2019 Ballarat Cup Day Preview

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Race 1 - 12:25pm

The Haymarket Ballarat Mares BM78 (1200m)

This is an extremely difficult way to begin Ballarat Cup Day from a betting perspective and at publish, we’re faced with $7 the field.

Lady Of Crebilly hasn’t been seen at the races since May, but she returned several pleasing efforts last time in and looks up to winning. The Choisir mare recorded consecutive wins at Pakenham most notably and was last seen finishing third in Group 3 company. She can fight out the finish at double-figure odds.

1 Unit E/W Lady Of Crebilly

Race 2 - 12:55pm

Event Aid BM70 Handicap (1100m)

Prince Of Caviar looked a run short when he resumed for second at Bendigo last week, but he is sure to enjoy good improvement from the effort and appears to be up to a race of this quality. The son of Sebring, out of equine superstar Black Caviar, has so-far recorded one win and three second placings from his five career starts and Luke Nolen will have options from the rails draw.

1 Unit E/W Prince Of Caviar

Race 3 - 1:30pm

Global Turf BM78 Handicap (2600m)

Creedence attacked the line to finish second over 2800m at Flemington last time out and strikes a very winnable race on Ballarat Cup Day. The Helmet gelding has been up and racing for a while, but he rarely runs a bad race and has missed a place only once in his last five starts. This does look his softest task in quite some time, and he’ll take beating with Craig Williams aboard.

2 Units Creedence

Race 4 - 2:05pm

Magic Millions 2yo Clockwise Classic (1000m)

11 juveniles will contest this year’s MM Clockwise Classic and of that number, only four have raceday experience.

Typically, a good racehorse emerges from this contest and looms as a live shot in one of the bigger Magic Millions races later in the season, and I am happy to stay out of it from a betting perspective, with a view towards something else.

No Bet

Race 5 - 2:40pm

VOBIS Gold Eureka Stockade (1400m)

Can’t Be Done will take good improvement into his second campaign start and the Eureka Stockade looks a lovely race for him. The three-year-old son of All Too Hard doesn’t know how to run a bad race and hit the line well when fresh to finish second behind classy galloper Garner at Flemington on Cup Day. There isn’t a horse of that quality in this field and he is drawn ideally in barrier 4, with the bonus of Craig Williams engaged to ride.

4 Units Can’t Be Done

Race 6 - 3:20pm

McKellar Mile (1600m)

Bumper Blast has enjoyed a strong start to his racing career and looks well placed to make it three in a row at Ballarat on Saturday. The Robert Hickmott-trained gelding has continued to improve with each start and as the bar has been raised, and he was last seen winning the Greys race at Flemington on Oaks Day. He’ll take further improvement into this race and can win again.

2 Units Bumper Blast

Race 7 - 4:00pm

Goldenvue Estate BM84 (1400m)

This looms as one of the more open contests on Ballarat Cup Day and there is a case to be made for more than half the capacity field.

Yulong January will take good improvement from his first campaign start into this contest and he looks a touch of overs at a double-figure price ($12 at publish). The King Of Prussia gelding has returned several pleasing efforts and results during his racing career, but did looks a run short when resuming for fourth in BM84 company at Kyneton. He’s drawn well and weighted to win.

1 Unit E/W Yulong January

Race 8 - 4:40pm

Listed Ballarat Cup (2000m)

There is no doubt that this is one of the strongest editions of the Ballarat Cup since the turn of the century, but Dr Drill looks extremely difficult to beat. The Dansili gelding took a few starts to find top gear when resuming, but his last two efforts have been nothing short of outstanding and a repeat of his performance Cranbourne Cup performance would see him right in the finish again.

Assuming that early favourite and second emergency Harbours Views doesn’t gain a start, there looks to be good value for several horses including Japanese raider Suzuka Devious. The nine-year-old is a multiple stakes winner and looks ready to peak third-up following runs in the Cox Plate and Mackinnon Stakes. This is obviously a big drop in grade, and he looks up to it.

4 Units Dr Drill

Race 9 - 5:20pm

MM 3&4yo Classic (1100m)

King Of Hastings is yet to turn in a bad performance and looks over the odds at $5 to win the MM 3&4YO Classic. The Ilovethiscity gelding has recorded two wins and three second placings from his five career starts so far and ran second behind subsequent Ladbrokes Caulfield Guineas champion Super Seth when resuming in the Group 3 McNeil Stakes in spring. He’s been freshened for this race, has trialled extremely well and looks primed to win.

3 Units King Of Hastings

Race 10 - 5:55pm

Tonks Plate (1200m)

William Thomas found the 1500m a touch too far last week and a drop back to 1200m should prove ideal. The Nicconi gelding is as tough as they come and does not know how to run a bad race, and there was still plenty of merit to his fourth placing in Group 3 company last week. He will need luck from the outside barrier, but he has a class edge over the lion’s share of these rivals.

2 Units E/W William Thomas

Tips, recommendations and commentary are for entertainment only. We provide no warranty about accuracy or completeness. You should make your own assessment before placing a bet.