The Brownlow Bubble: Round 4


Things have taken a wild turn in our Brownlow Medal market heading into Round 4, largely due to the less than surprising rise of Gold Coast Suns youngster, Matthew Rowell. 

The rookie has cemented himself firmly in the conversation for this year’s Charlie after a dominant performance last week against the Crows, and we’ve already seen a nibble for him at $21.00 in betting.

Patrick Cripps and Nat Fyfe remain the favourites, while we also build a case for a Collingwood veteran in this week’s edition of The Brownlow Bubble. 

Our Round 3 Votes 

Richmond v Hawthorn 

Jaeger O’Meara3 votes
Chad Wingard2 votes
Jonathon Ceglar1 vote

Western Bulldogs v GWS Giants

Jack Macrae3 votes
Caleb Daniel2 votes
Harry Perryman1 vote

North Melbourne v Sydney Swans 

Josh Kennedy3 votes
Jy Simpkin2 votes
Luke Parker1 vote

Collingwood v St Kilda 

Steele Sidebottom3 votes
Taylor Adams2 votes
Scott Pendlebury1 vote

Brisbane Lions v West Coast 

Lachie Neale3 votes
Andrew Gaff2 votes
Jarryd Lyons1 vote

Geelong v Carlton 

Eddie Betts3 votes
Patrick Cripps2 votes
Patrick Dangerfield1 vote

Gold Coast Suns v Adelaide Crows 

Matt Rowell3 votes
Touk Miller2 votes
Ben King1 vote

Port Adelaide v Fremantle 

Travis Boak3 votes
Ollie Wines2 votes
Nat Fyfe1 vote

Patrick Cripps – $6.00 

Cripps has remained steady at the $6.00 quote in our Brownlow market on the back of a rousing performance last week in Geelong. 

We said last week the skipper often saves his best for the Cats, and he didn’t disappoint with a game-high 24 disposals, two goals, five tackles and 12 clearances to his name.

That last stat, clearances, is one Cripps has dominated in since the season restarted. He now leads the competition in the category and also ranks first in score involvements per-game. 

This week poses another tough test against a well-rested Bombers outfit. Cripps has averaged only 19 disposals in his six matches against Essendon, so if you fancy him, you might be able to get a better price this time next week. 

Nat Fyfe – $6.00

Fyfe is now $7.00 into $6.00 following last Sunday’s blowout loss to Port Adelaide. 

The two-time Charlie winner did just enough to earn a vote in our eyes, but that certainly isn’t to say his 25 disposal, one goal performance was light on, especially in the conditions. 

Fyfe rates highly in all major statistical categories (fourth in contested possessions, ninth in disposals) and if he continues to reel in big marks like the one we saw during the third quarter, he’s going to be in the race right up until the end. 

Lachie Neale – $7.00

Another stellar performance from Neale last weekend leaves him well over the odds at the $7.00 quote. 

The gun mid-fielder was enormous yet again piling on 32 disposals and a pair of goals in the big win over West Coast, making Neale the best (and perhaps most valuable) early Brownlow bet.

The 27-year-old will have another chance to shine bright this weekend at the Gabba as the Lions face the hapless Crows. 

Neale has averaged 25 disposals against Adelaide in 10 appearances, so if you’re wanting to jump on, now’s the time to do so. 

Matthew Rowell – $21.00

How could we not touch on the phenom Matt Rowell? 

The odds-on Rising Star favourite burst on to the scene a fortnight ago kicking two goals in the Suns’ win over West Coast, before a repeat performance last week in a blowout victory over the Crows. 

Our bookies now have Rowell at $21.00 in the Brownlow market, ahead of names like Scott Pendlebury and Andrew Gaff!

It’s a small sample size, but with the Suns taking on the Dockers this week, don’t be surprised if the price firms even further. 

Steele Sidebottom – $21.00 

Not sure you could ever call Sidebottom a “roughie”, but if you like backing a player at odds nice and early, he’s probably one of the top choices. 

The veteran has been outstanding since footy resumed clocking 27 disposals a fortnight ago against Richmond, before going one better last week with 31 in the win over St Kilda. 

The $21.00 is massively over the odds considering Sidebottom polled second only two years ago behind Tom Mitchell. 

Tips, recommendations and commentary are for entertainment only. We provide no warranty about accuracy or completeness. You should make your own assessment before placing a bet.