2019 FA Cup Final Preview

Facebooktwittermail

Manchester City Vs Watford

Sunday 19 May, 2:00am, Wembley Stadium

Manchester City 6 – Watford 0

Manchester City goes into the 2019 FA Cup Final looking to complete a domestic treble after taking out the Premier League last weekend.

They last won the FA Cup in 2011 and famously lost to Wigan in 2013.

Watford on the other hand have defied expectations to make it back to Wembley for the first time since their 1984 defeat to Everton.

Even though City goes into the FA Cup Final as heavy favourites, there’s still plenty of value to be found in this one.

Goals Markets

While we all dream about a close, high scoring FA Cup Final, chances are this game will be a grind as both sides set up not to lose.

City haven’t been lighting up the scoreboard the way you would expect a Pep Guardiola side to lately.

Since blasting Chelsea 6-0 back in February, their goals have dried up.

In that time they have scored two or fewer goals in eight of 13 domestic matches and they may look to suffocate Watford out of this rather than trying to outscore them.

Considering they went four games without conceding a goal, that run was ended by Brighton at the weekend, they are a very good chance to keep a clean sheet here.

Dating back to February, they have kept clean sheets in all bar nine of their 22 matches in all competitions

Because of that, I’ll back Under 2.5 Goals in this match, which has hit in six of their last eight in the Premier League.

Anytime Goalscorer Market

Someone is going to have to score for City so naturally you think of Sergio Aguero.

He’s only scored twice in the FA Cup this season but has been in strong form lately, finding the back of the net in three of City’s last six matches and has seven goals in his last ten appearances.

Even at under even money, I’ll back him to score on the big stage.

Result Markets

All of the numbers say this FA Cup Final is only going to go one way and that is to Manchester.

Under the Abu Dhabi ownership, they have never dropped a game against Watford, winning ten straight and they go into this game expecting another victory.

Add in a 14 game winning run in the Premier League and even in a one-off Cup Final setting, City will be hard to stop.

As we mentioned before, this game might be a tight, low scoring affair so whoever wins could very well take it out with a clean sheet.

That’s where the value is for a City win here, so I’ll take them to win a low scoring affair.

Back Manchester City to Win to Nil @ $1.91

 

FA Cup Final Same Game Multi

 


2018

Chelsea Vs Manchester United

Sunday 20 May, 2:15am, Wembley Stadium

Chelsea 1 – Manchester United 0

As one of the two biggest events in London on Saturday, Chelsea and Manchester United will go head to head in the FA Cup Final for the first time since 2007.

Chelsea’s campaign got off to a rough start, needing penalties in a third round replay to get past Norwich before 3-0 and 4-0 wins over Newcastle and Hull respectively got them into the last eight.

Jamie Vardy sent their quarter final against Leicester to extra time before a Pedro winner sent them to Wembley for a semi-final date with Southampton.

Midseason signing Olivier Giroud (fresh off winning three of the last four FA Cups with Arsenal) scored an exceptional goal and Alvaro Morata put the game away with ten minutes remaining.

United have enjoyed a much smoother path to the final conceding just once in their five matches so far and winning every match in the prescribed 90 minutes with Romelu Lukaku being the chief destroyer of opponents.

Their opening game against Derby County finished 2-0 thanks to late goals from Jesse Lingard and Romelu Lukaku.

Back to back away wins followed that with a 4-0 victory at Yeovil Town and a 2-0 win over Huddersfield Town booked their spot in the quarter finals.

A 2-0 win over Brighton sent them to the semi-finals where Alexis Sanchez does what Alexis Sanchez does, scores at Wembley as they beat Tottenham 2-1.

Speaking of Sanchez, he loves playing at Wembley, including games with Chile and Arsenal, he has scored eight goals in eight appearances in the England national team’s stadium.

He bagged a double in his Wembley debut for Chile in 2013 as they beat England 2-0 before playing a crucial role after signing for Arsenal in 2014.

In the FA Cup he has taken it to another level, scoring a double in the 2015 semi-final against Reading as the Gunners won 2-1 in extra time before backing it up with a rocket in Arsenal’s 4-0 Final triumph.

Last season he scored the extra time winner in the semi-final before opening the scoring in the final (coincidently against Chelsea).

He has failed to score on just two occasions at Wembley, in the 2014 Community Shield, his competitive debut for Arsenal, and in United’s Premier League loss to Tottenham in February.

Thankfully for United supporters, he found his touch again in the semi.

With a record such as that you have to back him to score again in this game.

Back Alexis Sanchez Anytime Goalscorer @ $3.50

What is more important however is the winner of the trophy, since that is what they are playing the game for.

Both sides have been maddeningly inconsistent all season with Chelsea’s holes on full display in their Premier League finale defeat at Newcastle.

United closed the season in indifferent form, with just three wins from their last six games.

This has the makings of an even final with the two meetings between the teams being split down the middle.

Chelsea won at Stamford Bridge, while Manchester United claimed the Old Trafford encounter.

The impact of both managers cannot be understated here as both will set up teams with a defensive focus, looking to stifle the creativity on the other side.

An early goal should really open this game up and it won’t be a repeat of the A-League Grand Final with just one goal deciding the game, these attackers are just too good to be kept quiet.

Extra time would not be a surprise but I am backing Chelsea to get the job done here.

Back Chelsea to Lift the Cup @ $1.95

 


2017

Chelsea were in control of the English Premier League for the majority of the season and they have the chance to complete the Domestic Double when they take on Arsenal in the 2017 FA Cup Final at Wembley on Sunday morning.

