2017/2018 NBL Round 19 Preview

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The final round of the NBL season is here and we are treated to an extended round of action.

Melbourne United have secured the minor premiership, but the battle between the Adelaide 36ers, Perth Wildcats and New Zealand Breakers for second is still on in earnest.

We have analysed every game set to take place this weekend and our complete 2018 NBL Round 19 tips can be found below.

Brisbane Bullets Vs Sydney Kings

Thursday February 15, 7:30pm, Brisbane Entertainment Centre

This clash between the Brisbane Bullets and the Sydney Kings will likely decided who finishes the season with the wooden spoon.

Sydney recorded a comfortable win over Brisbane when they met on Sunday, but Brisbane will still go into this clash as narrow favourites.

The Bullets have won only two of their past six games as home favourites and they have lost three of their past four games against Sydney.

Sydney have won four of their past five games and have played some excellent basketball in the process.

Backing the Kings as away underdogs has now actually been a profitable betting play this season and there really is plenty to like about them in this clash.

Back Sydney To Win @ $2

New Zealand Breakers Vs Illawarra Hawks

Friday February 16, 5:30pm, North Shore Events Centre

The New Zealand Breakers need to win this clash to keep alive their chances of a top two finish and they are favourites to do exactly that.

New Zealand lost both their games to Melbourne United last weekend and they have been very inconsistent in recent weeks.

They have won eight of their past 12 games as home favourites, but they are now 5-2-5 against the line in this scenario.

The Illawarra Hawks have won only one of their past eight games and they have been nothing short of woeful in the second half of the season.

Illawarra have won only four of their past 14 games as away underdogs and they are 6-8 against the line in this situation.

This is a game that the market looks to have just about right and I am happy to stay out from a betting perspective.

No Bet

Melbourne United Vs Perth Wildcats

Friday February 16, 7:30pm, Hisense Arena

This could be a preview of the NBL Grand Final Series.

Melbourne United continue on their winning ways with two big victories over New Zealand Breakers and they are now the team to beat for the NBL Championship.

Melbourne have won ten of their past 12 games as home favourites for a profit and they are an impressive 7-1-4 against the line in this situation.

The Perth Wildcats suffered a pair of disappointing defeats against the Adelaide 36ers and Cairns Taipans last weekend and need to win this clash to build some confidence heading into the NBL Finals.

Perth have won four of their past six games as away underdogs for a clear profit and they have won five of their past six games against Melbourne United.

The Wildcats are a better side than they have shown in recent weeks and they are capable of recording an upset win.

Back Perth To Win @ $2.60

Adelaide 36ers Vs Brisbane Bullets

Saturday February 17, 5:30pm, Titanium Security Arena

The Adelaide 36ers will start this clash with the Brisbane Bullets as dominant favourites.

Adelaide have won nine of their past 11 games and their record at home has been excellent – they have won eight of their past 11 games as home favourites and they are 7-4 against the line in this scenario.

Winning away from home has been a big problem for Brisbane – they have won only three of their past 13 games on the road, but they are 7-2-4 against the line in this situation.

Adelaide really should be able to win this clash comfortably, but there is no value at their current price.

No Bet

Melbourne United Vs Illawarra Hawks

Sunday February 18, 3:00pm, Hisense Arena

This will be the second game for both these sides this season.

Melbourne United will start this clash as clear favourites and they will be extremely hard to beat – as shown above their record at home is outstanding.

The Illawarra Hawks have lost their past four games against Melbourne United and they have been extremely poor over the past month.

Melbourne will win this game comfortably and the line of 7.5 points will not be enough.

Back Melbourne United To Beat The Line (-7.5 Points)

Sydney Kings Vs New Zealand Breakers

Sunday February 18, 5:00pm, Qudos Bank Arena

The Sydney Kings will start this clash as favourites and a win could potentially see them avoid the wooden spoon.

Sydney have won four of their past seven games as home favourites for a loss, but they have been able to cover the line in each of these wins.

The New Zealand Breakers have won their past three games against Sydney and winning away from home has not been an issue this season.

New Zealand have won five of their past 11 games as away underdogs for a clear profit and on their best form they really should prove too strong for the Kings.

The $2.10 for a Breakers win is well and truly over the odds and one of the best value bets of the weekend.

Back New Zealand Breakers To Win @ $2.10

Perth Wildcats Vs Cairns Taipans

Sunday February 18, 7:00pm, Perth Arena

The Cairns Taipans scored a massive upset win over the Perth Wildcats last weekend, but it is Perth that will start this clash as favourites.

Perth’s loss to Cairns was a rare home defeat and they have still won 11 of their past 16 games as home favourites, while covering the line in each of these wins.

