The Brownlow Bubble: AFL Round 11


A sense of deja vu has swept over the Brownlow market this week with Clayton Oliver receiving another tidy trim from the bookies. 

Ollie has sat atop our Brownlow Big Board for weeks now, and it appears Ladbrokes bookies are finally paying him the respect he deserves heading into a key clash with the Lions this Friday night. 

Elsewhere, a former Charlie winner is on the drift again, while we’ve also seen last year’s third place-getter Jack Steele emerge as a serious value play following a couple of strong weeks. 

To find out who’s hot and who’s not, be sure to read our Round 11 edition of The Brownlow Bubble below. 

The Brownlow Big Board

Clayton Oliver23$5.50
Jack Macrae20$11.00
Ollie Wines16$11.00
Travis Boak15$15.00
Jarryd Lyons15$41.00
Marcus Bontempelli15$4.50
Darcy Parish15$17.00
Christian Petracca13$6.50
Cam Guthrie13$19.00
Touk Miller13N/A
Jack Steele13$29.00
Dayne Zorko12$101.00
Rory Laird11$81.00
Ben Cunnington11$101.00
Tom Mitchell11$34.00
Taylor Walker11$101.00
Zach Merrett11$29.00
David Mundy10$34.00
Dustin Martin10$10.00

Our Round 11 Votes

Western Bulldogs v Melbourne

Clayton Oliver3
Jack Macrae2
Max Gawn1

Collingwood v Geelong Cats

Tom Hawkins3
Brandon Parfitt2
Jordan de Goey1

Brisbane Lions v GWS Giants

Mitch Robinson3
Dayne Zorko2
Callan Ward1

St Kilda v North Melbourne

Jack Steele3
Brad Crouch2
Mason Wood1

Gold Coast Suns v Hawthorn

Touk Miller3
Izak Rankine2
Brandon Ellis1

West Coast Eagles v Essendon

Darcy Parish3
Zach Merrett2
Dom Sheed1

Richmond v Adelaide Crows

Jack Riewoldt3
Taylor Walker2
Shai Bolton1

Sydney Swans v Carlton

Issac Heeney3
Patrick Cripps2
Luke Parker1

Port Adelaide v Fremantle

Ollie Wines3
Sam Powell-Pepper2
Charlie Dixon1

Clayton Oliver – $9.00 – $5.50 

If you didn’t back Oliver two weeks ago like we said, you only have yourself to blame. 

The price on the Dees’ star midfielder continues to slim after another marvellous display last week in the win over the Dogs. 

Ollie now ranks third in disposals per-game and 10th in tackles, while he also ranks third in total clearances ahead of Friday’s monster clash against the Lions in Sydney.

Last year Oliver finished with 28 disposals in a narrow loss to Brisbane at Metricon, so he’s almost a shoo-in to land somewhere in the votes once again. 

Dustin Martin – $7.00 – $10.00 

Pretty strange to find Dusty all the way out to double figures. 

The three-time Norm Smith Medalist hasn’t cracked 30 touches since Richmond’s Round 5 win over the Saints, and after another quiet performance last week against the Crows, it’s becoming less and less likely we see Dusty finishing Top 5 on Brownlow night. 

Jack Steele – $34.00 – $29.00 

The Saints haven’t been much chop, but at least Jack Steele has given the fans something to cheer about.

The 25-year-old has been among the top disposal-getters for St Kilda all season, but where Steele has really excelled has been in the tackle count. 

By our count, Steele picked up all three votes last week in the win over North after laying down 12 tackles – an effort that has left him ranked second in the category heading into Saturday’s game against the Swans.