So You’re Telling me North is a Chance?

NORTH Melbourne are very much the outsider at the unlucky (for some) odds of $13 head-to-head as the Kangaroos make the trip down the highway to take on Geelong this Sunday.

The Kangaroos are currently 0-4 sitting bottom of the ladder with a measly percentage of just 43.0% and are short-priced favourites to take out this year’s wooden spoon at $1.35 for least wins in our AFL futures market.

GMHBA Stadium does not hold good memories for the Kangas, when they last played there in Round 21, 2019 their final score was 1-8 (14) which would be the lowest in the club’s proud history.

When it comes to the prospect of an upset on Sunday, the odds are literally stacked against the Kangaroos.

With the Cats $1.03 favourites, the line has been set at +56.5, it seems as though not even the most optimistic punter has any faith that the bottom of the ladder Kangaroos will put up a fight.

Not even Lloyd Christmas himself gives North a chance.


However, North Melbourne’s outsider odds against the Cats are far from the biggest we’ve seen in Ladbrokes Australian history.

GWS holds the honour of being the pre-match biggest outsider since Ladbrokes launched in Australia back in 2013.

Facing a rampaging dynasty-bound/eventual premiers Hawthorn in Round 8 of that season down in Launceston, The Giants opened at a record $34 head to head price and a whopping +94.5 underdog at the line.

While the Giants did lose the game, they actually covered the massive +94.5 line that day with Hawthorn beating a young GWS team by 83 points.

Our biggest outsider upset was back in Round 18, 2018 when the Gold Coast Suns upset the Sydney Swans by 18 points at the SCG.

Prior to the match, the Suns were $17 in the head to head – one of the biggest outsiders to win and a +63.5 underdog at the line.

As the Swans got out to a 29-point lead at quarter time, the Suns went out to $151 in our live market.

While no punters were game enough to take the Suns at $151, two Ladbrokes punters (who were either Gold Coast true believers or just had an intuition that today could be the day the Suns broke their 11 game losing streak) backed them pre-game at:

$100 for the Gold Coast Suns to win by 20-29 @ $126 and $50 for the Gold Coast Suns to win by more than 15.5 @ $101.00

As for backing North Melbourne on Sunday, upsets can happen, but as the song says there’s a fine LINE between pleasure and pain.


Ladbrokes Australia first AFL season: 2013
Longest H2H odds: GWS @ $29.63 v Hawthorn ($1.01) Round 8, 2013 @ Launceston
Longest Line: R8 2013 Hawthorn v GWS @ Launceston – 94.5
Biggest Upset: Gold Coast Suns def. Sydney 2018 @ $17

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