Race 1 - 6:30pm
This is a tough way to start the day for punters as every single horse in the field will be making their racing debut. It is tough to back any horse in this field with plenty of confidence, but the recent barrier trial win of Lady Naturaliste at Cranbourne was very smart and the time was rock solid. She offers a touch of value in an open race.
1 Unit Lady Naturaliste
Race 2 - 7:00pm
Declares War claimed a maiden race win at Ladbrokes Park last start and the turn-of-foot that he showed in the concluding stages of the contest was very impressive. He won’t have to get as far back from barrier three with John Allen in the saddle and he should get a nice cart into the race. Declares War is a horse with upside and he can make it two wins on the trot.
2.5 Units Declares War
Race 3 - 7:30pm
Angel Lass chased home the promising My Pendant at Ladbrokes Park last start and the form coming out of that race has been very strong. The barrier draw is a touch tricky, but she does have some early speed and Jye McNeil will be able to settle her in the first half of the field. Goldifox has opened as a clear favourite and she definitely has plenty of ability, but she will get a long way back and will have plenty of horses in front of her coming into the straight.
2 Units Angel Lass
Race 4 - 8:00pm
Kaimu is a horse with more ability than her current record of one win from 11 race starts suggests. She has been racing fairly without winning this campaign and I think that The Valley will really suit her. Ben Melham will take her straight to the front in the early stages of this contest and she will give her rivals something to catch.
1 Unit Kaimu
Race 5 - 8:30pm
Ray’s Dream will return to the races for the first time since she was outclassed in the Quezette Stakes. She has only recorded one win from five starts, but she has form around some quality gallopers and this is probably the weakest race that she has contested since she made her debut. 1000 metres does seem like her pet trip and she is well-placed to make a winning return to the races.
2.5 Units Ray’s Dream
Race 6 - 9:00pm
Bolek is a horse that does seem perfectly suited to The Valley. He goes straight to the front and makes his own luck, while he should now be at peak fitness after a couple of tough runs at Bendigo and Ladbrokes Park. The inside barrier draw is perfect for him and he will definitely be tough to run down.
A horse that appeals at double-figure odds is Silent General. He hasn’t been seen at the races since he won at Bendigo in June and he will be better for the run, but on his best form he does have a class edge over the rest of this field. $12 is well and truly over the odds for a horse with his ability.
1.5 Units Bolek
1 Unit Silent General
Race 7 - 9:30pm
Immaculate Secret has not missed the placings in her five race starts and she returned to the races with an absolutely dominant win at Terang last start. She is a mare with plenty of upside and The Valley is the perfect track for her as she makes her own luck right on the speed. There is currently $5.50 available, but I doubt that price will last.
1.5 Units Immaculate Secret
Race 8 - 10:00pm
This is a tough way to finish the night for punters and there are a host of winning chances. It isn’t a race that I want to get overly involved in, but I think that Aurora Rose does offer some value at $15. He failed to fire last start at Randwick, but she had genuine excuses and her first-up effort was good. She will relish the step-up in trip to 2040 metres and she is a mare that makes her own luck right on the speed.
1 Unit Aurora Rose