It’s been another big week in Brownlow betting with the market turned upside down following the injury to Nat Fyfe and the unstoppable surge of Matt Rowell.
Lachie Neale’s dominance since the restart has also seen him firm into favouritism, while there has been a bit of a drift for Dusty Martin after another flat performance in his return against the Saints.
With things starting to tighten up, we run through all of our votes and all of the key moves in this week’s edition of The Brownlow Bubble.
Our Round 4 Votes
Sydney Swans v Western Bulldogs
|Marcus Bontempelli||3 votes|
|Tim English||2 votes|
|Luke Parker||1 vote|
GWS Giants v Collingwood
|Scott Pendlebury||3 votes|
|Brodie Grundy||2 votes|
|Toby Greene||1 vote|
Port Adelaide v West Coast
|Charlie Dixon||3 votes|
|Andrew Gaff||2 votes|
|Brad Ebert||1 vote|
St Kilda v Richmond
|Jack Billings||3 votes|
|Shane Edwards||2 votes|
|Jack Steele||1 vote|
Essendon v Carlton
|Sam Docherty||3 votes|
|Levi Casboult||2 votes|
|Michael Gibbons||1 vote|
Gold Coast Suns v Fremantle
|Matt Rowell||3 votes|
|Touk Miller||2 votes|
|Brandon Ellis||1 vote|
Brisbane Lions v Adelaide Crows
|Lachie Neale||3 votes|
|Jarrod Berry||2 votes|
|Hugh McCluggage||1 vote|
Melbourne v Geelong Cats
|Clayton Oliver||3 votes|
|Sam Menegola||2 votes|
|Patrick Dangerfield||1 vote|
Hawthorn v North Melbourne
|Chad Wingard||3 votes|
|James Worpel||2 votes|
|Shaun Higgins||1 vote|
Lachie Neale –
Neale has opened as the new Brownlow favourite heading into Round 5 following another dynamite display against the Crows.
For the third game in a row, the Lions’ start midfielder clocked 30 disposals, although he did fail to register a goal on the scoreboard finishing with six behinds to his name.
Nevertheless, Neale ranks first in total disposals, first in contested possessions, first in score involvements and second in total handballs.
He’s the kind of guy you want to play footy with, and after firming from $7.00 into $4.00, he’s beginning to look very tough to beat.
Patrick Cripps – $6.50
Cripps really needs to lift his game if he wishes to play tag with Lachie Neale in the market.
Last week’s 20 disposal, goalless performance in the win over Essendon was a little quiet compared to his usual standards, but there’s still plenty of time for the 25-year-old to peak.
The Blues take on St Kilda on Thursday, a team Cripps his statistically played his best footy against.
Averaging just a touch under 20 disposals against the Saints, don’t be surprised if he puts in a bigger performance this week.
Matthew Rowell –
He’s a shoo-in to win the Rising Star, but what about the Brownlow?
A week ago Rowell was a $21.00 chance in our Brownlow market, but he’s now into as short as $8.00 following another two-goal performance against Fremantle last week.
Rowell also tied a game-high with six score involvements, so he’s certainly doing plenty to help the team.
Enough time has passed now to suggest he isn’t just a one-hit wonder, but with the Suns now (hopefully) travelling down to Melbourne to play the Cats and Hawks over the next fortnight, things are about to get a lot tougher.
Dustin Martin –
Dusty returned from injury last week against the Saints, but he hardly looked his usual self.
In all honesty, we’re still waiting for the 2019 version of Dusty emerge – and the Tigers for the matter.
He’ll get his shot against West Coast this week, a team he’s averaged 27 disposals against in 10 appearances. Another flat performance though would make it very difficult for the 2018 Brownlow Medalist to win another, though.
Nat Fyfe –
The chances of Fyfe winning his third Charlie took a drastic detour last week with the superstar midfielder suffering a right hamstring injury.
Not surprisingly, Fyfe has drifted significantly in Brownlow betting, but all hope might not be lost with scans revealing only a low-grade hamstring injury.
The Fremantle captain will likely miss this week’s game against Adelaide, but he’s chance at playing again in Round 6 against Melbourne.
Considering he and fellow teammate Michael Walters are the only real bright spot on the Dockers’ roster, do not count Fyfe out just yet.