5 Lessons Learned – AFL Round 19


Somehow, despite all the interruptions and forks in the road, we got through another round of footy.

As always on a Monday, we put together a five-leg multi of hindsight otherwise known as 5 Lessons Learned.

There’s plenty of hot take bullet points columns on a Monday morning, but this is from a Punters perspective.

Let’s get learnin’.

(1) The State of the Eight is Anyone’s Guess

This Olympic themed meme from the GWS social team says it all

St Kilda, Freo, Essendon, Richmond all had their chance to sneak into eight on the weekend but it was the Giants, with the benefit of those two extra premiership points from that draw against North a few weeks back (Draws are good, we’ve taught this lesson already) that’s seen them sneak into eighth place after beating the Bombers.

The eighth spot is anyone’s guess right now, and perhaps the idea of playing away to Port, Brisbane, or Sydney in week one of the finals is daunting you’ve still gotta be in it to win it.

It’s best to keep your eye out on our top four and top eight futures markets.

At the rate the footy is going right now, there’s every chance for a Bradbury.

(2) North are Just Fine at the Line

North Melbourne’s 39-point win over Carlton on Saturday wasn’t just another sign that the Kangaroos are definitely on the improve, not only has it been three wins in five games, it was the eighth consecutive week that they’ve covered the line.

Backing North Melbourne at the line is becoming the Punter’s friend, with the bookies expecting the Roos to cop a belting only to have that Shinboner spirit kick in.

The Kangaroos will no doubt open as underdogs when they face Geelong on the weekend, but it’s worth taking note of what the line will be set at.

Either way, I’d be confident to yet again back the Kangas to cover it.

(3) It’s the Cats Flag to Lose

If Geelong doesn’t win the flag this year, they never will…with this squad at least.

The Cats have won 10 of their last 11, and have become the first team to beat Richmond twice in a season since 2016 and despite the fact, the Western Bulldogs are top of the ladder is hard to argue that Geelong is the ones playing better footy right now.

Richmond is done for 2021, the Cats can avenge their loss in last year’s Grand Final by going one better this year and they are well placed.

After this weekend, Geelong is $4 favorites to win the flag, and deservedly so.

Surely they don’t s*it the bed this time come the business end of the season?

(4) Game of Two Halves

The riot act must have been read out by Chris Fagan at half-time during Saturday’s Q-Clash against the Gold Coast Suns when the Brisbane Lions trailed by 27-points.

Multis were set to be ruined by a Gold Coast Suns upset, people were prepared to put the Lions top-four prospects in doubt, and that talk about the exciting future for Stewy Dew would have been a lesson to learn.

It wasn’t to be.

Brisbane found their mojo in the second half, kicking 13 second-half goals to end up 17-18 (120) to 10-11 (71) winners.

Those weekend multis were saved, thanks to the likes of the Big O Oscar McInerney, Jarryd Lyons, Hugh McCluggage, and Linc McCarthy’s four goals.

Joe Daniher kicked a couple of freak goals as well.

The lesson here is, never give up and it’s mostly a shout-out to thank Brisbane for saving many a multi.

Not that they care, nor should they, but from a punters’ perspective it’s a big thumbs up.

(5) Did you Actually Watch the Footy?

Unless it involved your team, did you really feel the need to watch all of the footy on the weekend?

With the Tokyo Olympics up and running and the 7+ app allowing you to watch any bloody sport you want, why would you bother with North Melbourne v Carlton when the mixed table tennis doubles finals between China and France is in full flight?

Even the AFL’s biggest names are spending more time watching the games than the footy itself.

No one is cheating on the footy or will forget about the footy, it’s just fun to take a bit of a breather, check-in on the scores every now and then and enjoy everything Tokyo has to offer.