The Brownlow Bubble: AFL Round 7


Things have simmered down a little in the Brownlow market as Lachie Neale continues to put a sizeable gap between himself and the rest of the field.

The Brisbane Lions midfielder has firmed even further in betting following another big performance last week against Geelong, while we’ve also seen a couple of big names drift out to larger prices.

We’ve detailed our votes following Round 6 and offer a brief summary of the market in this week’s edition of The Brownlow Bubble below.

Our Round 6 Votes

Brisbane Lions v Geelong Cats

Patrick Dangerfield3 votes
Sam Menegola2 votes
Lachie Neale1 vote

Collingwood v Hawthorn

Adam Treloar3 votes
Brody Mihocek2 votes
Taylor Adams1 vote

Fremantle v St Kilda

Michael Walters3 votes
Nat Fyfe2 votes
Jack Steele1 vote

West Coast v Adelaide Crows

Brodie Smith3 votes
Tim Kelly2 votes
Dom Sheed1 vote

Melbourne v Gold Coast Suns

Christian Petracca3 votes
Jack Viney2 votes
Clayton Oliver1 vote

Essendon v North Melbourne

David Zaharakis3 votes
Andrew McGrath2 votes
Jy Simpkin1 vote

Port Adelaide v GWS Giants

Kane Farrell3 votes
Jeremy Cameron2 votes
Hamish Hartlett1 vote

Richmond v Sydney Swans

Kane Lambert3 votes
Jayden Short2 votes
Callum Mills1 vote

Carlton v Western Bulldogs

Eddie Betts3 votes
Bailey Smith2 votes
Will Setterfield1 vote

Lachie Neale – $3.00 $2.75

Neale kicked one of the goals of the season last week in Brisbane’s loss to the Swans to compliment yet another huge day at the office.

We’ve said time and time again that the price will continue to slim on the Lions’ star midfielder, and after 27 touches, a goal and four score involvements, here we are.

If you own Neale in AFL Fantasy you likely already know this, but he currently ranks first in two of footy’s most important categories: disposals and contested possessions.

The Lions will look to bounce-back from last weeks defeat on Saturday against GWS, a team Neale has averaged 15 disposals against in nine previous encounters.

If he can continue to put up big numbers against the league’s top contenders, good luck to everyone else.

Patrick Cripps – $8.00 $9.00

Cripps is on the drift following a fairly quiet game last Sunday against the Bulldogs.

Just about every Blues player saw a piece of the action in the 52-point win, but the captain somehow missed out finishing with only 13 touches and one mark.

Carlton takes on Port Adelaide on Sunday at the Gabba, another tough test for Cripps and the Blues as a whole. The way things are trending, it wouldn’t be surprising to see him slide further down the betting.

Patrick Dangerfield – $10.00

Danger is one of the few players that has remained steady in the market at $10.00.

He improved his chances at claiming a third Brownlow last week with 26 disposals, 14 contested possessions, three tackles and nine score involvements, a performance that earned all three votes from us.

The Cats are purring now with three straight wins in their pocket, and if Danger has himself another big day out against the Pies on Thursday, we should see him firm into single digits again.

Nat Fyfe – $15.00 $12.00

Fyfe returned sooner than expected from a hamstring injury to play a big part in last weeks come from behind win against the Saints.

The reigning Brownlow Medalist kicked two crucial goals and finished with 11 contested possessions – a performance that has seen him firm significantly in the market.

It would take something special for Fyfe to catch Lachie Neale from here, but from a team standpoint, his return to the side couldn’t have come at a better time with the Western Derby ahead on Sunday.

Dustin Martin – $15.00 $21.00

Very difficult to see Dusty polling many votes if things keep up.

Sunday’s game between Richmond and Sydney was tough to watch, and although Dusty did snag himself a goal, he still finds himself on a major drift in the betting.

Dusty doesn’t rank anywhere near the Top 10 in any of the major statistical categories – a major drop off in production following his performance in the Grand Final last year.

Tips, recommendations and commentary are for entertainment only. We provide no warranty about accuracy or completeness. You should make your own assessment before placing a bet.