The third major of the year tees off on Friday (AEST) as Torrey Pines Golf Course in San Diego plays host to the 121st US Open.
For the first time in a while punters are faced with tremendous double-digit value atop the market with Spaniard Jon Rahm installed as $10.00 chance, followed closely by Dustin Johnson ($15), with close friends Brooks Koepka and Bryson DeChambeau level at $17.00.
Cameron Smith looks to be Australia’s best chance, but there is a case to be made for Marc Leishman at odds after winning at Torrey Pines last year.
Torrey Pines’ South Course is a difficult one to navigate as it calls for plenty of length off the tee and a great deal of accuracy down the narrow fairways.
For our thoughts heading into a massive weekend of golf, be sure to read our entire 2021 US Open Preview below!
Our Suggested US Open Betting Strategy
- 2 Units Xander Schaufele
- 1 Unit Patrick Reed
- 1 Unit Will Zalatoris
- 0.5 Unit Marc Leishman
- 0.5 Unit Max Homa
Xander Schauffele – $19.00
The 27-year-old has been a frustrating commodity, but he’s got the runs on the board at the US Open to suggest he can finally break through and win a major this week.
In four appearances at the US Open, Schauffele has finished no worse than sixth, while it’s also hard to forget his T2 at Torrey Pines behind Patrick Reed at the Farmers Insurance Open earlier in January.
Stats wise, Schauffele is just about the complete package ranking Top 10 in birdie average and 18th in Strokes Gained: Tee to Green, while the fact he missed the cut at the PGA Championship a few weeks ago should only add fuel to the fire.
I tipped him at the Masters and he let us down in the final round, but since this is Schauffele’s home course, I’m happy to give him another shot.
Patrick Reed – $26.00
Reed is definitely flying under the radar when you consider he won the Farmers at Torrey Pines by a comfortable five strokes earlier in the year.
That alone should make him a popular mid-tier pick this week, coupled with the fact he’s finished as high as fourth at the US Open in the past.
Throw in a strong T5 at The Memorial a couple of weeks ago and it wouldn’t bet surprising if the 30-year-old secured his second major.
Will Zalatoris – $34.00
Zalatoris is still searching for his first win on TOUR, but it’s certainly not far away given how well he’s been playing this year.
The youngster finished T6 at last year’s US Open and has since gone on to finish T7 at Torrey Pines at the Farmers earlier in the year.
More recently, the 24-year-old has held his own for at TPC Sawgrass before finishing outright second to Hideki Matsuyama at the Masters in April.
Zalatoris also ranks Top 50 in two key statistical categories, Strokes Gained: Off the Tee and driving distance, placing him among the top contenders this week despite what the market suggests.
Marc Leishman – $56.00
He’s a bit of a horse for this course ol’ Leish.
He actually won the Farmers at Torrey Pines last year by a stroke over current US Open favourite Jon Rahm, so the Australian should feel pretty confident heading into the weekend.
The 37-year-olds recent form doesn’t read entirely well for this event (missed cut at the PGA Championship, T57 at the Memorial), but on the plus side, he did play some stunning golf at Augusta a couple of months ago to finish T5.
If he can find some accuracy off the tee and clean up his short game, Leish is worth something small at the current odds.
Max Homa – $81.00
Homa can be a little hot and cold at times, but I really don’t think he deserves to be an $81.00 chance.
The American finished -12 under to win The Genesis Invitational earlier in the year, while he also handled this course nicely at the Farmers for a T18 finish.
He responded rather nicely to back-to-back missed cuts at the Wells Fargo and the PGA Championship to finish T6 at The Memorial a fortnight ago, and with a week off between events, I think he can be competitive this weekend if his putting holds up.