2019 Melbourne Cup Day Preview


2019 Melbourne Cup Day tips are what everybody is searching for and we have them right here at your disposal.

We have analysed every single horse across the entire card and our complete 2019 Melbourne Cup Day tips can be found below!

Race 1 - 10:55am

Group 3 Ottawa Stakes (1000m)

This is always a tough way to start Melbourne Cup Day as the majority of these horses will be making their racing debuts. There are too many unknowns to bet into this race with any real confidence, but you do need to respect the early betting move for both Muntaseera and Marchena. I am still happy to stay out of this contest from a betting perspective.

No Bet

Race 2 - 11:35am

Grinders Coffee Roasters Trophy (1400m)

Phaistos has recorded two wins from as many first-up starts and he is well-placed to maintain his unbeaten fresh record. He went to another level at the end of his Winter campaign and his best form does give him an edge over the rest of this field. It would not surprise to see him end up in black-type company at some stage this campaign.

2.5 Units Phaistos

Race 3 - 12:10pm

TAB Trophy (1700m)

One More Try is well and truly over the odds at her current price of $8.50. Her first-up run behind Fabric at Caulfield was strong and she ran all the best closing sectionals in the race when she finished fourth behind Spanish Reef in the Ladies’ Day Vase at Caulfield. She can settle closer to the speed from barrier one with Damien Oliver in the saddle and, with even luck in running, will prove tough to hold out late.

1 Unit One More Try

Race 4 - 12:45pm

The Macca’s Run (2800m)

Chris Waller has an excellent record in this race and Shared Ambition is a very short-priced favourite to deliver him yet another victory. His two wins since he arrived in Australia have been full of merit and the way that he put away his rivals at Caulfield last start was particularly impressive. The step-up to 2800 metres does look ideal for him and he is deserving of his status as an odds-on favourite.

6 Units Shared Ambition

Race 5 - 1:20pm

Schweppervescence Plate (1000m)

Hawker Hurricane has been racing well without winning this campaign and he gets his chance to return to winning form on Melbourne Cup Day. His first-up run in the McKenzie Stakes behind Condo’s Express was solid and he was tough when only narrowly run down in the Poseidon Stakes. The drop back to 1000 metres suits – his only previous win came over that distance – and he is well and truly over the odds at $10.

1 Unit Hawker Hurricane

Race 6 - 1:55pm

Listed Jim Beam Black Stakes (1400m)

Sweet Scandal is a very consistent galloper and there is no reason that she can’t record another race win in this contest. She upstaged a strong field to win first-up at Royal Randwick before she finished a more than credible third behind Tofane at Caulfield last star. This race really is no tougher and she maps to get a lovely run in transit from barrier four with Michael Walker in the saddle.

1.5 Units Sweet Scandal

Race 7 - 3:00pm

Group 1 Melbourne Cup (3200m)

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This is a very open edition of the Melbourne Cup and you can back a number of runners while still making a profit. Finche is my top selection. He went close in the Melbourne Cup 12 months ago and he is definitely a better horse in 2019. His performance in the Turnbull Stakes was excellent and I think that his Caulfield Cup should have him at peak fitness for the Melbourne Cup. Flemington is the perfect track for him and he has been crying out for 3200 metres.

You simply can’t knock the form of Mer De Glace. His victory in the Caulfield Cup was nothing short of outstanding and the scary thing for his rivals is that he still looks as though he has the scope to improve. There is nothing to suggest that he won’t run out a strong 3200 metres and you simply have to respect the Japanese form.

Vow And Declare is the best of the locally-bred chances. He has only had the two race starts this preparation, but both of them have been outstanding. Vow And Declare ran the fastest closing sectionals in the Caulfield Cup and the Melbourne Cup has always been his major target.

Raymond Tusk and Vow And Declare are the two internationals that are over the odds at their current price. Mirage Dancer simply never runs a bad race and there was plenty of merit in his performance in the Caulfield Cup. The $34 currently available is well and truly over the odds.

Raymond Tusk’s form might not look particularly strong on paper, but he is the horse that does look to have beaten the handicapper. His run in the Ebor Handicap was very tough and he meets a number of his rivals from that race much better at the weights.

1.5 Units Finche
1 Unit Mer De Glace
1 Unit Vow And Declare
½ Unit Raymond Tusk
½ Unit Mirage Dancer

Race 8 - 4:00pm

Listed Furphy Plate (1800m)

Cascadian was finally able to live up to his talent with a fast-finishing victory in The Star Mile at Royal Randwick last start and a repeat of that effort would make him very tough to beat. Flemington does seem like an ideal track for him and he should get a lovely trail into this contest with Craig Williams in the saddle. The $5.50 currently available is well and truly over the odds.

Update: Cascadian has been scratched from the Furphy Plate field and this is now an incredibly open race. I’ve got Junipal on top, but with no real confidence. 

1 Unit Junipal

Race 9 - 4:40pm

Listed MSS Security Sprint (1200m)

Haunted returned to winning form with a classy victory in the Ladbrokes Village Stakes at Caulfield and there is no reason that he can’t make it two wins on the trot. He ran the fastest closing 600 metres and 400 metres of the entire meeting, while he has won down the famous Flemington straight in the past. $4 is great value for a horse of this quality.

Update: Haunted has been scratched from the MSS Security Sprint. That leaves Milwaukee as the horse to beat in this contest and he is over the odds at his current price of $7.50. 

1 Unit Milwaukee

Race 10 - 5:15pm

Listed The Hong Kong Jockey Club Stakes (1400m)

Xilong has made an excellent start to her racing career in Adelaide and she is a filly that the McEvoy stable has always had a big opinion of. She could hardly have been more impressive when she beat Garner by five lengths in the Rebel Raider Series Final and she clearly has an enormous amount of upside. She is the horse to beat.

3 Units Xilong

Tips, recommendations and commentary are for entertainment only. We provide no warranty about accuracy or completeness. You should make your own assessment before placing a bet.