The Kingston Town Classic is the final Group 1 race of year in Australia and it is a fascinating way to end what has been a stellar year of Group 1 racing.
Arcadia Queen won the WA Guineas in impressive fashion and she is a clear favourite in Kingston Town Classic betting, but she will face stiff competition from her rivals in what is one of the strongest editions of this race in recent memory.
Will Arcadia Queen deliver William Pike another Kingston Town win or will there be an upset?
We have analysed all 15 runners and our complete 2018 Kingston Town Classic tips can be found below.
Material Man is the value runner in Kingston Town Classic betting. He went into the Railway Stakes first-up, with a big weight on his back, and produced a tough effort to finish third. The return to weight-for-age suits him and the step-up to 1800 metres is ideal for him. He finished second behind Pounamu in this race 12 months ago and I think that he is capable of going one better in 2018.
Great Shot produced a surprisingly poor performance in the Railway Stakes and it is tough to back him in the Kingston Town Classic off that effort. He didn’t fire in this race last year and I’m not convinced that he stays any trip past the mile. $34 does seem around the right price.
Gatting has definitely returned to his best form this campaign. He scored an upset win in the WAROA Lee Steere Stakes and he found the line nicely to finish second behind Galaxy Star in the Railway Stakes. The step-up to 1800 metres is ideal for him and he has won over this track and distance in the past. I’m not sure that he has as much upside to improve on his Railway Stakes performance as Material Man, but there is no reason why he can’t be in the mix again.
Star Exhibit wasn’t disgraced in the Railway Stakes and he is another that will be better over the 1800 metres of the Kingston Town Classic. It has been a while between wins and he probably doesn’t have the upside to win, but he is a top five chance.
Trap For Fools
Trap For Fools goes into the Kingston Town Classic on the back of a maiden Group 1 victory in the Mackinnon Stakes. You can’t knock the field that he beat in that contest, Irish Derby winner Latrobe and VRC Derby winner Extra Brut, but it definitely wasn’t the highest rated edition of the Mackinnon Stakes. He has already had a very long campaign and this race is clearly an afterthought, so I am happy to take him on at his current price.
Mister Sea Wolf
Mister Sea Wolf finished a fighting fifth in the Railway Stakes and that does seem to be about his level. The step-up to the 1800 metres is a genuine query and I doubt that he has the upside to win a Group 1 event of this quality.
Heart Starter is one of the outsiders in the Kingston Town Classic field for a reason. He finished third in the Carbine Club Of WA Stakes at Ascot last start and this race is much tougher.
Prying Tom also came of the Carbine Club Of WA Stakes and he was beaten soundly. He has never produced anything to suggest that he is capable of winning at this level.
Achernar Star finished second behind Gatting in the WAROA Lee Steere Stakes before he was never really able to get into the contest in the Railway Stakes. He ran well in this race last year and I expect him to improve on his Railway Stakes performance. Whether that makes him a genuine contender is a question mark, but he is a better chance than the current odds of $34 suggest.
Iconoclasm was only plain to the line in the Railway Stakes and he produced a similar performance before that in the Kennedy Mile. I’m not convinced that he is capable of running out a strong mile at the highest level and I’m not sure that the step-up to 1800 metres is ideal.
Holy Snow has been freshened-up since he finished second behind the talented Fifty Stars in the Sandown Stakes. There is no doubt that he is a horse that has always had potential and Darren Weir might be the right trainer to get the very best out of him. He is another horse that offers a shade of value at the current price.
The wide barrier draw is the obvious issue for Galaxy Star, but I still that that she has been a touch underrated heading into the Kingston Town Classic. Her victory in the Railway Stakes was nothing short of outstanding and she is a horse that continues to improve. The step-up in trip is not a problem for her and she does have a sharp turn-of-foot. She will definitely require a peach of a ride, but I can’t rule her out as one of the horses to beat.
Elegant Blast will drop back in trip after he failed to fire in the Tattersall’s Cup. He is definitely a better horse than that performance suggests, but still not good enough to win the Kingston Town Classic.
Perfect Jewel bounced back from a couple of flat efforts to finish fourth at big odds in the Railway Stakes. It is easy to forget that she won the WA Guineas 12 months ago before finishing fourth in the Kingston Town Classic, so she definitely has talent. The $18 currently available does seem around the right price.
Arcadia Queen is a clear favourite in 2018 Kingston Town Classic betting. There is no doubt that she is one of the horses to beat on the back of her impressive win in the WA Guineas, but the question is whether you can get her as short as her current price in a race of this quality. She is a very talented horse and she still has the scope to improve, but I don’t think that the price differential should be as large between her and the likes of Galaxy Star and Material Man. William Pike is a genuine freak and she does tick plenty of boxes, but at the current price I have to oppose her.