The Group 1 All Aged Stakes is run over 1400m at Royal Randwick at the end of the Autumn Racing Carnival in Sydney.
First run in 1865, the race has been won by some champions of the turf including Wakeful (1902), Tulloch (1958) and Sunline (2000,02).
Being at the tail end of the autumn carnival means the race is targeted by not only the best sprinters, but also middle-distance horses dropping back in distance.
As punters we closely follow the best races on a Saturday, searching for a flashing run, watching replays over and over, assessing whether a horse is ready to peak and if the conditions of the race suit.
But what do the numbers say?
We’ve taken an in depth look at previous winners of this race to steer you in the direction of the 2025 All Aged Stakes with the stats that matter.
The Stat
Seven of the last nine winners of the All Aged Stakes came through the Group 1 T J Smith Stakes.
What It Means
That, in recent times at least, those horses that have had a sprinting campaign have had the most success in the race.
Those horses that started in the TJ Smith Stakes two weeks before the race are well placed not only because of the timing of the two races, but the quality.
The numbers suggest that you don’t have to win the TJ either.
Five of the last seven horses to come through the TJ and win the All Aged were unplaced in the 1200m Group 1 and only Trapeze Artist did the double.
The Stat
Only ONE horse has won at the track and distance previous to winning the All Aged Stakes in the last 14 editions of the race.
What It Means
On face value it is a fairly remarkable stat and one that should be taken into consideration when attempting to find the winner.
Just one horse (Kolding) has won over 1400m at Randwick before winning the race, including maidens and benchmark races on their way to the top end of our sport.
But it is important to note that there are only four Group 1 races run over 1400m at Randwick, and two are restricted to their age group (Sires’ Produce for 2YOs and Surround Stakes for 3YO fillies).
In other words, the top tier horses are consistently running in Group 1 races, and there just aren’t many of them at this particular track and distance!
The Stat
Ten of the last 12 winners of the All Aged Stakes have been either three or four years of age.
What It Means
It’s a race for the up and coming horse who has plenty of upside.
Examples within this time period include three-year-olds Giga Kick, Trapeze Artist and All Too Hard as well as four-year-olds Magic Time, Pierata and Tofane.
Which horse fits this profile this year?
The Stat
Seven of the last 14 (and 3 of the last 4) winners of the All Aged Stakes were already Group 1 winners over 1400-1600m.
What It Means
This stat supports those that fancy one of the middle distance type horses that are maybe stepping back to 1400m.
They have the proven quality because they are already Group 1 winners but that are not quite suited over the genuine sprinting distance of 1200m.
All Aged winners included in this stat are Magic Time, Cascadian and All Too Hard.
The 2025 edition of the race is littered with this very type of horse which is why it’s always such an interesting betting race.
The Stat
Only two of the last eight winners had won a Group race during their campaign before saluting in the All Aged Stakes.
What It Means
You could read into this stats a few different ways but it suggests to me a couple of things.
To win this race you need to be peaking at the right time and that doesn’t necessarily require you to be winning along the way.
Another key point to take from it is that Group 1 races are simply hard to win!
The best sprinting horses have come through big fields in the Newmarket Handicap or the TJ Smith and middle-distance horses have tackled the George Ryder or Doncaster.
In terms of the three-year-old’s to have won the race recently, a lot have been up against the older horses at weight-for-age during the horses and may have run well without winning prior to taking this race out.
Any of those types in the 2025 final field?
The Stat
Barrier seven has produced eight of the last 20 winners of the All Aged Stakes
What It Means
Honestly? Next to nothing.
But it’s pretty amazing nonetheless.
The Verdict
Kimochi is a four-year-old who comes through the TJ Smith Stakes without placing (beaten 1.7 lengths), is already a Group 1 winner over 1400m when she won the Sir Rupert Clarke and she hasn’t won a Group race this campaign in two runs. She’s also never won at the track and distance. She’s drawn barrier 10 of 14 but with a few scratches she may come into seven!