2019 AFLW Round 1 Tips & Preview

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The third season of the AFLW gets underway this weekend and with two new teams (Geelong and North Melbourne), a conference system and finals things are sure going to get interesting.

Much interest will be on how the new additions to the competition will go with Geelong making their AFLW debut against Collingwood at GMHBA Stadium (Kardinia Park) on Saturday and North Melbourne hosting Carlton on Sunday afternoon in Hobart.

We have analysed all five games set to take place this weekend and our complete AFLW Round 1 tips can be found below.

Geelong Vs Collingwood

Saturday 2 February, 6:40pm, GMHBA Stadium

Geelong 24– Collingwood 23

The season opener sees a historic occasion at the venue formally known as Simmonds/Skilled/Baytec/Shell Stadium or simply Kardinia Park as Geelong makes its much anticipated AFLW debut against Collingwood this Saturday night.

Collingwood enters its third AFLW season coming off what was a disappointing 2018 campaign with only three wins but managed to win their last two games of last season.

The Magpies have some interesting recruits over the off-season and much interest will be on how former Australian and Collingwood Netballer Sharni Layton will fare as a footballer.

She’s likely to play in the ruck, along with her former Netball teammate Ash Brazill, and it will be fascinating to see how the two will fit into the Magpies AFLW lineup.

The Pies have also recruited a touch of the Irish with  Sarah Rowe from Gaelic Football, who was amongst their best in the clubs practice match against reigning premiers the Western Bulldogs in Ballarat.

However, being new to the game she wasn’t aware of the hit the post rule and tried to go on and score a goal when the ball bounced off the post much to the amusement of coach Wayne Siekman.

The Magpies went down to the Dogs by seven points.

Going into their very first AFLW game, Geelong has a major ruled out in a prized recruit Richelle Cranston, who developed a cult-like following when playing for Melbourne the past two seasons.

Cranston was given a two-match suspension for a tackle against Carlton’s Sarah Hosking in the Cats practice match against the Blues.

There is also an injury cloud regarding Cats captain Mel Hickey who also crossed over from Melbourne in the off-season.

Geelong has had an AFLW team in the works for a number of years playing in the VFL Women’s comp (including being runner-up in last years VFLW Grand Final) with six of them already in the Cats women’s squad recruited a good mix of TAC Cup players including three from what is known as the Geelong Falcons footy factory.

Four of Geelong’s recruits have received under 18 All-Australian honours over the past two years.

While there is the element of the unknown with a new team and changes everywhere across all AFLW lists one should never back against Geelong at the Cattery and with that alone, expect them to start their first AFLW campaign with a victory.

Back Geelong to win @ $2.10

Adelaide Vs Western Bulldogs

Saturday 2 February, 8:10pm, Norwood Oval

Adelaide 17– Western Bulldogs 18

The reigning AFLW Premiers – the Western Bulldogs travel to Norwood Oval to face the inaugural AFLW premiers the Adelaide Crows in what should be a fascinating contest.

Over the off-season, the Bulldogs have had some major turnover in their list including losing star player Emma Kearney to North Melbourne but stars such as co-captains Katie Brennan and Ellie Blackburn remain.

The Bulldogs star forward Izzy Huntington is still under an injury cloud and may not be able to return to the Bulldogs lineup until round five with the club being super cautious after she buckled her knee at training back in December.

There is also more injury issues at the Whitten Oval with 2018 AFLW leading goalkicker Brooke Lockland unlikely to be back in the squad until at least Round six after suffering a fractured right fibula in the Dogs recent practice match against Collingwood in Ballarat.

With the competition being only seven rounds, having players ruled out for two or three weeks can have a major impact on a teams season.

The injuries don’t discriminate with the Crows ruck Rhiannon Metcalfe requiring a knee reconstruction after tearing her ACL against Fremantle in a practice game in Darwin.

It’s a new era for the Crows under their new coach Matthew Clarke after highly respected coach Bec Goddard left due to work commitments.

A fit and firing Erin Phillips and co-captain Chelsea Randall is what Adelaide will need this season along with some solid performances from cult figure Sarah “Tex” Perkins.

Adelaide is the only team the Western Bulldogs have not beaten in the AFLW and their clash in Round 3 of last season was one of the games of the year with Erin Phillips four-goal haul ensuring a memorable Seven point win to the Crows.

Expect this game to be close, and is a toss of a coin but it’s always worth backing the reigning premiers in their first match of the season.

