Did you tip 9 winners after AFL Round 17?
Of course, you didn’t.
No one did.
Now is the time to reflect in our 5 leg hindsight multi we like to call 5 Lessons Learned…
(1) RIP MULTIS
2223 Ladbrokes Punters backed Richmond (1492) or West Coast (731) to win this year’s premiership outright, not to mention the many more who had included the Tigers and/or Eagles premiership/top 4/top 8 in a futures multi.
The bets might list as pending on your accounts, but you and I both know that neither of these are going to be resulted as winners come September.
Since West Coast beat Richmond by 4 points back in Round 13 at Optus Stadium, in what many believed to be one of the games of the year and a potential finals preview, both teams have fallen in an absolute slump, and are shadows of their former selves.
The last two premiership teams may struggle to even make the top eight, and quite frankly, would only be making up the numbers should they scrape in.
Anyone who’s anyone has a hot take on the fate of both West Coast and Richmond, most of it deserved, and while many are glad to see the end of these two teams (for now), our thoughts today are with the Punters who backed them to win the flag.
(2) SYDNEY CAN WIN THE FLAG
Yet again we could be facing back-to-back hub premierships.
It looks like both NSW teams are facing an extended stay in Melbourne hubs, most likely until the end of the season and the Swans are every chance to go from 16th to premiers in the space of a year.
An upset victory over the Western Bulldogs on Sunday gives them every chance to sneak into the top four.
If the Swans are able to get the job done over the Giants in the Sydney Derby (now scheduled for Ballarat this Saturday) along with a few other results going their way, John Longmire’s men will be in the top four.
Sydney has been one of the best teams to watch all year and proven they can beat anyone on their day.
Currently, the Swans are $13 to win the flag, they are not a bad roughie, although should they go all the way, you’d wish you’d got them at $101 just before the season got underway.
(3) NO ONE KNOWS THE FATE OF THE EIGHT
The top eight is far from decided with anyone from 5th – 14th still a chance to be part of the action come finals.
Despite the death warrants and the obituaries being written this week, West Coast ($1.80) and Richmond ($3) are still a sneaky value chance to scrape in.
Fremantle impressed with a big win over the Hawks on Saturday, and is now in 7th place.
With four of their last six games scheduled at Optus Stadium, taking the Dockers at $2.75 to make the eight is about as good a value bet you can make.
As is St Kilda, after three straight wins, the Saints are now ninth on the ladder, and based on current form – the Saints are every chance to beat the likes of Port Adelaide and West Coast and $3.40.
Essendon is $3.40 and GWS has drifted out to $3.75, but with results all over the shop, there’s still some value on offer for either the Giants or Dons to somehow end up part of the September action.
For those optimists spending plenty of time on the AFL Ladder predictor, Carlton is $15 and the Gold Coast Suns are $26 to make the eight.
Stranger things have happened.
(4) NORTH HAVE COURAGE
Forget the doom and gloom, what a sensational win it was from North Melbourne last night against the West Coast Eagles.
North’s determined and gritty performance to notch up their third win for the year was a sign that this young group is going places.
It was a classic case of the third quarter being the premiership quarter, with the Kangaroos able to pile on the goals to get out to a three-goal lead.
Last night’s win was a classic case of Shinboner Spirit and it’s alive and well in David Noble’s young group.
From a Punting perspective, the Kangaroos have covered the line four weeks in a row and becoming a very reliable bet while they remain underdogs heading into every single match.
(5) SCOREBOARD PRESSURE
It’s not punting-related, but it’s been bugging me and a few others this season.
AFL Venues and broadcasters are going through a phase of having club logos instead of the team names in clear, bold, and CAPTIAL letters on scoreboards and it looks terrible.
We talk about clash jumpers all the time, but clash scoreboards are a big thing.
While fancy graphics are great, just wanting to know what the score is and the clock should be simple and easy to read at all times, no matter how good your eyesight is.
This is a plea to the venues and broadcasters to please revert to plain, simple, and clean scoreboards.
No one will miss the fancy graphics and we’ll all be able to see the scores clear and precisely.
I am not a crackpot.