It’s a slam dunk round of NBL action this weekend with a pair of top three clashes to look forward to.
Friday night’s game between the Wildcats and Kings from Perth holds huge ladder implications, while the same can also be said for Sunday’s game between the Phoenix and Wildcats from Melbourne.
Just like last week, there’s tremendous value on offer straight-up in our head-to-head markets, so be sure to read our complete 2019 NBL Round 10 Preview below for some winners!
New Zealand Breakers
Friday, December 6, 7:30pm, Cairns Convention Centre
Sixth plays eighth on Friday night in a game that could turn out to be surprisingly entertaining.
The Taipans and the Breakers both bounced-back last week from disappointing losses in Round 9.
Cairns pulled off a hard-fought seven-point victory over the red-hot Melbourne United at home, while New Zealand handed the Hawks a double-digit loss in Auckland.
Now at 5-7, the Taipans have been favoured by 4.5-points in the early market, largely due to their tidy 4-2 record at home.
The Breakers last won in Cairns this time last year, handing the Taipans an 11-point loss in one of their few wins away from home. Unfortunately for the Kiwis though, it’s difficult to find any faith in their 0-5 record on the road this year.
The Taipans have won back-to-back games once already this year, while you have to rewind all the way back to last November to find New Zealand’s most recent winning streak.
With that in mind, it’s worth taking the Taipans to control this game for the entirety.
Tip: Half-Time/Full-Time: Taipans/Taipans @ $1.96
Friday, December 6, 9:30pm, RAC Arena
It’s another top of the table clash this week as the Kings and the Wildcats square off with plenty on the line.
Sydney improved to 11-1 last week with a very convincing 10-point win over Melbourne. The Kings were untroubled for most of the game as they jumped out to an early lead, aided by Casper Ware’s handy 27-point performance.
The Wildcats, meanwhile, were on the opposite end losing by double-digits to the 36ers. Perth now finds itself in the midst of a two-game losing streak – their first since last December.
These two teams have played both some absolute classics and some absolute fizzers in recent memory.
Last month’s meeting resulted in a 104-85 win to the Kings, while the Wildcats pulled off a memorable overtime win over Sydney back in February.
Three of the last five games between these two teams have been decided by nine points or less, and while it’s difficult to argue with Sydney’s impressive record, it’s also worth factoring in how dominant the Wildcats have been at home in recent times.
Last time Perth opened as the home underdog against the Kings they won, so at their current price, it’s worth taking the value on the Wildcats to bounce-back.
Tip: Back the Wildcats to Win @ $2.10
Saturday, December 7, 5:30pm, Melbourne Arena
United came crashing back down to earth last week as they lost a pair of games to Cairns and Sydney.
Things were much peachier for the 36ers however, as Adelaide pulled off a pair of blowout wins over New Zealand and Perth.
Melbourne now returns home after a very tough road trip hoping to turn things around. Prior to last week’s hiccup United had won six straight games, which the bookmakers have obviously factored in considering Melbourne has opened as 4.5-point favourites.
The 36ers have been a very frustrating play this year as they continue to lose games they should be winning.
Ultimately, Adelaide’s 3-4 record on the road this season isn’t the only worrying sign. The 36ers have also lost three straight games to Melbourne and are 5-15 as the away underdog straight-up.
Tip: Back Melbourne to Cover the Line (-4.5 Points) @ $1.90
Saturday, December 7, 8pm, Queensland State Netball Centre
It’s been a difficult start to the season for both these sides as wins prove hard to come by.
Brisbane failed to show up last week at home against the Phoenix losing by 15-points. The loss leaves the Bullets sitting third-last on the ladder at 5-7, followed closely by the Hawks at 3-9.
The highs of Illawarra’s overtime win over Cairns a fortnight ago were shortlived as the Hawks also lost in blowout fashion to the Breakers last week. Winning on the road in Auckland was always going to be tough, but it was disappointing to see the Hawks put up only 79-points.
A sellout crowd is expected at Nissan Arena on Saturday night as Brisbane fans lineup to get a glimpse at LaMelo Ball. The Bullets have also won five straight games over Illawarra, leaving the home side as heavy favourites.
