Pakenham - Race 5 2:30pm AEST
No. 6 Crystal Dynasty
Crystal Dynasty was a winner on the synthetic at Ballarat two back before stepping up in grade at Sandown a few weeks ago.
The daughter of Tavistock pushed forward to lead and only weakened late 50m from the post.
She’s bound to find this much easier dropping back in grade, and I think 2200m looks ideal now with a little more fitness on her side. Teodore Nugent has a feel for her after riding her at Cranbourne earlier in her prep, and the pair should be able to make their presence felt on the speed.
Pakenham - Race 6 3:00pm AEST
No. 4 Cos I’m The Boss
Cos I’m The Boss has returned in sensational order for Matthew Ellerton, winning first-up at Werribee following a year-long break before going to on to return back-to-back placings.
The Street Boss mare stuck on well to finish half-a-length behind a smart type at Echuca last time out and I quite like the fact she’s had three weeks between runs now.
That last start came on a bottomless track, and although this is her first look at the synthetic, she just needs a touch of luck from the wide barrier to go on with it.
Pakenham - Race 8 4:00pm AEST
No. 3 Hilverston
Hilverston made it three wins from six starts on synthetic tracks here last start.
The son of Hinchinbrook was crunched in betting, and he didn’t disappoint holding on for a strong win over the track and distance thanks to a superb ride from Adam McCabe.
He’s drawn a much better barrier this time around and anything close to that form should see him win again.
Pakenham - Race 9 4:30pm AEST
No. 5 Big Friday
Tricky race to wrap up the day, but I do like Big Friday at the each-way price.
The four-year-old son of Nostradamus won over this track and distance two runs back and was far from disgraced when third to Hilverston a couple of weeks ago.
He likes to get back and run on, so the wide barrier might just suit. Daniel Stackhouse also seems to have a good rapport with the horse, so look for him late.