The 2019 Caulfield Cup will be one of the highlights of the Spring Racing Carnival and we are set for a fascinating race at Caulfield on Saturday.
Finche and Mer De Glace have opened as favourite in our Caulfield Cup betting market, but there is plenty of quality in this field and you can make a case for a number of different runners.
We have analysed every single runner in the field and our 2019 Caulfield Cup tips are below.
You don’t find too many horses as versatile as Hartnell and it would be truly incredible to see him carry the top-weight to victory in the 2019 Caulfield Cup. There is no reason that Hartnell can’t be right in the mix. There was plenty of merit in his run in the Turnbull Stakes and he really doesn’t get into this race too badly at the weights. It has been a while since he has raced over 2400 metres, but it won’t be a problem for him. $19 is over the odds.
Mirage Dancer is the value runner in the Caulfield Cup. He finished a close second behind Defoe in the Hardwicke Stakes at Royal Ascot earlier this year and that has traditionally been a strong form reference for the Melbourne Spring Racing Carnival. The Frankel entire followed that up with second place finishes in the Princess Of Wales’s and the Glorious Stakes. There is no doubt that 2400 metres is his pet trip and his racing style is perfectly suited to Australian racing conditions. He is another that represents value at his current quote.
Mer De Glace
Mer De Glace is a Japanese galloper with a huge amount of talent. He has recorded five wins on the trot and he has improved each time that he has been seen at the races. He absolutely savaged the line to win The Kokura Kinen and that performance puts him right in the Caulfield Cup mix. The wide barrier is a concern. He will get a very long way back in the run and he is really going to need to reel off some impressive sectionals to be a genuine winning hope.
Mustajeer earnt a trip to Australia with his victory in the Ebor Handicap and that was a very high-rated performance. That was something of a spike performance though and the question remains whether he can perform at that level on a consistent basis. I am somewhat skeptical and happy to take him on at $11.
Rostropovich has been a touch disappointing this campaign. He hit the line fairly to finish seventh behind Gatting in the Makybe Diva Stakes, but he could finish no better than ninth after having every possible chance in the Turnbull Stakes. He isn’t going as well as he was 12 months ago and he should probably be longer than $21.
Finche is a deserving favourite in Caulfield Cup betting and he has had a perfect preparation for the Group 1 event. He found the line nicely first-up in the Chelmsford Stakes before he stamped himself as a genuine Caulfield Cup contender with his win in the Kingston Town Stakes. Kings Will Dream beat him in the Turnbull Stakes, but that was still the perfect lead-up run for a Caulfield Cup. The wide barrier draw does make things tricky, but he is a very versatile galloper and that will give Michael Walker plenty of options in the early stages of the race. There is no huge value at his current price, but he is the horse to beat.
Gold Mount is another horse that represents value at his current Caulfield Cup odds. He doesn’t win out of turn, but his victory in the Race To The Ebor Grand Cup Stakes was excellent and he wasn’t disgraced when he finished fourth behind Cross Counter in the Dubai Gold Cup. He was one of the big winners of the Caulfield Cup barrier draw and he maps to get a dream run in transit just behind the leaders. $21 is well and truly over the odds.
Red Verdon is back for the Caulfield Cup after he finished 11th behind Best Solution 12 months ago. It is tough to see him improving on that performance. He was soundly beaten by Mustajeer in the Ebor Handicap, but he was able to beat Gold Mount in the Silver Cup Stakes. I’m not sure that he has as much upside as Gold Mount and I expect his rival to turn-the-tables.
Angel Of Truth
Angel Of Truth won the Australian Derby in the Autumn and he will relish the step-up to 2400 metres, but he doesn’t appear to be going as well as he was earlier in the year. His runs in the Chelmsford Stakes and the George Main Stakes were fair before he failed to beat home a single runner in the Hill Stakes. It is impossible to back him in the Caulfield Cup on the back of that performance.
I’ve always been a big fan of Big Duke, but a Caulfield Cup does look beyond him at this stage of his racing career. It has been an eternity since he recorded a race win and his runs in the Kingston Town Stakes and The Metropolitan this campaign have only been fair.
There has been early money for Constantinople in Caulfield Cup betting and he is now one of the favourites. There is no doubt that he is a leading contender, but I can’t get him as short as his current price. He is a progressive galloper and he has improved each time that he has been seen at the races in the King George V Stakes, Gordon Stakes and Great Voltiguer Stakes. That has him in the mix, but he should probably be around the $15 mark.
It is tough to know what to make of Mr Quickie. He looked like the horse to beat in the Caulfield Cup when he savaged the line to finish third in the Makybe Diva Stakes, but he beat home only a single runner in the Turnbull Stakes. The tempo of that race was against him and he obviously had excuses, but you still would have liked to see him hitting the line a bit better. He is another contender, but I can’t back him at his current quote.
Crown Prosecutor won the New Zealand Derby earlier this year, but the form coming out of that race has not been particularly strong. He was handily beaten in the Rosehill Guineas last time he was in Australia and he was no match for Melody Belle in the Livamol Classic. This does look beyond him.
Crown Prosecutor has been scratched from the 2019 Caulfield Cup field.
Vow And Declare
Vow And Declare might be the x-factor in the Caulfield Cup. He returned to the races in the Turnbull Stakes and he ran some of the best closing sectionals in the race to finish fifth behind Kings Will Dream. The Declaration Of War gelding went to another level when he got out to 2400 metres last campaign and there is no reason that he can’t do the same here. Barrier nine is ideal and he is right up there with the leading chances.
Brimham Rocks secured his place in the Caulfield Cup field with an impressive win in the Naturalism Stakes before he produced a slightly flat effort when he finished ninth behind Come Play With Me in The Metropolitan. The wide barrier draw does make this a tough assignment and it is tough to back him off his last start effort.
The Chosen One
The Chosen One relished the step-up to 2400 metres to claim an impressive win in the Ladbrokes Herbert Power Stakes and he goes into the Caulfield Cup as a genuine winning chance. It is no surprise that he has been a drifter since the barrier draw and he will be giving his rivals a big start. He is going to need to be very good to win, but you can never rule out Murray Baker in these staying races.
Qafila is another horse that is on the quick back-up from the Ladbrokes Herbert Power Stakes last weekend. She was soundly beaten in that contest and the Caulfield Cup is much tougher. The South Australian Derby is one of the extreme outsiders in this field for a reason.
Wolfe earnt his place in the 2019 Caulfield Cup field with a tough win in the Ladbrokes Coongy Stakes at Caulfield on Wednesday. That was hardly the strongest field, he had to fight off Top Of The Range late, and this is an enormous step-up in class. He will make his own luck right on the field and he could give some cheek, but it is tough to see him winning a race of this quality.
Sound is the first emergency in the 2019 Caulfield Cup field. He produced an improved effort to finish seventh in the Turnbull Stakes, but he has still never shown anything to suggest that he is capable of winning a race of this quality.
Sound has now earnt a start in the Caulfield Cup following the scratching of Crown Prosecutor.
Neufbosc hasn’t really fired since arriving in Australia. He only beat home a single runner in The Metropolitan and it is impossible to back him in a Caulfield Cup off that effort.
True Self is the third emergency for the Caulfield Cup. She ran well in the Ebor Handicap, but there is no doubt that some of the other international horses in this field do bring better credentials to this race.
Prince Of Arran
Prince Of Arran is the fourth emergency for the Caulfield Cup and is unlikely to earn a race start. His performance in the Ladbrokes Herbert Power Stakes last weekend suggests that he would be right in this contest, if he were to gain a start.