While the Hawks have been a tough watch for most of the season, it’s still worth backing Illawarra to keep this game close.
For all their problems, the Hawks have quietly been the second-best rebounding side in the competition – which has been a real area of concern for the Bullets in recent weeks.
The Hawks are also 3-2 as the road underdog at the line against Brisbane, so prepare yourself for a potential classic.
Tip: Back the Hawks to Cover the Line (+5.5 Points) @ $1.90
S.E. Melbourne Phoenix
Sunday, December 8, 3pm, Melbourne Arena
The Phoenix will be looking to build on last week’s 15-point win over the Bullets as they still find themselves within striking distance of the second-place Wildcats.
We’ll know a lot more about this game following Perth’s Friday night clash against the Kings, but if one thing is for sure, this is the type of round that could make or break the Wildcats’ season.
These two sides have met once already this year back in October, a game Perth dominated in a 110-79 victory. Things have changed a little since then though, as the Wildcats haven’t put up 100-points against an opponent since.
Winning back-to-back games has proven tough for the Phoenix in their debut season but considering how much of a challenge the short turnaround from Perth to Melbourne will be for the Wildcats, it’s worth backing the home side at a decent price.
Tip: Back the Phoenix to Win @ $1.77
Sunday, December 8, 5pm, Qudos Bank Arena
It’s safe to say the Kings have enjoyed playing the Taipans over the last two seasons.
You have to rewind all the way back to December 2017 to find the last time Cairns defeated Sydney – a streak that includes seven straight wins for the Kings.
As the odds suggest, this game should be no trouble for the ladder leaders as they return home on Sunday. The Kings have won eight of their last 12 home games as favourites against the Taipans, but there’s nothing stopping Cairns from at least keeping this one competitive.
Despite their struggles against Sydney, the Taipans have been a strong betting play as the road underdog against the line. Cairns has covered in five of their nine games in this scenario against the Kings, while it’s also worth keeping in mind Sydney enters this game fresh from a trip to Perth.
Tip: Back the Taipans to Cover the Line (+7.5 Points) @ $1.90
New Zealand Breakers
Monday, December 9, 5:30pm, Spark Arena
This shapes up as a very important game in terms of the ladder.
Should the Breakers win on Friday and the Bullets lose on Saturday, the Bullets could potentially fall below the Breakers into the second-last spot in the standings.
This is by far the biggest weekend of the Bullets’ season as they travel across the ditch on very short rest. The Breakers will make a similar trip from Cairns, but the extra day could prove the difference for the home side.
The head-to-head market is where it’s at if you’re looking to end the weekend with some value.
New Zealand owns a 4-1 record as the head-to-head home favourite against Brisbane, so unless something dramatic happens earlier in the round, take the Breakers to improve on their 3-3 home record.
Tip: Back the Breakers to Win @ $1.70
Round 10 is jam packed with action this week as the NBL season continues to provide plenty of storylines and upsets.
The gap between first and second is shrinking fast, and there’s plenty of reasons to believe in the Sydney Kings and their four-game winning streak.
We’ve broken down all the stats and match ups you need to know, and are confident we’ve found some winners in our complete 2018/19 NBL Round 10 Preview below.
Thursday December 20, 7:50pm, Cairns Convention Centre
The 9-4 Kings are slowly closing the gap on Perth atop the table thanks to a narrow one-point win over the Wildcats last Friday night.
Sydney are now riding a four-game winning streak and show no signs of slowing down as they look destined to reach the Finals.
This week they’ll face a Cairns side desperate for a win after being blown out by the Breakers last weekend, but there’s no reprieve in sight for the Taipans even with home court advantage on Thursday.
The Kings have enjoyed the better part of recent history winning four of their last five meetings with Cairns. These two sides needed overtime to settle the score earlier in October, however it was Sydney prevailing comfortably by eight-points.
On the road Sydney are 6-3 over the last 12 months, while their 8-7 road record against Cairns is a little less than encouraging.
Still, Cairns have shown no signs of promise at all this season, making it tough to envision their 11-game losing streak coming to an end against the top shooting side in the league.