Back Western Bulldogs to win @ $2.05

North Melbourne Vs Carlton

Sunday 3 February, 1:05pm, North Hobart Oval

North Melbourne makes its historic AFLW debut hosting Carlton at the spiritual home of Tassie Footy – North Hobart Oval.

The Kangaroos are serious about their AFLW prospects signing the likes of last years AFLW League best and fairest Emma Kearney from the Western Bulldogs and the high profile Mo Hope from Collingwood, where a change of environment could allow the experienced forward to make an immediate impact amongst the women of Arden Street.

Many regard North Melbourne’s AFLW list as one of the strongest in the short history of the competition and the Roos are equal favourites with reigning premiers the Western Bulldogs to win the premiership in our market.

Along with being premiership favourites, North are equal favourites to win Conference A, to make the finals and Grand Final in our AFLW futures markets, while Emma Kearney is favourite to win the AFLW best and fairest.

Carlton come into their third season of AFLW off winning last year’s wooden spoon (The Blues the first club to win the wooden spoon in the AFL/AFLW in the same season) and have had a change of coach in former Hawk and Blue Daniel Harford and some new playing stocks to give the Blues some rejuvenation.

The Blues recently played Geelong in a practice match at Princes Park going down to the Cats by two points.

Carlton was consistent throughout the match and showed a lot of fight and a standout performance from captain Bri Davey coming back from a season-ending knee injury was a highlight when she kicked four goals for the Bluebaggers.

Despite North being favourites, there’s an element of the unknown and Carlton will be willing to please.

Expect them to put up a fight against the highly fancied Kangaroos.

Back Carlton to beat the Line (+9) @ $1.88

Melbourne Vs Fremantle

Sunday 3 February, 3:05pm, Casey Fields

After two oh-so-close misses to make the AFLW Grand Final, Melbourne will no doubt relish the fact there is a conference system and finals at play but it goes without saying they’ll need to win games of football first.

It’s going to be a testing campaign ahead for the Dees with star Daisy Pearce missing out this season due to her pregnancy, Richelle Cranston and Mel Hickey headed to Kardinia Park and highly sought draft pick Taya Hanks facing a likely delayed start due to bone bruising in her knee.

For the Dockers, it’s been two disappointing and injury-ravaged campaigns in their initial AFLW tilt and there will be a number of new faces in the purple and white this season.

It’s reported that The Dockers could even be debuting up to nine new players for the game against Melbourne.

With Fremantle expected to play kids and Melbourne to have a more balanced and experienced line up along with playing at home expect the Dees open their third AFLW campaign with a win.

Back Melbourne against the line (-7.5) @ $1.88

Brisbane Lions Vs GWS Giants

Sunday 3 February, 4:05pm, Moreton Bay Central Sports Complex

The Brisbane Lions who have the dubious honour of being back-to-back AFLW runners-up host the GWS Giants this Sunday in Burpengary, halfway between Brisbane and the Sunshine Coast.

Many have written off the Lions in the first two seasons of AFLW but through gritty teamwork and an excellent gameplan, they have managed to find themselves on the big day but falling short.

Brisbane and GWS did meet in a practice match two weeks ago where the Giants thumped the Lions by 47 points with three-goal hauls from Irish recruit Cora Staunton and Aimee Schmidt.

While it may only have been a practice match, the Giants scored 11.9 (75) to Brisbane’s 4.4 (28) and with AFLW football tending to be low-scoring, it’s worth paying attention to a team with 20 scoring shots in this level of the game and in the Queensland humidity.

Over the off-season, Brisbane copped it badly from North Melbourne’s recruiting rampage. Vital players such as midfielder Kaitlyn Ashmore headed to Arden Street.

Brisbane was able to gain Lauren Arnell from Carlton, which will add some experience to the side.

Coming off thrashing the Lions in the pre-season and being one of the major improvers of last season expect the Giants to start the season off with a big win on the road.

Back GWS Giants to win @ $2.35


2018

The inaugural edition of the AFLW could hardly have been a bigger success and the 2018 edition of the competition gets underway this weekend.

Carlton will host Collingwood in the opening game of the season on Friday Night in front of what is sure to be a massive crowd, but the highlight of the weekend could be on Saturday night when Adelaide take on the Brisbane Lions in a Grand Final rematch.

We have analysed all four games set to take place this weekend and our complete AFLW Round 1 tips can be found below.

