Tokyo Tips: Day 10 – Monday 2nd August

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Football: Australia v Sweden
9.00pm AEST

SGM: Sweden to Win & Both Teams to Score @ $3.26

How good are the Matildas?

Australia’s most entertaining football team advanced to the Semi Finals for the first time in their history with an epic win over Great Britain.

Now they have to back it all up again tonight against a Swedish side they are facing for the third time in less than two months.

The friendly in mid-June finished 0-0 thanks to the efforts of Teagan Micah however the group stage match was much more convincing with the Swedes coming away 4-2 victors nine days ago.

While Brenton Speed will tell us about the Matildas never say die attitude on the broadcast several times, it is a massive ask for them to back up from that draining contest.

My heart says “go Aussies” but my head is saying this will be a step too far and when it comes to betting, that’s what I have to follow.

Basketball: Australia v Puerto Rico
10.00pm AEST

SGM: Australia to Cover -36.5 & Under 150.5 Total Points @ $3.44

The Aussies have had a nightmare start to their campaign losing to Belgium and China and now staring at the prospect of being on a much earlier flight home than expected.

The good news is their final game is against Puerto Rico who have not enjoyed their time in Tokyo either, losing to China by 42 and Belgium by 35.

Understandably there is no head to head market available for this game so we’ll dip into the SGM options to build a nice value bet.

Scoring has been an issue for the Aussies putting up 74 and 70 in their games to date but they should be able to push 90 against this opposition.

With a spot in the knockouts on the line, Australia will need to work on building its points differential so I would expect them cover this line comfortably and shut down the Puerto Rican attack putting the under very much in play.

Athletics: Women’s 5000m
10.40pm AEST

Ejgayehu Taye to Win a Medal @ $4.75

Dutch runner and the world number two for this event Sifan Hassan will go into this race as the favourite but there is value to be had in the market behind her.

Ethiopian runner Ejgayehu Taye made full use of the 12 month delay to the Tokyo games, recording a personal best of 14:14.09 in June to book her ticket to Japan.

While a gold here may be asking a bit much of her, I would not be at all surprised if she works with her compatriots Gudaf Tsegay ($3 to win gold) and Senbere Tefere ($21 to win gold) to dictate the tempo of the race leaving her in the mix in the final straight.

It will be a tough race but one that she is definitely going to be up for.