Tip: Back the Kings to Cover the Line (-4.5 Points) @ $1.85
New Zealand Breakers
Friday December 21, 5:20pm, Claudelands Arena
For the first time in a long time the Breakers walked away winners after defeating Cairns by 11-points on the road last week.
Things weren’t quite so peachy for the Hawks though, as Illawarra fell by as many as 15-points to the Kings in a devastating home loss.
It’s unlikely either of these sides can make much noise as far as the playoffs are concerned, however this weekend’s game could hold some ladder implications for the winner.
A Hawks win could potentially see them move above Adelaide for the fifth spot on the ladder, while a Breakers win would keep them within striking distance of Illawarra just one spot behind.
These two teams haven’t met since February, a game the Hawks won by as little as two-points. Illawarra have won six of their last 10-games against New Zealand, but with a less than impressive road record, the Breakers get the nod in another nail-biter.
Tip: Back the Breakers To Win 1-10 @ $2.50
Friday December 21, 7:50pm, Brisbane Convention Centre
It’s been an up and down year for the fourth placed Bullets – capped off last week with a loss to the 36ers at home.
Up until recently it’s been all smooth sailing for the Wildcats atop the NBL ladder, but back-to-back losses has suddenly opened the door for the second-place Kings to pounce.
Perth were horrible on Monday night against Melbourne losing by 17-points as United dominated from three-point range. Suddenly there’s a little doubt on the once championship favourites, but you don’t have to rewind very far to find Perth’s last meeting with Brisbane.
The Wildcats defeated the Bullets by three-points at home back in November, earning them their third victory out of their last five meetings. Perth enter as the rightful favourites for this clash, and as their 7-4 record against Brisbane suggests, they should bounce back strongly.
Tip: Back the Wildcats to Cover The Line (-2.5 Points) @ $1.90
Saturday December 22, 7:50pm, Titanium Security Arena
Adelaide held on for a memorable 10-point win over the Bullets last week to keep themselves in the thick of the playoff race.
The victory snapped a two-game skid, but more importantly kept the 36ers within reach of the Top 4.
Cairns have a lot less to celebrate this season having lost their 12th straight game last weekend. They’ll back up in this one following Thursday’s tough encounter with the Kings, part of the reason for the wide odds on offer.
As the underdog the Taipans are 9-10 against Adelaide, while the 36ers are 11-5 as the home favourites.
Tip: Back the 36ers to Cover The Line (-5.5 Points) @ $1.90
Sunday December 23, 2:50pm, Quodos Bank Arena
The Kings have the hot hand at the minute riding a four game winning streak.
Last weekend’s success over Perth and Illawarra has them eyeing off the top spot on the ladder, and if they can somehow pull out a home a win over Melbourne this week, Sydney might be one step closer.
United themselves have shown some strong form though, particularly last week defeating the Wildcats by 17-points. These two sides have met twice already this year, with Melbourne grabbing both victories in close fashion.
It’s no surprise to see Melbourne at the wider price this week. United are 7-3 as the away underdog vs. Sydney however, which makes them a nice upset pick this round.
Tip: Back Melbourne To Win @ $2.35
Sunday December 23, 5:20pm, WIN Entertainment Centre
Illawarra looked up and about prior to last week’s 83-68 loss to the Kings.
It was a disappointing result after winning three straight games in the weeks prior, but this weekends match up against Perth is a chance to prove themselves against the league’s top team.
The Hawks have won just three of their last 12 games against the Wildcats dating back to 2016. It should come as no surprise to see Illawarra as the underdog this week, and with a poor 6-22 record at the longer odds against Perth, you simply can’t back them.
Tip: Back the Wildcats 11+ @ $3.50
There are only five games in the NBL this weekend, but there is plenty of quality among them.
The action gets underway on Thursday Night with the Sunshine Stoush between the Cairns Taipans and the Brisbane Bullets and concludes on Sunday when the Taipans will be in action again against the Sydney Kings.
We have analysed every game set to take place in the NBL this weekend and our complete 2017 NBL Round 10 tips below.
