The Mackinnon Stakes has been rejuvenated since it moved to the final day of the Melbourne Cup Carnival and we are set for another excellent edition of the race at Flemington on Saturday.
The Mackinnon Stakes field is absolutely packed full of talent and brings together a wide range of form lines from the 2019 Spring Racing Carnival.
We have analysed all 18 potential runners and our complete 2019 Mackinnon Stakes tips can be found below.
Hartnell could be having his final career start in the Mackinnon Stakes and he goes into this contest with a genuine winning chance. He was thereabouts in the Memsie Stakes, Makybe Diva Stakes, Underwood Stakes and Turnbull Stakes before he didn’t have a great deal of luck with a big weight on his back in the Caulfield Cup. The return to weight-for-age conditions suits and he never runs a bad race at Caulfield. He will need some luck in running from the wide barrier, but he is still over the odds at $9.
Gailo Chop looked to be heading in the right direction when he finished third in the Underwood Stakes, but he has since failed to fire in the Ladbrokes Stakes and the Crystal Mile. His run in the Crystal Mile was particularly poor and it is impossible to back him in this race off that effort.
It would not surprise to see Humidor run a race at juicy odds in the Mackinnon Stakes. He made up good ground late in the Ladbrokes Stakes before he never had a change due to the tempo of the race in the Moonee Valley Gold Cup. Some of the highest-rating performances of his career have come at Flemington and the wide barrier draw will give him the chance to wind up a long way from home. $16 is over the odds.
Debt Agent was soundly beaten in the Paris Lane Stakes first-up and he wasn’t much better in the Crystal Mile. This is the first time that he has been out to 2000 metres and he has never shown anything to suggest that he is capable of winning a race of this quality. I have him marked at triple his current price.
Suzuka Devious was never really able to get into the race when he made his Australian racing debut in the Ladbrokes Stakes. This is tougher again and I doubt that he will be good enough to measure up.
Kluger will get another crack in Australia after he had excuses when he finished 13th in the Ladbrokes Cox Plate. His second place finish behind Winx in the Queen Elizabeth Stakes earlier this year was excellent, but he hasn’t been able to perform at that level since. $17 does seem around the right price.
Harlem has won two Group 1s over 2000 metres at Flemington, the past two editions of the Australian Cup, and he is big odds again in Mackinnon Stakes betting. He hit the line strongly to finish third in the Ladbrokes Stakes and he wasn’t disgraced when he finished eighth in the Ladbrokes Cox Plate. It is tough to see him winning, but he could produce a better performance than his current odds suggest.
Kings Will Dream
Kings Will Dream won the Turnbull Stakes over this track and distance a couple of starts ago before he finished a credible sixth in the Ladbrokes Cox Plate. The return to Flemington is a positive for him, he has recorded three wins from his six starts at the track, and he should be in the mix again. $9 does seem around the right price and you definitely can’t rule him out.
Life Less Ordinary
Life Less Ordinary will step back-up to 2000 metres following a credible seventh place finish in the Kennedy Cantala. He is never disgraced at this level, but I don’t think that he is good enough to win a race of this quality at this stage of his racing career.
So Si Bon
So Si Bon savaged the line to finish fourth in the Kennedy Canatla and he has produced a number of impressive performance this campaign. He has run well over 2000 metres in the past, he finished fourth in the Australian Cup, but his poor winning record does make him a horse that is tough to back with any real confidence.
Fifty Stars is on the quick back-up after he finished a close second behind Fierce Impact in the Kennedy Cantala at Flemington on Victoria Derby Day. This is the first time that he has been given an opportunity at 2000 metres and he has always given the impression that he would enjoy the step-up in trip. He would need to produce a career best performance to win, but he is going well this campaign.
Night’s Watch really hasn’t had a huge amount of luck this campaign. He ran the fastest closing sectionals of the race in the Toorak Handicap before he probably had his chance in the Kennedy Cantala last Saturday. The step-up to 2000 metres suits, but he would need to produce a career best performance to win.
Cape Of Good Hope
Cape Of Good Hope won the Ladbrokes Stakes at big odds before he was soundly beaten in the Ladbrokes Cox Plate. He had the perfect run in transit to win the Ladbrokes Stakes and the form coming out of that race has been very poor. He does map to get a nice run in transit, but I am more than happy to take him on.
Magic Wand is the most interesting runner in the Mackinnon Stakes field. She toughed it out to finish fourth in the Ladbrokes Cox Plate before she found the line nicely to finish tenth in the Melbourne Cup on Tuesday. I do like horses on the quick back-up from Melbourne Cup Day to Mackinnon Stakes Day and if anybody can pull off a training feat like this, it would probably be Aidan O’Brien. She has to be respected.
Melody Belle is the horse to beat in the 2019 Mackinnon Stakes. She could hardly have been more impressive in the Empire Rose Stakes at Flemington on Victoria Derby Day and she has now recorded seven Group 1 wins from her past eight starts. This is a step-up in quality again, but she has scored two wins from as many race starts over 2000 metres and any give in the track would give her a big advantage. She will be very tough to hold out late.
Aristia returned to her best form to finish second behind Melody Belle in the Empire Rose Stakes and there was plenty to like about that performance. The step-up to 2000 metres does suit her and she maps to get a lovely run in transit with Craig Williams in the saddle. I’m not sure that she can win, but it would not surprise to see her produce another strong performance.
Danzdanzdance is the first emergency in the Mackinnon Stakes field. She finished fifth behind Happy Clapper in the Craven Plate and this is tougher.
Admiral’s Joker is the second emergency for the Mackinnon Stakes. He has recorded three wins on the trot this campaign, but this is a huge step-up in quality from the Seymour Cup.