It’s the final Round of the AFLW before next weeks Grand Final and three out of the four games all have implications on just who will make it to the big one.
We have analysed all four games set to take place this weekend and our complete AFLW Round 7 tips can be found below.
GWS Giants Vs Brisbane Lions
Friday 16 March, 7:05pm, Blacktown ISP
Win it and GWS are most likely in it. (The Grand Final that is)
In the past month, the Giants have had three wins and one draw and are now sitting third on the AFLW ladder, depending on how results pan out this weekend should GWS be able to get over the Lions they could find themselves in a Grand Final.
GWS could not have been more impressive last week after beating the ladder leaders the Western Bulldogs by 18 points in Canberra.
Some have labelled the Giants as a “dads army” (Or “Mums army” in the case of AFLW) with the likes of Cora Staunton and Courtney Gum who are both 36 years old impressing, along with their captain Amanda Farrugia and Alicia Eva leading the way.
Giants ruck Erin McKinnon has dominated in the middle of the ground achieving an all-time league record of 39 hit-outs in a match.
At the start of the season, many had written the Giants off, but they’ve played outstanding football this season and are ever so close to making the Grand Final.
For Brisbane, last week could not have been more disappointing.
Going down to Collingwood in the wet conditions at home, they were held goalless in the second and third quarters and by the time they kicked a goal in the last quarter, the game was a foregone conclusion.
In what could have been a win that would have all but given the Lions pole position to qualify for the Grand Final, they now need to beat the Giants, hope that Melbourne and Adelaide lose their respective matches by certain margins if they are to have any hope of making the Grand Final for the second year running.
BACK GWS TO BEAT THE LINE @ $.190
Fremantle Vs Carlton
Saturday 17 March, 5:05pm, Fremantle Oval
The only dead-rubber this round where it’s mathematically impossible for either team to make the Grand Final.
Freo and Carlton only have two wins each this season and both sit down the bottom of the AFLW ladder.
Carlton has been a disappointment this AFLW season with the lowest percentage, sit last on the ladder and have been ranked last in both defence and attack in the League.
While the Dockers sit second last on the ladder they have been competitive in most of their matches this year.
In the first quarter of their match against the Dees last week, Carlton conceded six goals.
The Blues were competitive to the rest of the game which prevented Melbourne from a significant percentage boost for their Grand Final hopes.
Fremantle last week came close to an upset against Adelaide, but as has been the case a few times this year the Crows were able to see it out in a close game.
For both teams to avoid the wooden spoon, Fremantle and Carlton would need the Collingwood-Adelaide game to result in a draw which would land the Magpies the wooden spoon.
The Dockers should be too good at home and will send the AFLW Wooden Spoon to Princes Park.
BACK FREMANTLE TO BEAT THE LINE @$1.90
Western Bulldogs Vs Melbourne
Saturday 17 March, 7:10pm, VU Whitten Oval
While the AFLW does not have a finals series, this Saturday’s game is a virtual preliminary final and undoubtedly the match of the round.
The winner of this game gets a spot in the AFLW Grand Final.
Despite going down to GWS last week, the Western Bulldogs have been the most impressive team this AFLW season.
In what would have put them straight into the big dance last week, the Bulldogs did not make the most of their impressive first quarter which resulted in an 18 point loss.
Bulldogs captain Katie Brennan is expected to be back in the squad after an ankle injury and should add some more speed and attack to the Dogs line up.
Melbourne started their first quarter against Carlton kicking 6.3 but was held up for the remainder of the match by the Blues kicking only 2 more goals for the remainder of the game.
The Dees will need to rely on their “big three” of Daisy Pearce, Karen Paxman and Elise O’Dea to get over the line on Saturday night.
It should be close and high scoring game, but with the home crowd behind them, the Western Bulldogs should be able to secure a Grand Final berth this Saturday night.
BACK WESTERN BULLDOGS TO WIN @ $1.95
Collingwood Vs Adelaide Crows
Sunday 18 March, 2:35pm, Olympic Park Oval
In the final match of the round, the Adelaide Crows will know exactly what they have to do to make the Grand Final.
Adelaide has been able to keep their hopes of back to back premierships after a win against Freo in a thriller at Darwin last week.
The Crows Grand Final hopes remain mathematically possible, the results of the GWS v Brisbane of the game impacts what Adelaide needs to do in order to make the Grand Final. If GWS win, Adelaide will need to belt Collingwood to overtake the Giants percentage. If Brisbane wins, the final margin won’t impact the Crows chances.
While the Bulldogs v Dees game will decide who will win the minor premiership, the race for the second spot is still well and truly for grabs.
Collingwood was outstanding in Brisbane last week and will want to finish what has been an otherwise disappointing season on a good note.
The opportunity to spoil the Crows hopes of a Grand Final berth and giving Carlton the wooden spoon is a great incentive for the Magpies to win this game.
With the hope of making another Grand Final, the Crows have everything to play for and should be able to win this one but not by a margin they would hope for.
BACK ADELAIDE TO BEAT THE LINE @ $1.90