Thursday December 14, 7:30pm, Cairns Convention Centre
The Cairns Taipans have won two games on the trot and they will go into this clash with the Brisbane Bullets as narrow favourites.
Cairns’ recent form in front of their home fans has been nothing short of outstanding and they have won nine of their past 12 games as home favourites, while they are 7-5 against the line in this scenario.
The Bullets finally recorded a win away from home when they bear the Sydney Kings last weekend, but they are still a tough side to trust on the road.
They have won only one of their past 12 games as away underdogs and they are 3-2-7 against the line in this scenario.
This is a game that Cairns should win comfortably and the line of 3.5 points will not be enough.
Back Cairns To Beat The Line (-3.5 Points)
New Zealand Breakers
Friday December 15, 5:30pm, Spark Arena
It has been a tough fortnight for the New Zealand Breakers, but they will still start this clash as favourites.
The Breakers have lost three of their past four games, but they remain tough to beat on the road – they have won eight of their past 12 games as home favourites and they have been a profitable play against the line in this scenario.
The Adelaide 36ers beat New Zealand last weekend, but beating the Breakers in New Zealand is a much tougher assignment.
They have won five of their past ten games as away underdogs for a profit, but their record against the line is no better.
New Zealand need to win this game to get their season back on track and they can do exactly that.
Back New Zealand To Beat The Line (-4.5 Points)
Saturday December 16, 5:30pm, Perth Arena
This is a huge ask for the Brisbane Bullets, who must make the long trip to Perth after playing in Cairns on Thursday.
The Perth Wildcats have won five games on the trot and it should come as no surprise that they are the shortest-priced favourites in the NBL this weekend.
Perth have won 13 of their past 15 games as home favourites and they are an even more impressive 12-3 against the line in this scenario.
Brisbane’s struggle to win on the road is no secret and they have lost their past four games against Perth.
The line is a big 10.5 points, but Perth should really have no issues recording a dominant win.
Back Perth To Beat The Line (-10.5 Points)
Saturday December 16, 7:30pm, WIN Entertainment Centre
There is very little between these two sides in betting.
The Illawarra Hawks have lost three games on the trot, but they will still go into this clash as narrow favourites.
Illawarra have won only six of their past ten games as home favourites and they are 4-6 against the line in this scenario.
Winning away from home continues to be an issue for Melbourne United.
They have won only one of their past six games as away underdogs and they are 2-4 against the line in this situation.
Both these teams are tough to trust from a betting standpoint and this is a contest that I will be staying out of.
Sunday December 17, 5:30pm, Vector Arena
It has been a very tough season for the Sydney Kings to date, but they will still go into this clash with the Cairns Taipans as clear favourites.
Sydney’s season hit a new low with a pair of losses last weekend and they are impossible to back with any real confidence.
The Kings have won only four of their past 11 games as home favourites for a clear loss and their record against the line is even worse.
The issue for punters is that Cairns are a very tough team to trust on the road.
They have won only three of their past 12 games away from home and their record against the line is no better.
This is another game that I am more than happy to stay out of.
It is another big weekend in the NBL with a host of games spread from Thursday to Monday.
The action gets underway when the New Zealand Breakers host the Brisbane Bullets on Thursday before double-headers on both Friday and Saturday.
The Sydney Kings take on Melbourne United in the Sunday afternoon fixture and Cairns face the Adelaide 36ers on Monday night.
Every single one of these games presents good value from a betting perspective and you can find our thoughts for every single game below.
New Zealand Breakers
Thursday December 8, 5:30pm, Vector Arena
New Zealand Breakers 82 - Brisbane Bullets 75
The New Zealand Breakers have lost four games on the trot, but they will still go into this clash with the Brisbane Bullets as clear favourites.
New Zealand have now won only nine of their past 15 games as home favourites for a clear loss, while they are a poor 6-9 against the line in this scenario.
The Brisbane Bullets produced arguably their best performance of the season to date against the Perth Wildcats, but they were very poor two days later against the Cairns Taipans.
They have now won four of their past seven games as away underdogs and they have now proven that they are capable of mixing it with the very best teams in the competition.
Brisbane have proven to be a strong betting option as underdogs this season and they are one of the best value bets this weekend.
