2019 AFLW Round 7 Tips & Preview

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It’s the final round of the AFLW home and away season.

Four teams in conference A, who would normally be the top four in a standard ladder will be fighting it out for the two preliminary final spots.

Meanwhile, mediocrity will be rewarded in conference B as two teams – Geelong and Carlton are likely to play finals football.

We have analysed all five games set to take place this weekend and our complete AFLW Round 7 tips can be found below.

GWS Giants Vs Geelong

Friday 15 March, 7:15pm, UNSW Canberra Oval (Manuka Oval)

Win it, and Geelong is in it.

The Cats who are 3-3 simply need to win this conference B game against the GWS Giants and they will play in a Preliminary Final next week.

For the GWS Giants, they’ll have nothing else to play for except for pride.

It’s been a disappointing season for the Giants, despite a recruiting spree and being fancied for the premiership the Giants are 1-5 are coming off two weeks of 30+ point losses to Melbourne and Adelaide.

There’s no doubting that GWS would love to spoil the Cats finals hopes however, Geelong are 3-0 against all of their fellow conference B teams.

With a Prelim on the line in their inaugural AFLW season, it should be plenty of motivation to ensure the Cats get the job done.

Back Geelong against the line @ $1.88

Melbourne Vs Adelaide

Saturday 16 March, 4:45pm, Casey Fields

This is set to be a cracking contest at Casey Fields.

This conference A clash sees the Demons who are 4-2 host the Crows who are 5-1.

Normally, this would be a preview for what would be a potential final but the conference system has other ideas.

Adelaide win this game – they play finals.

Melbourne, on the other hand, need to beat the Crows and also hope that Freo beats North in order to play finals.

If things don’t go accordingly for the Demons, it will be the third season in a row where they have missed out on a Grand Final or finals series due to percentage.

Melbourne have also had issues with accurate kicking and their inaccuracy against the Western Bulldogs in their one-point win and will need to play some attacking, high scoring football against the Crows.

Adelaide is hands down the best scoring team in the AFLW and number one in inside 50s.

It’s going to be a hard task for the Demons, but they are good enough at Casey Fields and will do everything they can to feature in a preliminary final.

Back Adelaide against the line @ $1.88

Fremantle Vs North Melbourne

Saturday 16 March, 4:15pm, Fremantle Oval

The game between Fremantle and North Melbourne is set to be a cracking contest.

Both sides are 5-1 and fighting for a conference A spot in a preliminary final.

Whoever wins this will book their spot in the preliminary final.

North Melbourne is coming off a cruisy 22 point win over the cellar-dwellers Collingwood and Fremantle easily accounted for conference B team, Geelong by six goals, thus proving what a farce the AFLW conference system is.

Fremantle is undefeated in the 3 games they have played at home this season and will want to make the most of their home ground advantage in this vital clash.

Before Adelaide got their groove on, North Melbourne was touted as premiership favourites and should be too good for Freo who has clearly been the seasons biggest improvers.

This game shouldn’t mean that one will miss out on finals football, but here we are.

Back North Melbourne win @ $1.83

 

Collingwood Vs Brisbane Lions

Sunday 17 March, 2:05pm, Victoria Park

Believe it or not, Brisbane can still make the top two of conference B and play in a preliminary final despite a 2-4 record.

If the Lions beat Collingwood at Victoria Park (which is likely) and Geelong go down to GWS by a small margin they can find themselves playing a prelim next week.

I know what you are thinking, the AFLW conference system is working a treat.

Collingwood is yet to win a game in season 2019, but have been involved in some close losses over the past couple of weeks.

North Melbourne was simply too good for the Pies but the three previous games the Magpies have played against conference B opponents have finished in losses under 10 points.

This is a danger game for Brisbane, they’ve played some poor Football in recent weeks and the Pies are too proud a club and will do everything they can to avoid a winless season.

Back Collingwood to win @ $2.45

Western Bulldogs Vs Carlton

Sunday 17 March, 4:05pm, Whitten Oval

Last year’s reigning premiers the Western Bulldogs cannot play finals but Carlton can.

All the Blues need to do is win and they secure top spot in conference B – it’s that simple.

Carlton are coming off a 16 point win over the Lions at home last week in an important conference B clash and to go from wooden spooners to finalists the next season will be a fantastic achievement for the Blues.

The Bulldogs nearly ruined Melbourne’s season last weekend going down to the Dees by one point at Marvel Stadium.

They have also started to get some decent scores getting 30+ points in two straight games with the likes is Brooke Lockland and Izzy Huntington back in the team.

When the Blues travelled to the Whitten Oval last year they were smashed 86-13 but things have changed.

With the motivation to get some redemption from a horror night and the finals on the line, the Blues should get the job done.

Back Carlton to win @ $2


2018

It’s the final Round of the AFLW before next weeks Grand Final and three out of the four games all have implications on just who will make it to the big one.

We have analysed all four games set to take place this weekend and our complete AFLW Round 7 tips can be found below.