Chelsea will go into the FA Cup Final as clear favourites, but they face an Arsenal side that has found a semblance of their best form in the second half of the season.

Will Chelsea capture the double or will Arsene Wenger secure Arsenal some much-needed silverware? We have analysed both teams and our complete 2017 FA Cup Tips can be found below.

Arsenal Vs Chelsea

Sunday 28 May, 2:30am, Wembley Stadium

Arsenal 2 – Chelsea 1

How They Got There

Chelsea started their FA Cup campaign with a comfortable win over Peterborough United and they were far too strong for Brentford in the Fourth Round.

They overcame Wolverhampton to set-up a quarter-final clash with Manchester United and they won that 1-0 before they upstaged Tottenham 4-2 in an epic FA Cup Semi-Final.

Arsenal were not particularly convincing against Preston North End in the Third Round, but they were dominant against Southampton before they beat non-league side Sutton United in the Fifth Round.

Arsenal dispatched another non-league side Lincoln City in the Quarter-Finals and an Alexis Sanchez goal in extra-time against Manchester City sent them to Wembley for a tilt at another FA Cup Final.

Recent Meetings

Chelsea and Arsenal met in the English Premier League on two occasions this season.

Arsenal were outstanding against Chelsea when they won 3-0 in their first meeting this season, but that game proved to be the turning point for Chelsea and they lost only a couple more games.

They played again at Stamford Bridge in February and Chelsea cruised to a 3-1 victory, with the only Arsenal goal coming in injury time.

Chelsea have had a clear upper hand over Arsenal in recent memory and the Gunners have won just one of their past 12 games against their rivals.

Betting Statistics

Chelsea not only won the English Premier League title, but they were one of the best betting sides in the League.

They were a profitable betting play across every metric and they proved particularly tough to beat as favourites – finishing the season with a very healthy 29.3 percent profit.

This was certainly not the case for Arsenal and they ended up as a narrow losing betting proposition in the English Premier League this season.

Their record as home favourites was strong, but they did not win many games whatsoever as underdogs – although they did finish the season with a wet sail.

Analysis

Chelsea have been the dominant team in the English Premier League all season long and they should really prove too strong for Arsenal.

Arsenal will go into the 2017 FA Cup Final without key defender Laurent Koscielny and they have been badly exposed when he is not in their side this season.

It really would not surprise if this ended up being something of a rout and Chelsea are an excellent bet to record a comfortable victory.

Back Chelsea To Beat The Line (-1 Goal)


2016

The FA Cup may have lost its lustre somewhat in recent years, but the FA Cup Final remains one of the most anticipated events on the international sporting calendar.

It is always interesting when we have a David vs Goliath like showdown in the FA Cup Final and even though both Manchester United and Crystal Palace are both English Premier League sides, there is very little doubt that most experts believe that the final is Manchester United’s to lose.

Can Manchester United win the FA Cup for a record-equally 12th time or can Crystal Palace score an upset win and lift the trophy for the first time?

Manchester United Vs Crystal Palace

Sunday 22 May, 2:30am, Wembley Stadium

Crystal Palace 1 – Manchester United 2

How They Got There

Manchester United required an injury time penalty to beat Sheffield United in the 3rd round before they scored comfortable victories over Derby County and Shrewsbury Town.

They required a replay to get past West Ham in the sixth round and they waited until the last possible moment before they scored the winner against Everton in the semi-finals.

Crystal Palace scored upset wins over Southampton, Stoke City and Tottenham Hotspur to set up a sixth round clash with Championship side Reading, which they won in fairly comfortable fashion.

Their semi-final with Watford was hotly contested, but a second half goal from Connor Wickham was enough to secure them a second ever FA Cup Final.

Recent Meetings

Crystal Palace and Manchester United met in the English Premier League on two occasions this season.

Manchester United recorded a comfortable 2-0 victory over Crystal Palace when the two sides played at Old Trafford less than two months ago, but they played out a scoreless draw when they met earlier in the season.

The Red Devils have dominated Crystal Palace since the London-based club returned to the English Premier League and they won the four previous meetings played between the two sides.

Crystal Palace have only qualified for the one previous FA Cup Final, but in that fixture they played Manchester United and were able to force a replay following a 3-3 draw, but Manchester United claimed the Cup with a 1-0 victory.

Betting Statistics

Manchester United were a disappointing betting side throughout the English Premier League season and they finished their campaign with just 16 wins from their 33 fixtures as favourites for a sizeable loss.

However, they did improve in the second half of the season and backing Manchester United in the past 18 games of their campaign would have seen you walk away with a handy profit.

Crystal Palace did not win when they were expected to during the English Premier League, but they were a very profitable betting team as underdogs and they finished with a record of 6-6-5 in games as underdogs away from their home ground.

However, the majority of their big upset wins came in the first half of the season and they did fall in a hole at times during the season.

Analysis

I expect this to be a fairly dour contest as neither team will be key to keen to take many chances and Louis Van Gaal gets particularly defensive on the big occasion.

Manchester United are clearly favourites and they do look like a decent bet at their current quote of $1.75, but I am keen to add some value to that bet by taking advantage of the $2.50 that is on offer for Manchester United to win to nil.

Crystal Palace has scored in just one of their past six games against Manchester United and I don’t expect that to change this weekend.

Recommended Bet: Manchester United To Win To Nil @ $2.50