Back Brisbane To Win @ $2.10
Friday December 9, 7:30pm, Cairns Convention Centre
Cairns Taipans 78 - Sydney Kings 86
The market has had a tough job separating these two teams, but it is the Sydney Kings that look set to start as narrow favourites.
Sydney have been very inconsistent over the past few weeks and they have now won just one of their past four games as away favourites.
Cairns produced their best performance of the season to date to beat the Brisbane Bullets last Saturday and they have now won two games on the trot.
The Taipans have won four of their past five as away underdogs for a clear profit and they are extremely difficult to beat in front of their home fans.
Cairns are always a good betting option at home and should be able to get the job done.
Back Cairns To Win @ $1.92
Friday December 9, 9:30pm, Perth Arena
Perth Wildcats 92 - Melbourne United 89
This is another game in which there is very little between the two teams.
The Perth Wildcats have now lost four games on the trot – including two in front of their home fans – and desperately need to beat Melbourne United to get their season back on track.
Perth still have an outstanding record at home in the past 12 months – they have 15 of their past 19 games at Perth Arena.
Melbourne United made it three wins on the trot with their dominant performance against the New Zealand Breakers and they have finally found form following their slow start to the season.
They have still only won five of their past 13 games away from home for a clear loss and they have generally under performed market expectations in this scenario.
Perth should be able to return to winning form in front of their home fans and are definite value at their current price.
Back Perth To Win @ $1.87
New Zealand Breakers
Saturday December 10, 5:30pm, Titanium Security Arena
Adelaide 36ers 102 - New Zealand Breakers 92
The New Zealand Breakers will be on the quick back-up following their clash with the Brisbane Bullets on Thursday and it is Adelaide that will start this clash as clear favourites.
Adelaide made it three wins on the trot with their overtime victory over the Perth Wildcats and they have now won seven of their past nine games as home favourites, while they are 6-3 against the line in this scenario.
New Zealand are often underrated away from home, but after a couple of poor performances they are now 5-9 as away underdogs and 6-1-7 against the line in this scenario.
Adelaide should be able to get the job done comfortably and they are an excellent bet to cover the line of 2.5 points.
Adelaide To Beat The Line (-2.5 Points)
Saturday December 10, 7:30pm, Brisbane Convention Centre
Brisbane Bullets 88 - Illawarra Hawks 98
The Brisbane Bullets are on the quick back-up and they struggled in this position last weekend.
They will still start this clash as clear favourites and will be desperate to return to winning form in front of their own fans after losing two home games on the trot.
The Bullets have won only two of their past five games as home favourites and their record against the line is identical.
Illawarra have flown under the radar this season, but continue to play some solid basketball.
Winning as away underdogs has proven to be an issue – they have won only four of their past 14 games in this scenario, while they are 5-9 against the line.
These two teams are both tough to back in this scenario and I am happy to stay out of this game from a betting perspective.
Sunday December 11, 3:00pm, Qudos Bank Arena
Sydney Kings 81 - Melbourne United 88
This will be the third meeting between these two teams in less than a month.
They have split victories to date, but it is the Sydney Kings that will start this clash as clear favourites.
Sydney have now won six of their past eight games as home favourites for a clear profit and they are 5-3 against the line in this scenario.
Melbourne United have improved their record away from home in recent weeks and they have now won three of their past eight games as away underdogs, while they have the same record against the spread.
Sydney continue to be a winning bet in front of their home fans and the line of 2.5 points should not be enough.
Back Sydney To Beat The Line (-2.5 Points)
Monday December 12, 7:30pm, Cairns Convention Centre
Cairns Taipans 83 - Adelaide 36ers 96
Adelaide beat Cairns comfortably when they met earlier this season, but it is Cairns that will start this clash as clear favourites.
We have already discussed Cairns’ impressive record in front of their home fans, but it must be noted that the Adelaide 36ers have won five of their past 12 games as away underdogs for a big profit.
In saying that, they will be on the quick back-up after playing New Zealand on Saturday night and it is Cairns that should be able to improve their impressive record at home.
Back Cairns To Beat The Line (-3.5 Points)