The Hong Kong Vase is always an interesting race and the 2019 edition will be no exception.
A group of outstanding stayers from right around the will be contest the Group 1 event and the form coming out of the Melbourne Cup will be tested with runner-up Prince Of Arran.
We have analysed every horse in the field and our complete 2019 Hong Kong Vase tips can be found below.
There is no doubt that Exultant is the best of the local chances in the Hong Kong Vase, but he does look big unders at his current price. He beat Lys Gracieux to win this race 12 months ago and he definitely hasn’t gone backwards since then. He won The Centenary Vase, the Hong Kong Gold Cup and the Standard Chartered-Chater Cup last season and he secured his position as Hong Kong Vase favourite with his win in The Jockey Club Cup. The international competition in this race is strong though and that makes it tough to get him as short as his current price.
Glory Vase is one of a number of Japanese gallopers in this field. He finished a close second in the Tenno Sho over 3200 metres in April and he comes into this contest on the back of a fairly flat effort in The Kyoto Daishoten. I think that he is better suited over 3200 metres and $17 seems around the right price.
Aspetar is not the most consistent horse in the world, but he is capable of a high-rating performance on his day. He won the Grand Prix De Chantilly in impressive fashion in June and he wasn’t disgraced at Group 1 level in the Grand Prix De Saint-Cloud. I think that he is a better chance than his current odds suggest and the $51 currently available is over the odds.
Southern Legend has plenty of form around Exultant and he chased the Hong Kong Vase favourite home in The Jockey Club Cup. I do have some concerns over his ability to run out a strong 2400 metres and it is tough to see him turning-the-tables on Exultant over this distance.
Young Rascal returned to his best form with a dominant win in the Floodlit Stakes at Kempton Park on November 4 and there are no question marks surrounding his ability to run out a strong 2400 metres. This is a genuine step-up in class, but he does have a strong record and there is still plenty of upside in the Intello gelding. He is another stayer that is over the odds at his current price.
Called To The Bar
Called To The Bar has been sent to Hong Kong after he recorded an impressive victory in the Prix Gladiateur at Longchamp in September. This is definitely a step-up in quality and the majority of his best form in Europe has been over 3000 metres or greater. He might prove to be a bit dour to win the Hong Kong Vase.
Prince Of Arran
Prince Of Arran finished eighth in the Hong Kong Vase 12 months ago and you can expect him to improve on that performance in 2019. He maintained his stellar record in Australia with a tough win in the Geelong Cup before he finished a very close second behind Vow And Declare in the Melbourne Cup. I think that he would need to improve on that effort again to be a genuine winning chance in the Hong Kong Vase, but a top three finish would not surprise.
It has been a long time between race wins for Eagle Way and his best days do look behind him. He was beaten by more than nine lengths in the Jockey Club Cup and you couldn’t back him in this race off that performance.
Ho Ho Khan
Ho Ho Khan is another horse that comes into the Hong Kong Vase out of The Jockey Club Cup. This sort of race looks beyond him and he is one of the extreme outsiders for a reason.
Deirdre is the value runner in 2019 Hong Kong Vase betting. She scored an upset win in the Nassau Stakes at Goodwood and she wasn’t disgraced in either the Irish Champion Stakes or the Champion Stakes at Ascot. Those were both high-rating performances and a repeat of that sort of effort would have her right in the mix. The $10 currently available is well and truly over the odds.
Lucky Lilac is another horse that is over the odds in Hong Kong Vase betting. She returned to the races with a strong third in The Ireland Trophy at Tokyo and she claimed a maiden Group 1 victory in The Queen Elizabeth 2 Cup at Kyoto. She still has the upside to improve on that performance and the step-up to 2400 metres should be ideal. $7 is a great price.
True Self is another horse that ran well in Australia during the Melbourne Spring Racing Carnival. She missed out on a spot in the Melbourne Cup, but she was excellent in the Geelong Cup and she was far too strong for her rivals in the Queen Elizabeth Stakes. This is a big step-up in class, but she is a staying mare in form and 2400 metres is ideal.
Anthony Van Dyck
Anthony Van Dyck hasn’t won since his Investec Derby triumph, but he has run some good races since. He was outclassed in the King Georg at Ascot, but he returned to a semblance of his best form to finish third in both the Irish Champion Stakes and Breeders’ Cup Turf. There is no reason that he can’t be in the mix and $8 does seem around the right price.
Mount Everest wasn’t disgraced behind Bricks And Mortar in the Breeders’ Cup Turf and that came on the back of a win in the Trigo Stakes in Ireland. He would still need to improve to be a genuine winning chance in this contest and I am happy to take him on.