The 2019 Ladbrokes Caulfield Guineas will be one of the highlights of the 2019 Spring Racing Carnival and headlines an enormous day of racing at Caulfield this weekend.
It is Dalasan that is currently a clear favourite in Ladbrokes Caulfield Guineas betting, but he won’t have things his own way against a capacity field of talented gallopers.
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Things have not got gone to plan since he arrived in Australia. He finished a disappointing seventh first-up in the Danehill Stakes and he lost rider Jamie Kah after he knuckled badly in the Caulfield Guineas Prelude. His New Zealand form would have him in the mix, but it is tough to back him off his Australian form.
The wide barrier draw does make his job tougher, but Dalasan is still the horse to beat in the Ladbrokes Caulfield Guineas. He started his campaign with a win over Scales Of Justice in the Spring Stakes before he overcame a clear dislike for the Flemington straight to win the Danehill Stakes. Alligator Blood upstaged him in the Caulfield Guineas Prelude, but he lost no admirers with that performance. He still ran the fastest closing sectionals in the race and the step-up to a mile does look ideal for him. Hugh Bowman will have to overcome the wide barrier draw, but it could prove to be an advantage as he will be able to keep him out of trouble in the early stages of the race.
Alligator Blood has recorded five wins from as many race starts and he goes into the Caulfield Guineas Prelude as a genuine winning chance. He overcame a big step-up in class to beat Dalasan in the Caulfield Guineas Prelude and he should take good experience from that performance. The All Too Hard gelding did have to race run to suit in the Caulfield Guineas Prelude and I’m not sure that he is going to get that from barrier 13 on Saturday. $5.50 does seem a fair price.
Kubrick is the value runner in Ladbrokes Caulfield Guineas betting. He found the line nicely when he finished fourth in The Run To The Rose first-up and he was left a little bit flat-footed in the Golden Rose. I am confident that the Golden Rose will end up as a stronger form race than the Caulfield Guineas Prelude and he looks as though he is crying out for 1600 metres. Barrier 17 isn’t ideal, but he does have the benefit of James McDonald in the saddle.
Super Seth is a horse that I am happy to take on in the Ladbrokes Caulfield Guineas. He took advantage of a lovely run in transit to win the McNeil Stakes first-up, but both the Danehill Stakes and the Caulfield Guineas Prelude have proven too tough for him. I’m not sure that he has as much upside as some of the other horses in this field and $11 is under the odds.
The Holy One
The Holy One earnt himself a shot in the Ladbrokes Caulfield Guineas with a tough win in the Stutt Stakes. There was plenty of merit in that victory and he is clearly a tough horse, but that was a weak race and this is a big step-up in class. I would be surprised if he is able to measure up in the Caulfield Guineas.
Subedar has been thereabouts without winning this campaign. He was only narrowly denied by Just Thinkin’ in the Dulcify Stakes before he chased home Shadow Hero in the Gloaming Stakes. I’m not sure that the drop back to 1600 metres is what he is looking for at this stage of his campaign and I think the Caulfield Classic as well as the Victoria Derby might be better races for him.
Skiddaw showed a nice turn-of-foot to win at Caulfield last start, but this is a genuine step-up in quality. The form coming out of that race has been poor and he was outclassed when he ran in the McKenzie Stakes at the start of his campaign.
Creator found the line fairly to finish fourth in the Exford Plate before he was unable to make an impact in the Caulfield Guineas Prelude. I’m not sure that he should be an $126 shot, but he would need to improve substantially to be a genuine winning chance.
Roccabascerana showed a fair amount of toughness to finish fourth in the Caulfield Guineas Prelude and he is another galloper that should ensure that there is a strong tempo in this contest. He doesn’t look as though he is crying out for 1600 metres and there is plenty of early pressure in this field, but it would not surprise to give him a good sight.
Stand To Attention
Stand To Attention won a strong Pakenham maiden two starts ago before he finished second behind Soul Patch at Flemington last start. He does have some upside, but this does look beyond him at this stage of his racing career.
Conqueror was a little bit unlucky in the Stutt Stakes, but I am very skeptical about the strength of that form. He does map to get a lovely run in transit with Damian Lane in the saddle, but $26 does look around the right price.
Vegas Knight had no luck in running whatsoever in the Stutt Stakes and was still able to find the line nicely to finish second. This is tougher again and I am happy to oppose, but he is probably the best bet of any horse coming out of that contest.
Eric The Eel
Eric The Eel returned to the races with an unlucky third at Doomben and he ran some of the quickest closing sectionals of the day. This is a big step-up in class, but there is no doubt that he does have some upside.
Soul Patch definitely has some ability and there was plenty to like about his last start victory at Flemington. He still has a huge amount of upside, this will be just his fourth race start, but I’m not sure that he is ready for a race of this quality at this stage of his racing career.
Express Pass never really got a crack at them when he finished ninth in the Caulfield Guineas Prelude and you can put the pen through that effort. His run before that in the Danehill Stakes was strong and the step-up to 1600 metres will suit. $14 does seem around the right mark.
Exeter had his chances in the Caulfield Guineas Prelude and he was soundly beaten. This looks beyond him.
Groundswell is the second emergency in Ladbrokes Caulfield Guineas betting and still requires a pair of scratching to earn a race. He ran well in the Caulfield Guineas Prelude and he does have some serious upside.
Serengeti was soundly beaten in the Stutt Stakes and looks unlikely to earn a start in the Caulfield Guineas field.