The Brownlow Bubble: Round 5


It’s been another big week in Brownlow betting with the market turned upside down following the injury to Nat Fyfe and the unstoppable surge of Matt Rowell.

Lachie Neale’s dominance since the restart has also seen him firm into favouritism, while there has been a bit of a drift for Dusty Martin after another flat performance in his return against the Saints.

With things starting to tighten up, we run through all of our votes and all of the key moves in this week’s edition of The Brownlow Bubble.

Our Round 4 Votes

Sydney Swans v Western Bulldogs

Marcus Bontempelli3 votes
Tim English2 votes
Luke Parker1 vote

GWS Giants v Collingwood

Scott Pendlebury3 votes
Brodie Grundy2 votes
Toby Greene1 vote

Port Adelaide v West Coast

Charlie Dixon3 votes
Andrew Gaff2 votes
Brad Ebert1 vote

St Kilda v Richmond

Jack Billings3 votes
Shane Edwards2 votes
Jack Steele1 vote

Essendon v Carlton

Sam Docherty3 votes
Levi Casboult2 votes
Michael Gibbons1 vote

Gold Coast Suns v Fremantle

Matt Rowell3 votes
Touk Miller2 votes
Brandon Ellis1 vote

Brisbane Lions v Adelaide Crows

Lachie Neale3 votes
Jarrod Berry2 votes
Hugh McCluggage1 vote

Melbourne v Geelong Cats

Clayton Oliver3 votes
Sam Menegola2 votes
Patrick Dangerfield1 vote

Hawthorn v North Melbourne

Chad Wingard3 votes
James Worpel2 votes
Shaun Higgins1 vote

Lachie Neale – $7.00 $4.00

Neale has opened as the new Brownlow favourite heading into Round 5 following another dynamite display against the Crows.

For the third game in a row, the Lions’ start midfielder clocked 30 disposals, although he did fail to register a goal on the scoreboard finishing with six behinds to his name.

Nevertheless, Neale ranks first in total disposals, first in contested possessions, first in score involvements and second in total handballs.

He’s the kind of guy you want to play footy with, and after firming from $7.00 into $4.00, he’s beginning to look very tough to beat.

Patrick Cripps – $6.50

Cripps really needs to lift his game if he wishes to play tag with Lachie Neale in the market.

Last week’s 20 disposal, goalless performance in the win over Essendon was a little quiet compared to his usual standards, but there’s still plenty of time for the 25-year-old to peak.

The Blues take on St Kilda on Thursday, a team Cripps his statistically played his best footy against.

Averaging just a touch under 20 disposals against the Saints, don’t be surprised if he puts in a bigger performance this week.

Matthew Rowell – $21.00 $8.00

He’s a shoo-in to win the Rising Star, but what about the Brownlow?

A week ago Rowell was a $21.00 chance in our Brownlow market, but he’s now into as short as $8.00 following another two-goal performance against Fremantle last week.

Rowell also tied a game-high with six score involvements, so he’s certainly doing plenty to help the team.

Enough time has passed now to suggest he isn’t just a one-hit wonder, but with the Suns now (hopefully) travelling down to Melbourne to play the Cats and Hawks over the next fortnight, things are about to get a lot tougher.

Dustin Martin – $9.00 $13.00

Dusty returned from injury last week against the Saints, but he hardly looked his usual self.

In all honesty, we’re still waiting for the 2019 version of Dusty emerge – and the Tigers for the matter.  

He’ll get his shot against West Coast this week, a team he’s averaged 27 disposals against in 10 appearances. Another flat performance though would make it very difficult for the 2018 Brownlow Medalist to win another, though.

Nat Fyfe – $6.00 $15.00

The chances of Fyfe winning his third Charlie took a drastic detour last week with the superstar midfielder suffering a right hamstring injury.

Not surprisingly, Fyfe has drifted significantly in Brownlow betting, but all hope might not be lost with scans revealing only a low-grade hamstring injury.

The Fremantle captain will likely miss this week’s game against Adelaide, but he’s chance at playing again in Round 6 against Melbourne.

Considering he and fellow teammate Michael Walters are the only real bright spot on the Dockers’ roster, do not count Fyfe out just yet.

Tips, recommendations and commentary are for entertainment only. We provide no warranty about accuracy or completeness. You should make your own assessment before placing a bet.