside of horses and found the line better than almost anything else in the race. She has a tricky gate to overcome and Kerrin McEvoy may have to go back again, but she is a live chance in the race.
Life Less Ordinary
A step up in class is counteracted with a massive drop in weight for Life Less Ordinary, which may be quite beneficial to the seven year old gelding. He will not know himself with the 52kg on his back, but I’m not sure it will be enough for him to win a race like this one. He has drawn well and if the pace is on, he can reel off a quick last sectional.
Siege Of Quebec
Siege Of Quebec led the field around the tight Moonee Valley bend in the Crystal Mile. He did all of the work in that race and Cliffs Edge went past him, but he fought on gamely to not be beaten far. His best option would be to let Cliff’s Edge take up the running and stalk him, but this may be out of Michael Walker’s hands from the bad alley. He drops an enormous 6.5kg for his last start and I wouldn’t be surprised if he runs a cheeky race.
Cliff’s Edge also drops 6.5kgs for his win in the Crystal Mile last week and if Dean Yendall can get him to the front, rolling along, he will finish the race off with no weight on his back. Can he pinch a break on the turn and hold off the swoopers? I’m willing to gamble that he does at the $7.50.
It was a beautiful ride by Craig Williams in the Sale Cup on Sunday. He weaved the son of Fastnet Rock through the field and looked the winner with 50m before Doubt Defying claimed him in the shadows of the post. He drops 7 kilos on that run and should be very fit at this stage in his prep. He has been well supported in early betting and is horse racing well. Not without a chance!
Another horse racing well is the John Sadler trained Sircconi. Linda Meech gave him a peach in the Moonga Stakes last start and he raced away with the win running right through the line. I’m not sure he is quite up to the this level however he is suited under handicap conditions and has drawn perfectly. Linda Meech will get first option whether she wants to lead with the horse.
Perast has only had one start over the mile and that was when he finished 5th in the Caulfield Guineas as a three year old. He chased home Sircconi last time out and meets that horse 1.5kg better at the weights here. The distance is the query for mine.
Tom Melbourne can not win a race at the best of times and he is clearly not showing his best form this campaign. If he runs over the shorter distances, he over races and it costs him the race. If you run him over the longer distances, he is too one paced and doesn’t have the turn of foot. He was enormous in this race 12 months ago when running second to Shillelagh, but he is not going as well this time in. Who knows. Maybe when we expect nothing, he will win. The grandstand at Flemington will erupt if he does!
Peaceful State is another coming out of the Moonga Stakes where he finished 5th. He was cramped for room at about the 3oom mark but finished the race off well and is now looking for the mile. He is half the price of Sircconi yet they drop a similar amount in weight. I can’t back him at his current quote.
Best Of Days
Best Of Days is only a lightly raced 5 year old who is racing consistently. He had to fight for his win in the Coongy at Caulfield and he only drops 2.5kg from that win. The step back in distance may bring back that turn of foot of his. He will need a horse to be scratched to gain a start as he is first emergency.
Iconoclasm has strung two wins together this prep and will drop 7 kgs on his last win should he gain a start. He has drawn the car park which does not help his cause however he is not the worst.
Radipole ran 9th in the Toorak behind Land Of Plenty and will have to carry the same weight as he did that day against a similar opposition. He has his work cut out firstly gaining a start and secondly turning the tables on this field.
Kaonic would have to make a massive step in grade if he was to trouble a Group 1 field like this one. He is 4th emergency.