After nine rounds, 14 teams, a few fixture re-jigs here and there – we’re down to just six as the 2021 AFLW Finals gets underway.
Minor premiers Adelaide and second-placed Brisbane will have a week off in the first week of the finals, earning their spots in the Prelims.
It’s do-or-die for the other four teams with two big games this Saturday to decide who will take on the Crows or Lions.
Can we make week 1 of the AFLW Finals a profitable one for the punters?
Read on in our tips and preview.
Saturday 3 April, Casey Fields, 1.10pm
Fourth-placed Melbourne will play host to fifth-placed Fremantle at Casey Fields for a spot in the Preliminary Final against Adelaide.
The Dees have been in red-hot form in their run to the finals, taking some huge scalps and a thrilling two-point win over the Lions ensured a home final.
However, skipper Daisy Pearce has been deemed “highly unlikely” to feature in her sides final after the club confirmed damage to her right medical collateral ligament according to reports.
Both Melbourne and Fremantle have been involved with some absolute nailbiters of late, including when the Dees went over to Perth and managed to fend off a Dockers comeback to win by five points.
Freo went down by a point to North Melbourne at Arden Street last Saturday, with yet another slow start costing them before charing home in the second half.
The Dockers have now lost their past two matches by a combined margin of six points, and only just managed to beat the Blues by 4 points in their most recent win.
I wouldn’t want to have a heart condition if I was a Freo AFLW supporter!
Picking a winner in this is a real toss of a coin.
Momentum is everything and the Dees just keep on winning, however, if Fremantle can manage to shake off their slow starts I believe they can do some serious damage and cause an upset to really give the start of the AFLW finals a shake up.
Back Fremantle H2H @ $2
Saturday 3 April, Victoria Park, 1.10pm
This should be a beauty.
Third-placed Collingwood up against the sixth-placed North Melbourne at Victoria Park with the winner taking on the Brisbane Lions
The Magpies have been one of the most consistent and arguably most improved teams of 2021 and worthy finalists.
A 14-point loss to Adelaide last week saw Collingwood miss a Preliminary final spot and they now find themselves in a do-or-die situation, dropping from first to third.
All North Melbourne needed to do last week was win, and they did. Just.
After trailing at three-quarter time, Daisy Bateman put North in front with the Roos showing great composure holding to a one-point lead or the last seven minutes of the last quarter to win.
These two sides did meet back in Round 4 when Collingwood won by 20 points – with North Melbourne failing to kick a goal and scoring a measly 0-8 (8) at Marvel Stadium.
You may also remember that these two teams did meet in last years final series, in which the Kangaroos won a two-point thriller at Ikon Park only to have the season abruptly cancelled due to the pandemic.
Collingwood has been very good for my AFLW tipping this season, and they go into this game the rightful favourites.
I’ll take the Pies at the line to book a spot in the Prelim against the Lions.
Back Collingwood to Cover the Line (-4.5) @ $1.88