It is Victoria Derby Day at Flemington on Saturday, but it is the Coolmore Stud Stakes that might actually be the best race of the day.
15 of the best three-year-olds in the country will do battle down the Flemington straight and there is a case to be made for a host of different runners.
We have analysed every single runner in the field and our complete 2019 Coolmore Stud Stakes tips can be found below.
Microphone is the value runner in Coolmore Stud Stakes betting. He was disappointing when he finished third behind Cosmic Force in the Roman Consul Stakes, but his best form as a two-year-old would put him right in this race. His win down the Flemington straight in the Talindert Stakes was very impressive and he went on to win both the Skyline Stakes as well as the Inglis Sires, while he also finished second in the Golden Slipper. The fact that he has previously won down the Flemington straight is a big advantage and I am hopeful that he can return to his best form.
Bivouac is the horse to beat in the Coolmore Stud Stakes. He stamped himself as the best three-year-old in the country when he won the Run To The Rose and the Golden Rose Stakes before he had no luck in running whatsoever in the Ladbrokes Manikato Stakes. That run was basically a barrier trial and there is no worry about him being on the quick back-up. His best form does give him an edge over the rest of this field and as long as he handles the Flemington straight, he will be right in the mix.
Accession has run fairly without ever really looking likely in the Heritage Stakes and the Roman Consul Stakes. It is tough to see him being competitive in this field.
Dubious was soundly beaten by Bivouac in the Ladbrokes Vain Stakes and he looked to be heading in the right direction in the Danehill Stakes. He was well-backed ahead of the Blue Sapphire, but he never really looked like comfortable and produced a flat effort. It is tough to back him in a race of that quality in the back of that effort.
Cosmic Force could prove to be the x-factor in the Coolmore Stud Stakes field. He was beaten as favourite first-up in the Heritage Stakes, but he was able to produce a career best effort to win the Roman Consul Stakes in impressive fashion last start. He is still only lightly-raced and does have the scope to improve, while the fact that Team Snowden elected not to run California Zimbol suggests that they are bullish about the Deep Field colt’s chances.
Exceedance has been freshened-up since he finished third behind Bivouac in the Golden Rose. He was able to beat Bivouac in the San Domenico Stakes, but that was on a heavy track and Bivouac has since had his number in the Run To The Rose and the Golden Rose. I’m not sure that he is capable of turning-the-tables on his rival and I think that he is under the odds at his current odds of $4.80.
Sartorial Splendor is on the quick back-up after leading from start to finish to win the 1300 Australia Stakes at The Valley on Ladbrokes Cox Plate Day. There was plenty of merit in that performance, but this is a huge step-up in class and I’m not sure that he will be up for it.
Alabama Express showed plenty of toughness to claim a career best win in the Gothic Stakes. This is a big step-up in quality, but he does have upside and he makes his own luck right on the speed. I don’t think that he is good enough to win, but it would not surprise if he ran better than his current price suggests.
Cardiff has been sent to Melbourne after finishing second in the Brian Crowley Stakes at Royal Randwick last weekend. I don’t think that form line will stack up in the Coolmore Stud Stakes and he is one of the outsiders for a reason.
Ruuca has recorded two wins from his three race starts and clearly does have some ability. This may have come around a bit too soon for him and it would surprise if he was able to measure up at this level.
Exeter flopped in the Caulfield Guineas Prelude and he finished at the tail of the field in the Ladbrokes Caulfield Guineas. It would be a huge surprise if he was competitive in this contest.
Libertini has been something of the forgotten horse in the Coolmore Stud Stakes field. She produced a couple of high-rating performances to win the Silver Shadow Stakes and the Furious Stakes before she was beaten by Funstar and Probabeel over 1400 metres in the Tea Rose Stakes. The talent is there, but I still think that she will need to go to another level to beat the likes of Bivouac. $5 seems around the right price.
Li’l Kontra chased home Anaheed in the Blue Sapphire Stakes and she franked that form when she ran well in the Ladbrokes Manikato Stakes. Li’l Kontra is another filly that I suspect will run better than her current odds suggest, but I am not sure that she has the upside to win.
Brooklyn Hustle ran all the best closing sectionals in the race when she finished fifth in the Poseidon Stakes and she wasn’t disgraced when she finished third behind Anaheed in the Blue Sapphire. She hasn’t won a race since she made her racing debut and she probably hasn’t really lived up to the hype.
Broadwayandfourth moved into Coolmore Stud Stakes reckoning with what was a fairly impressive win in the Crockett Stakes. This is tougher again and it may have come around too quickly for her, but she does have genuine upside.