Cairns have won only two of their past seven games and winning away from home has been an issue.

The Taipans have won only three of their past 14 games as away underdogs and their record against the line is no better.

I would be stunned if the Taipans can record another upset win and the Wildcats should be far too good for their rivals.

Back Perth Wildcats To Beat The Line (-8.5 Points)


This is the final round of the NBL season and three of the positions in the NBL Finals are still up for grabs.

The Adelaide 36ers and Cairns Taipans will do battle on two occasions this weekend, while the Perth Wildcats and Melbourne United will both be in action twice.

Brisbane’s return to the NBL have been a rollercoaster journey and they finish their season with a clash with the Illawarra Hawks on Saturday, while New Zealand take on Melbourne United in what is likely .

There is still money to be made in the NBL this season and our thoughts on every single game are below.

Cairns Taipans Vs Adelaide 36ers

Thursday February 9, 7:30pm, Cairns Convention Centre

This is a massive game for the Cairns Taipans, who have a genuine chance of qualifying for the NBL Finals.

The market can’t split these two teams and it is easy to see why.

Cairns have an excellent record in front of their home fans and have won nine of their past 13 games at the Cairns Convention Centre, while Adelaide have won eight of their past 15 away games for a big profit.

Adelaide have won three of the past four games played between these two sides and two of those victories have come on the road.

The 36ers continue to be the best team in the NBL and I am happy to throw my support behind them once again.

Back Adelaide To Win @ $1.87

New Zealand Breakers Vs Melbourne United

Friday February 10, 5:30pm, North Shore Events Centre

This is a vital game for Melbourne United, but it is the New Zealand Breakers that will go into this clash as narrow favourites.

New Zealand scored a thrilling victory over Adelaide last weekend and they are always tough to beat in front of their home fans – they have won 10 of their past 15 games as home favourites and are 9-6 against the line in this scenario.

Melbourne United have really struggled away from home this season and they have won just two of their past seven games as away underdogs.

New Zealand should be able to get the job done comfortably and the line of 2.5 points will not be enough.

Back New Zealand To Beat The Line (-2.5 Points)

Perth Wildcats Vs Sydney Kings

Friday February 10, 9:30pm, Perth Arena

This is a must-win game for both sides.

It has been decades since the Perth Wildcats last missed the NBL Playoffs and the market suggests that they will qualify for the post-season once again.

Perth have now won 12 of their past 16 games as home favourites for a narrow profit and they have also been profitable against the line in this scenario.

Sydney need to win this game and hope that other results go their way to have a chance of playing in the NBL Finals.

The Kings have actually won four of their past eight games as away underdogs for a narrow profit and they are 5-3 against the line in this situation.

This is a match that the market looks to have got just about right and I am happy to stay out from a betting perspective.

No Bet

 

Ilawarra Hawks Vs Brisbane Bullets

Saturday February 11, 5:30pm, Win Entertainment Centre

The Illawarra Hawks are the shortest-priced favourites of the week and they can secure a place in the NBL Finals with a victory.

The Hawks have actually been a losing betting proposition as home favourites this season and they have won only seven of their past 12 games as home favourites for a loss, while they are 5-7 against the line in this scenario.

Brisbane have fallen away badly at the conclusion of the NBL season and they have now won just one of their past eight games.

The Bullets have won four of their past 13 games as away underdogs for a clear loss and they are 5-8 against the line in this scenario.

This is another clash that I am happy to stay out of betting wise.

No Bet

Adelaide 36ers Vs Cairns Taipans

Saturday February 11, 7:30pm, Titanium Security Arena

This will be the second meeting between these two teams in four days.

The home court advantage definitely gives the Adelaide 36ers the clear edge.

Adelaide have won eight of their past 10 games as home favourites for a clear profit and their record against the line is just as good.

Winning away from home has been easier said than done for Cairns and they have won only four of their past 12 games as away underdogs, while they are 5-7 against the line in this situation.

Adelaide are deserving of their position as clear favourites and they should prove far too strong for their rivals.

Back Adelaide To Beat The Line (-4.5 Points)

Melbourne United Vs Perth Wildcats

Sunday February 12, 3:00pm, Hisense Arena

This could prove to be a sudden death showdown for these two teams.

Perth have had the clear edge over Melbourne United this season, but it is Melbourne that will go into this clash as clear favourites.

Melbourne have won nine of their past 14 games as home favourites for a narrow loss, but their record against the line in this scenario is excellent.

Perth have struggled to win games away from home this season, but they have still manage to outperform market expectations and have been a profitable betting team against the line.

This really is an intriguing fixture that could go either way and I am keen to back Perth with the 2.5 point headstart.

Back Perth To Beat The Line (+2.5 Points)