The Sir John Monash Stakes always means one thing – the Spring Racing Carnival is just around the corner!
Sir John Monash Stakes betting is generally dominated by a single horse, but that is not the case in 2019 and there are plenty of winning chances.
We have analysed every horse in the field and our complete 2019 Sir John Monash Stakes tips can be found below.
Jungle Edge is the horse to beat in the Sir John Monash Stakes and he is great value at his current odds of $7.50. He looked like he was past his best during a flat Autumn campaign, but a drop in class has paid dividends and his past few starts have been excellent. Jungle Edge beat a similar field to this to win the Ladbrokes Handicap at Ladbrokes Park on June 15 and he was not disgraced when he finished third behind the talented Sesar in the Winter Dash in Sydney. The wet weather in Melbourne this week is ideal and he should be able to take up the running without too much trouble.
Malibu Style is on the quick back-up following his win in the All Victorian Sprint Series Final at Flemington last week. He doesn’t win out of turn, but he has been a consistent performer this campaign and it has been a while since he produced a flat effort. The Magnus gelding won’t be far away and he does represent genuine value at the current price.
Bandipur has been transferred to the Richard Laming stable after being purchased at the 2019 Gold Coast National Racehorse Sale. He showed a nice turn-of-foot to beat Malibu Style at Caulfield last start and his best form has generally been over 1000 metres or 1100 metres. The wide barrier draw means that he will get a long way back in the run and he will be giving the likes of Jungle Edge a decent start.
Ken’s Dream will return to the races for the first time since January 2018. He does have plenty of talent and his best form would have him right in this contest, but there is no doubt that he will take good benefit from this run.
Spending To Win
Spending To Win was poor at Flemington last start and it has been a long time since he performed at his best. He has been a costly horse to punters in the past and they have clearly lost patience. $34 does seem around the right odds.
Oak Door has not been seen at the races since he finished eighth behind Speedeor in the Ballarat Magic Millions 3&4YO Classic in 2016. It is impossible to back a horse off such a long break.
Hard Empire showed his quality with an impressive first-up in the Irwin Stakes before he raced a touch flat in the D C McKay Stakes and the Grampians Region Handicap. He is capable of a quality performance on his day and the $31 currently available does represent a touch of value.
I Thought So
I Thought So returned from a lengthy lay-off with a fairly flat performance in the June Stakes at Royal Randwick last start. The barrier draw has not been kind to him, he is set to be caught wide in the early stages, and it is tough to back him off that first-up effort.
Heart Conquered is another horse that comes out of the June Stakes and he didn’t have a great deal of luck last start at Rosehill Gardens. This is probably the toughest test of his racing career to date and I’m not sure that he has done anything to suggest that he is capable of winning a race at this level.
Princess Of Queens
Princess Of Queens won the Bellmaine Stakes at Caulfield earlier this year and hasn’t really been able to replicate that sort of form since. I think that she is better suited over 1200 metres and I have to oppose her in this contest.
Miss Norway led from start to finish to win over this track and distance on Australia Day, but I think that she is generally at her best over 1000 metres. I don’t think she can win a race at this level over 1100 metres.
All About Nicci
This is a big step-up in class for All About Nicci and she has never really shown anything to suggest that she is capable of winning at this level. She is the extreme outsider in this field for a reason.
Soothing will be returning to the races for the first time since she finished fourth in the Doveton Stakes at Ladbrokes Park at the end of last year. She does still have plenty of upside, but I do think that she would need to produce a career best performance to have a genuine winning chance and I’m not sure that she will do that first-up. The $4.20 currently available is under the odds and I am keen to take her on.
Crack The Code
Crack The Code strung together three wins on the trot during the Autumn, headlined by a win in the Kevin Hayes Stakes, and she is definitely a filly with a huge amount of upside. This is a genuine step-up in quality and probably the biggest test of her career to date, but her first-up record is excellent and it would not surprise if she goes to another level this campaign.