Carlton Vs Collingwood

Friday 2 February, 7:45pm, Ikon Park

Carlton 22 – Collingwood 14

The traditional rivals kick off the season and like last year, it’s expected that IKON Park will be a lockout.

After a disappointing season for the Magpies in 2017, where they lost the first three games the Magpies showed improvement by winning their last three of the inaugural AFLW season.

For the Blues, some close losses in the middle of last season cost them a chance of a grand final birth and the likes of goalkicker Darcy Vescio and defender former Matilda’s goalkeeper Brianna Davey were some of the standout players.

Carlton has also bolstered its ranks by acquiring Tayla Harris from Brisbane and Collingwood best and fairest winner Nicola Stevens defecting to the club.

Along with Stevens, the Pies also lost runner-up in their best and fairest Alicia Eva at the end of last season.

Players such as Captain Steph Chiocci and Mo Hope will need to lead the way for the Magpies for the year ahead.

The defections, especially by the likes of Stevens should add a bit more tension to what is a famous football rivalry.

On paper, Carlton’s 2018 AFLW list looks impressive and they should be too good for the Magpies on Friday night

BACK CARLTON TO BEAT THE LINE (-8.5)

Melbourne Vs GWS Giants

Saturday 3 February, 5:05pm, Casey Fields

Melbourne 45 – GWS Giants 39

Much like their men’s team, Melbourne was denied a final by percentage on the ladder at the end of the 2017 AFLW season.

The Demons lost their first game to the Lions last season, which ultimately cost them a chance at a Grand Final.

They’ll come out in the second season of the AFLW firing and hungry to make amends.

Many experts have already pencilled in the Dees as premiership favourites this season so they’ll be wanting to make a good impression in round one.

Expect the likes of Daisy Pearce, Mel Hickey and young gun Lily Mithen to be in the Dees best.

As for the Giants, a disappointing season last year saw them take home the wooden spoon but they can expect much more improvement this year with the likes of Alicia Eva coming over from Collingwood to bolster some more experienced hands at the club.

However, come Saturday expect the Dees to get the job done and start the season off with a big win over the Giants.

BACK MELBOURNE TO BEAT THE LINE (-13.5)

Adelaide Crows Vs Brisbane Lions

Saturday 3 February, 7:15pm, Norwood Oval

Adelaide 19 – Brisbane 31

The much-anticipated rematch of last year’s AFLW Grand Final takes place at Norwood Oval this Saturday night in what should be a cracking game.

Adelaide will unfurl their 2017 AFLW premiership flag and the Lions will be hell-bent on revenge.

It will be interesting to see how Crows co-captain and AFLW MVP winner Erin Phillips this season.

Phillips, previously a WNBA player has retired from Basketball and is now focused on footy, can she get any better? The Crows are already pencilled in as premiership favourites but the Lions, who only lost the Grand Final by a kick will want a big upset in the first round.

Many wrote Brisbane off at the start of last season, and despite being unbeaten during the 2017 season and making the Grand Final many are writing the Lions off again.

Over the offseason, The Lions lost the highly fancied Tayla Harris to Carlton so the likes of captain Emma Zielke, small forward Kate McCarthy and ruck Sabrina Fredrick-Traub will step up their game to ensure the Lions can go one better in 2018.

However, on Saturday night the momentum should go the way of the Crows in a close one over the Lions.

 

BACK ADELAIDE AGAINST  THE LINE (-9.5)

Western Bulldogs Vs Fremantle

Sunday 4 February, 4:35pm, Whitten Oval

Western Bulldogs 49 – Fremantle 23

Two of the more disappointing teams of the first season of the AFLW meet on Sunday to try and make amends for themselves.

At the start of the 2017 season, both the Western Bulldogs and Fremantle were fancied as premiership favourites but didn’t deliver.

The Doggies and the Dockers won three games between them so a win in Round one of a new season is much needed to regain confidence.

For the Bulldogs, it will be interesting to see how their captain Katie Brennan performs.

Her season for the Dogs last year was interrupted by injury but she did go on in 2017 to win the VFLW’s best and fairest along with leading goalkicker playing for her state team the Darebin Falcons.

For the Dockers, their 2017 season also saw injury get in the way of their inaugural campaign.

With WA being known for being full of female talent, if the mostly WA born Freo list can gel as a team and avoid serious injury they are in for vast improvement this season.

Expect the Bulldogs to get the job done at home on Sunday afternoon.

BACK WESTERN BULLDOGS TO BEAT THE LINE (-9.5)