The Brownlow Bubble: AFL Round 2

We’re only two weeks in, but already the cream is starting to rise to the top of the Brownlow Medal market.

Dustin Martin has firmed even shorter in betting following another impressive performance last week, while further down, things have shifted with Nat Fyfe ruled out for Round 3 due to a concussion.

Overreaction often runs rampant in the first couple of weeks, so with Dusty seemingly running away with it, now is the time to load up on a few names that are being seriously undervalued.

To help you out, we’ve got you covered with our Round 2 votes, as well as our overall leaderboard in another edition of The Brownlow Bubble below.

The Brownlow Big Board

Players

Votes

Odds

Dustin Martin

6

$4.50

Clayton Oliver

6

$21.00

Taylor Walker

6

N/A

Tom Mitchell

5

$15.00

Errol Gulden

5

$151

Dom Sheed

4

$101

Jack Macrae

4

$21.00

Bailey Smith

3

$41.00

Andrew McGrath

3

$51.00

Travis Boak

3

$7.00

Jack Billings

3

$101

Christian Petracca

3

$10.00

Jordan de Goey

3

$41.00

Joel Selwood

3

$151

Ollie Wines

3

$81.00

Marcus Bontempelli

3

$7.00

Noah Anderson

3

N/A

David Mundy

3

$201

Zak Butters

2

$201

Our Round 2 Votes

Carlton v Collingwood

Player Votes
Jordan De Goey 3 Votes
Jack Crisp 2 Votes
Harry McKay 1 Vote

Geelong Cats v Brisbane Lions

Player Votes
Joel Selwood 3 Votes
Tom Hawkins 2 Votes
Eric Hipwood 1 Vote

Sydney Swans v Adelaide Crows

Player Votes
Taylor Walker 3 Votes
Errol Gulden 2 Votes
Jack Kennedy 1 Vote

Port Adelaide v Essendon

Player Votes
Ollie Wines 3 Votes
Zak Butters 2 Votes
Charlie Dixon 1 Vote

St Kilda v Melbourne

Player Votes
Clayton Oliver 3 Votes
Christian Petracca 2 Votes
Jack Steele 1 Vote

Gold Coast Suns v North Melbourne

Player Votes
Noah Anderson 3 Votes
Touk Miller 2 Votes
Jack Lukosius 1 Vote

Hawthorn v Richmond

Player Votes
Dustin Martin 3 Votes
Tom Mitchell 2 Votes
Trent Cotchin 1 Vote

Western Bulldogs v West Coast Eagles

Player Votes
Marcus Bontempelli 3 Votes
Jack Macrae 2 Votes
Dom Sheed 1 Vote

Fremantle v GWS Giants

Player Votes
David Mundy 3 Votes
Andrew Brayshaw 2 Votes
Lachie Schultz 1 Vote

Dustin Martin – $6.00 – $4.50

Hard to remember a player being as short as $4.50 heading into Round 3.

Last week’s battle between Dusty and Shaun Burgoyne was a fascinating one from start to finish, and while the reigning Norm Smith Medalist was far from his destructive best, he still managed to pick up all three votes thanks to some very unselfish play.

Dusty could have easily finished with three goals next to his 28 disposals against the Hawks, but instead he opted for the ‘team first’ approach when faced with a set shot.

Through two rounds, Martin is already averaging just shy of 30 disposals and 12 contested possessions – scary numbers with a couple of key games coming up against the Swans and Port.

Nobody is having more fun on the footy field right now, so if you fancy Dusty to add another Brownlow to the mantlepiece, you’re best off jumping on now.

Lachie Neale – $7.00 – $9.00

The reigning Brownlow Medalist endured what was arguably his toughest game at the professional level last week in Geelong.

Neale finished the first half with only three disposals after spending most of the night under a hard tag applied by Geelong’s Mark O’Connor.

Neale’s numbers go hand-in-hand with Brisbane’s slow start to the season, but there’s still plenty of time to turn things around.

The Lions have drifted from $8.00 out to $11.00 to win the Premiership, and there’s equal value on offer for Neale to string together a strong April and rejoin the likes of Dusty at the top of the market.

Jack Macrae – $21.00

Macrae finished with a serious case of leather poisoning last week in the Dogs’ thrilling win over West Coast.

The 26-year-old has flirted with the top of the Brownlow leaderboard for a couple of years now, and after piling on 41 disposals last week, it’s safe to say he’s right back in the thick of things.

If you’ve been keeping count, Macrae has now tallied 40 or more disposals ten times in his career.

He’ll have to fight off the Bont, Adam Treloar and Bailey Smith for votes each week, but at $21.00, Macrae remains one of the biggest dark horses in the early market.

Clayton Oliver – $41.00 – $21.00

Not surprisingly, Oliver has been the biggest firmer in Brownlow betting this week after finishing with 37 disposals in Melbourne’s impressive win over the Saints.

The 23-year-old remains one of the most under appreciated players in the league, but now in his sixth season, this really feels like the year Olly can improve from being a very good player, into an all around blue chipper.

As far as the Brownlow is concerned, the only thing that really lets him down is the lack of a good goal here and there. Even so, he’s massively over the odds after putting up back-to-back games of 35+ disposals.

Tips, recommendations and commentary are for entertainment only. We provide no warranty about accuracy or completeness. You should make your own assessment before placing a bet.