Another round of footy, another chance to learn.
Here’s five things we took from AFL Round 9 with the Punters perspective in mind.
(1) We Have a Flag Favorite!
Despite the fact Melbourne made it 9-0 yesterday against the Blues, the Western Bulldogs currently leads the betting as $5 premiership favorites.
The undefeated Dees are on the second line of betting at $5.25 followed by Richmond at $5.75 with Geelong and Port both offering $7 to taste glory on that one day in September, the Brisbane Lions are even money at $8.
Last week saw the premiership market result in four equal favorites – at least there’s been some movement in the Monday after Round 9.
She’s a pretty competitive market and not having a clear flag favorite is good for Punters, and more importantly – good for Football.
(2) Hawthorn will win the Wooden Spoon
…if current trends persist.
The Hawks dropped a 32-point lead and lost to North Melbourne who hadn’t won a match for 287 days at a ground they rarely lose at.
Some pundits even suggest that Hawthorn is in worse positon than the Kangaroos in the rebuild stakes.
Clarko and Hawthorn has always preferred a lick of paint, rather than a complete renovation but perhaps it’s time to call in the renovators down at Waverley.
Keep an eye out on the wooden spoon/least wins future market when you get the chance this week, you’ll get a good price on the Hawks if you feel inclined.
And a trend has emerged, if you have a long losing streak, playing Hawthorn is a wonderful way to break the drought.
(3) Richmond Just Don’t Give Up
Similar to Principal Skinner chasing Bart for skipping school in the classic season 5 Simpsons episode “The Boy Who Knew Too Much”, Richmond can be like some sort of non-giving up…football team.
Yet again it was Sir Dustin Martin who lifted his side when they were down for the count, picking up plenty of the footy, kicking four team lifting goals and bringing Richmond back from 28 points down in the third quarter as fittingly after a week in the headlines, Daniel Rioli kicked the sealer.
No matter where they may finish in the top eight, no one really wants to play Richmond come September.
The Tigers head to the place of their 2020 premiership triumph, the Gabba this Friday night to take on the Lions.
They open the betting as $2.90 underdogs.
(4) Hind-sight is a Wonderful thing
The former Saint turned Bomber is filling that Saad, Fantasia and McKenna void at Essendon, and Same Game Multi enthusiasts should take note.
Hind proved his one of the best pick-ups this season in the Bomber’s thrilling seven-point win over Freo on Sunday with 31 disposals (24 kicks if you don’t mind) and has been amongst Essendon’s best so far in season 2021.
You’ve gotta consider putting Hind down for plenty of the Sherrin if you’re having an SGM on the Dons v North clash this Sunday.
(5) Bad Kicking is Bad Football
To borrow a format used by a prominent senior Football journalist
St Kilda 5-17 (47)
St Kilda 17-5 (109)
The Saints will spend most of this week contemplating the coulda, shoulda and woulda of their 21-point loss to the Cats on Friday night.
Poor Max King kicked 1-5 in front of goal, and has kicked 4-12 in the past four matches.
It’s clearly a case of the yips, but we all know this Saints young gun will bounce back big time.
I wouldn’t be surprised if he’s first goal kicker, or kicks a few in the Saints clash against the Doggies this Saturday night.