It finally happened, the Bulldogs won a game in 2021!
Just going off the sheer weight of numbers, it was awfully unlikely they would have lost every single game this season and that win had to come at some point, but you would have been hard pressed to guess when.
We’re back to recap another high scoring weekend in the NRL with our five big lessons below.
1 – The Points Were Flying In This Weekend
After a brief dip in Round 6, we were back to seeing plenty of high scoring affairs with the eight games this weekend producing an average of 48 points per game.
That number is the highest of the weekend and largely down to the winning sides scoring 33.75 points across their games.
It was a good round for the favourites to fill up with six of the eight winning outright and five of those six covering the line.
The Raiders are a tough side to get a read on at the moment as they do not seem to enjoy playing as favourites.
Head to head they have gone 3-3 while against the spread their record is a paltry 2-4.
2 – The Cowboys Are The Overs Team For 2021
Seven games played, six overs, in a season of few guarantees, the Cowboys and the over might just be the best combination you can find in the NRL.
After getting shut out by the Panthers in Round 1, the boys from Townsville have been scoring for fun with their subsequent six contests all going over the total points number.
Including that 24-0 defeat, we have seen 339 points in the Cowboys seven games at an average of 48.43 per game and if you take out Round 1, that average moves to 52.5.
At some point the market will start to adjust to the fact Cowboys games seem destined to finish with both teams scoring at least 20 points, but until then, there’s an angle to take into your betting analysis.
Up next for them is a Warriors side that has already played in a pair of 60+ point games this season so don’t be at all surprised if we are treated to a shootout in Gosford.
3 – You Have To Feel For The Titans
Imagine scoring 30 points, the sixth highest team points tally on the weekend, only to run into one of the five sides that happened to score more than you.
It would have been exactly the response Justin Holbrook would have been hoping for in attack having been shut out by Manly in Round 6.
Unfortunately defence proved to be a major issue with the Bunnies registering 40 points of their own to pick up another vital win.
On the plus side for the Titans, it was an encouraging effort holding a 24-10 halftime lead and proving that they are capable of contending for the finals this season.
4 – The Tigers Can’t Defend
Watching Wests on the weekend, it should come as no surprise to find out they have the worst defensive record in the NRL.
218 points conceded over their seven games, giving up over 30 in five of those, there’s really no reason to feel good about backing them most weeks.
It was just too easy for Manly on the weekend.
While the Dragons might not have been lighting up the scoreboard in the last month, they are certainly capable of getting things back on track by putting up 30+ on the Tigers this weekend.
5 – Let’s Not Go Nuts On The Bulldogs
Yeah, every streak has to start with one win but the Bulldogs still have a very long way to go.
They were good value for their 18-0 lead after the first 22 minutes but from there you couldn’t help but feel the Sharks were going to find a way back.
Had they have woken up before half time the story of that game would be drastically different.
Parramatta is likely to inflict all sorts of far to familiar pain on Canterbury this weekend.