The Brownlow Bubble: Round 13


The calm before another fixture storm is upon us as we take this minor break to reflect on the Brownlow market following three straight weeks of footy. 

Lachie Neale remains your odds-on favourite as he continues to dominate the competition, while a few familiar faces (and past winners) have dropped away completely. 

We’ve got you covered with some analysis as well as our Round 12 votes in another edition of The Brownlow Bubble below!

Our Round 12 Votes

Sydney Swans v GWS Giants

Luke Parker3 votes
Dean Rampe2 votes
Josh Kelly1 vote

Geelong Cats v Port Adelaide

Tom Hawkins3 votes
Patrick Dangerfield2 votes
Cam Guthrie1 vote

North Melbourne v Brisbane Lions

Jed Anderson3 votes
Jarryd Lyons2 votes
Jy Simpkin1 vote

Melbourne v Collingwood

Christian Petracca3 votes
Clayton Oliver2 votes
Steele Sidebottom1 vote

Fremantle v Carlton

Ed Curnow3 votes
Patrick Cripps2 votes
Luke Ryan1 vote

Western Bulldogs v Adelaide Crows

Aaron Naughton3 votes
Bailey Smith2 votes
Marcus Bontempelli1 vote

St Kilda v Essendon

Zak Jones3 votes
Jack Steele2 votes
Dylan Shiel1 vote

West Coast Eagles v Hawthorn

Tom Mitchell3 votes
Andrew Gaff2 votes
Luke Shuey1 vote

Richmond v Gold Coast Suns

Trent Cotchin3 votes
Jack Lukosius2 votes
Dylan Grimes1 vote

Lachie Neale – $1.40

It would take something very unfortunate for the Lions’ superstar midfielder not to take out the Charlie from here. 

By his usual standards, Neale was a little quiet last week against North finishing with only 24 disposals and seven tackles to his name, but hey, just about everyone in a Brisbane would probably rather forget that game. 

This week the Lions face a big test against St Kilda on Sunday, a team Neale has averaged only 14 disposals, four tackles and less than half a goal against during his career. 

In saying that, the Saints have allowed the eighth-most disposals to opponents this year, so there’s a high chance Lachie clocks up some bigger numbers. 

Christian Petracca – $8.00 

Petracca still appears to be the biggest threat to Neale with Dustin Martin and Patrick Dangerfield fading. 

The Dees have won three straight heading into Saturday’s game against the Dogs, and it’s largely been due to the play of their superstar forward. 

Petracca tied a season-high with 29 disposals a fortnight against North Melbourne and has also kicked a goal in each of his last two games. 

Overall, he’s now ranked fifth in contested possessions, 18th in metres gained, and perhaps most importantly, first in score involvements per game. 

Travis Boak – $15.00

Boak has been on a bit of a tear ever since he missed what surely would have been a game-winning goal against Carlton over a month ago. 

The 32-year-old was enormous a fortnight ago with 31 disposals and seven inside 50s in the win over Richmond, although it is hard to see him polling a vote following Port’s blowout loss to Geelong last week. 

Still, Boak is right up there with the best of the best. He ranks 18th in uncontested possessions, 13th in disposals and sixth in score involvements. He should have a real chance to boost those numbers against an injury-riddled Hawthorn side this week. 

Patrick Dangerfield – $21.00

The Cats have looked mighty dangerous over the last three weeks, but it’s become pretty clear that this isn’t Dangerfield’s year. 

He’s failed to put up 25+ disposals in each of his last five games, while he’s also kicked only six goals on the year. 

Dangerfield’s disposal numbers are perhaps the most worrying. Last season he finished with a total of 650, but through 12 games so far, his total stands at only 257. 

The goals are also way down, too. Danger kicked 27 last year compared to the six we just mentioned.