GWS Giants Vs Brisbane Lions

Friday 16 March, 7:05pm, Blacktown ISP

GWS 24– Brisbane 64

Win it and GWS are most likely in it. (The Grand Final that is)

In the past month, the Giants have had three wins and one draw and are now sitting third on the AFLW ladder, depending on how results pan out this weekend should GWS be able to get over the Lions they could find themselves in a Grand Final.

GWS could not have been more impressive last week after beating the ladder leaders the Western Bulldogs by 18 points in Canberra.

Some have labelled the Giants as a “dads army” (Or “Mums army” in the case of AFLW) with the likes of Cora Staunton and Courtney Gum who are both 36 years old impressing, along with their captain Amanda Farrugia and Alicia Eva leading the way.

Giants ruck Erin McKinnon has dominated in the middle of the ground achieving an all-time league record of 39 hit-outs in a match.

At the start of the season, many had written the Giants off, but they’ve played outstanding football this season and are ever so close to making the Grand Final.
For Brisbane, last week could not have been more disappointing.

Going down to Collingwood in the wet conditions at home, they were held goalless in the second and third quarters and by the time they kicked a goal in the last quarter, the game was a foregone conclusion.

In what could have been a win that would have all but given the Lions pole position to qualify for the Grand Final, they now need to beat the Giants, hope  that Melbourne and Adelaide lose their respective matches by certain margins if they are to have any hope of making the Grand Final for the second year running.

BACK GWS TO BEAT THE LINE @ $.190

Fremantle Vs Carlton

Saturday 17 March, 5:05pm, Fremantle Oval

Fremantle 59 – Carlton 48

The only dead-rubber this round where it’s mathematically impossible for either team to make the Grand Final.

Freo and Carlton only have two wins each this season and both sit down the bottom of the AFLW ladder.

Carlton has been a disappointment this AFLW season with the lowest percentage, sit last on the ladder and have been ranked last in both defence and attack in the League.

While the Dockers sit second last on the ladder they have been competitive in most of their matches this year.

In the first quarter of their match against the Dees last week, Carlton conceded six goals.

The Blues were competitive to the rest of the game which prevented Melbourne from a significant percentage boost for their Grand Final hopes.

Fremantle last week came close to an upset against Adelaide, but as has been the case a few times this year the Crows were able to see it out in a close game.

For both teams to avoid the wooden spoon, Fremantle and Carlton would need the Collingwood-Adelaide game to result in a draw which would land the Magpies the wooden spoon.

The Dockers should be too good at home and will send the AFLW Wooden Spoon to Princes Park.

BACK FREMANTLE TO BEAT THE LINE @$1.90

Western Bulldogs Vs Melbourne

Saturday 17 March, 7:10pm, VU Whitten Oval

Western Bulldogs 33 – Melbourne 31

While the AFLW does not have a finals series, this Saturday’s game is a virtual preliminary final and undoubtedly the match of the round.

The winner of this game gets a spot in the AFLW Grand Final.

Despite going down to GWS last week, the Western Bulldogs have been the most impressive team this AFLW season.

In what would have put them straight into the big dance last week, the Bulldogs did not make the most of their impressive first quarter which resulted in an 18 point loss.

Bulldogs captain Katie Brennan is expected to be back in the squad after an ankle injury and should add some more speed and attack to the Dogs line up.

Melbourne started their first quarter against Carlton kicking 6.3 but was held up for the remainder of the match by the Blues kicking only 2 more goals for the remainder of the game.

The Dees will need to rely on their “big three” of Daisy Pearce, Karen Paxman and Elise O’Dea to get over the line on Saturday night.

It should be close and high scoring game, but with the home crowd behind them, the Western Bulldogs should be able to secure a Grand Final berth this Saturday night.

BACK WESTERN BULLDOGS TO WIN @ $1.95

Collingwood Vs Adelaide Crows

Sunday 18 March, 2:35pm, Olympic Park Oval

Collingwood 53 – Adelaide 32

In the final match of the round, the Adelaide Crows will know exactly what they have to do to make the Grand Final.

Adelaide has been able to keep their hopes of back to back premierships after a win against Freo in a thriller at Darwin last week.

The Crows Grand Final hopes remain mathematically possible, the results of the GWS v Brisbane of the game impacts what Adelaide needs to do in order to make the Grand Final. If GWS win, Adelaide will need to belt Collingwood to overtake the Giants percentage. If Brisbane wins, the final margin won’t impact the Crows chances.

While the Bulldogs v Dees game will decide who will win the minor premiership, the race for the second spot is still well and truly for grabs.

Collingwood was outstanding in Brisbane last week and will want to finish what has been an otherwise disappointing season on a good note.

The opportunity to spoil the Crows hopes of a Grand Final berth and giving Carlton the wooden spoon is a great incentive for the Magpies to win this game.

With the hope of making another Grand Final, the Crows have everything to play for and should be able to win this one but not by a margin they would hope for.

BACK ADELAIDE TO BEAT THE LINE @ $1.90