Five Lessons Learned – AFL Round 14

It’s time for that 5-leg multi of hindsight as we cash in on what we learned during Round 14 of the AFL.

We call this: Five Lessons Learned.

Five lessons, with the punters perspective in mind.

(1) Essendon Won’t Play Finals

The Bombers are up and about right now, playing some awesome footy with the likes of Jake Stringer playing a blinder in yesterday’s thrilling 12-point win over Hawthorn.

Essendon fans have every right to be bullish about the clubs prospects right now, but, I reckon I’m prepared to rule them out of playing finals this year.

I know what the comments are going to be like

“Who is this flog?”

“What would he know?”

“THE DONS ARE COMING…U FLOG”

Fact of the matter is, Essendon face Melbourne at the MCG this Saturday night followed by the Cats in Geelong for the first time since 1993.

If the Bombers win both of these games, I’ll take it all back and you can show me the screenshot/link to this article in which I wrote your beloved Dons prospects off.

However, should the Dons lose to both the Demons and Cats as is expected, Essendon will be 6 wins – 9 losses after Round 16.

No one makes the top eight from that position.

$2.75 says that my prediction is wrong, and the Dons will make a serious run towards finals football.

Maybe next year, hey?

(2) Same Old Carlton

Speaking of wrong predictions, did anyone else think the Blues might be a chance to sneak into the eight this year?

No matter how much the Blues talk about what they are cooking, making sure we are aware that they are coming or telling us to get on board the Teague train, it’s the same old 21st century version of the Carlton Football Club we’ve become accustomed to.

So much promise, yet so little.

Much will be said and written about the state of affairs at Princes Park this week, from a Punting perspective, let’s never tip the Blues in a futures market for finals ever again.

(3) Same Old Suns

Does anyone actually care about the Gold Coast Suns?

This is a basic summary for how a season with the Gold Coast Suns works

  • Start the year on a great note with a couple of feel good wins
  • Turn to easybeats around May/June
  • Call for the club to be relocated/replaced by a Tasmanian side
  • Club chairman Tony Cochrane to get angry in interview saying people on the Gold Coast care and they are playing the long game
  • Request a priority draft pick
  • Finish somewhere between 16th and 18th on the ladder
  • Rinse. Wash. Repeat.

For punters, backing the line on whoever is playing the Suns for the rest of the season will be money for jam.

(4) Thursday Night Cat Fight

I know we’re meant to just reflect on what we’ve learned over the weekend, but Thursday night’s top four clash between Brisbane and Geelong at the Gabba is going to be an absolute beauty.

The Cats will be up and about after Gary Rohan kicked the sealer after the siren against the Dogs on Friday night, Brisbane went through the motions on Saturday to get the job done over North.

The Lions will want to get one up over the Cats after they got smashed by them in last year’s preliminary final, not to mention the home cooking that was served up in the dying stages of their match at GMHBA Stadium back in round 2.

At time of publish, the match markets are yet to be confirmed, but one would suspect the Lions will be narrow favorites factoring in their home ground advantage, so the Cats will be a good value underdog.

Either way, it’s set to be a beauty and I cannot wait for this game to get underway.

(5) Give Tassie a Team

We’re not offering a market on it, but if we did, you’d get $1.01 that the good folk of Tassie would be right behind an AFL team to call their own.

Yesterday’s huge turnout at Launceston for the Hawks v Dons game was proof of it, and I suspect, many would change allegiances if there was a standalone Tasmanian team in the AFL, with everyone’s blessing.

As proud sponsors of Tasracing, we at Ladbrokes know how much those in the Apple Isle love their sport, this heartland state of the great Australian game must be in the Australian Football League, unlike some who already are.