Round 2 of the NBL gets underway on Friday with a classic Queensland derby between the Bullets and the Taipans.
It was a rough go for bettors last week as South East Melbourne and Brisbane pulled off a pair of huge road upsets, but with a thrilling five game slate to choose from this time around, we’re confident we’ve found some winners in our 2019 NBL Round 2 Preview below.
Friday October 11, 7:30pm, Queensland State Netball Centre
A nine-point win over the Hawks last week in Sydney has the Bullets’ 2019 season off on the right foot ahead of Round 2.
The Taipans lost by eight-points to the Kings at home last week in a tightly contested game, but defence ultimately cost Cairns after allowing Sydney to shoot 42% from the field.
Brisbane lost by double-digits to the Taipans back in February, and although the odds are well in favour of the hosts, Cairns has surprisingly won four of their last five games over the Bullets.
Cairns did a lot wrong defensively last week, but they still have plenty to feel good about on attack. The Taipans shot 34% from the beyond the arc against the Kings and also won the battle on the boards.
Brisbane also looked competent offensively, but it’s doubtful the Bullets will see a 25-point performance from Lamar Patterson each week. The Taipans are 8-6 as the line underdog dating back to last season, so back Cairns to keep this one close.
Tip: Back the Taipans to Cover the Line (+6.5 Points) @ $1.90
Friday October 11, 9:30pm, RAC Arena
Perth picked up where they left off in Round 1 handing Melbourne a one-point loss at home. Bryce Cotton was enormous finishing with 21-points, five rebounds and four assists, leaving the Wildcats as the heavy favourites to remain undefeated on Friday.
The Hawks, meanwhile, caught everyone’s eye last week in Lamelo Ball’s debut. The highly touted NBA draft prospect finished with 12-points, eight rebounds and four assists, but unfortuanately, that still wasn’t enough to stop Illawarra from falling to the Bullets by nine.
The Wildcats won their most recent meeting by a whopping 14-points over the Hawks back in February, and it’s hard to see this one turning out any different.
Perth were outstanding from the field last week against United shooting 50% from mid-range and 37% from three, which spells disaster against a Hawks team that gave up similar numbers to the Bullets last week.
Tip: Back Perth to Cover the Line (-6.5 Points) @ $1.95
Saturday October 12, 5:30pm, QUDOS Bank Arena
The 36ers kick off their 2019 season on the road this week as they travel to Sydney to face a very dangerous looking Kings side.
Sydney polished off Cairns 79-71 last week on the road as Casper Ware went off for 23-points. The Kings will now be looking to move to 2-0 pm Saturday afternoon, but as their record against Adelaide suggests, Sydney might have their hands full.
Adelaide won big over the Kings in January piling on 119-points in their double-digit victory. The 36ers have won four of their last five games over Sydney, leaving the visitors looking a little over the odds at their current price.
We’ve already seen a handful of upsets so far, and although the Kings played well defensively last week, it’s hard to put too much stock into a win over the Taipans.
The 36ers finished 6-3 as the line underdog on the road last season, so back Adelaide to put up a fight.
Tip: Back Adelaide to Cover the Line (+6.5 Points) @ $1.85
South East Melbourne Phoenix
Sunday October 13, 3:00pm, Melbourne Arena
The Phoenix stunned everyone last week by winning their first-ever game on debut over Melbourne United.
Mitch Creek was the star for South East Melbourne tallying 28-points and a whopping 11 rebounds. The little man will be a real problem for opposing defences this season, as the Bullets are about to find out on Sunday.
It’s a big weekend of travel for Brisbane with just a days rest following Friday’s game against the Taipans. Since there’s almost even money on offer though, it’s still worth backing the Bullets’ experience to do the talking in the Phoenix’s first official home game.
Tip: Back the Bullets to Win @ $1.85
Monday October 14, 7:30pm, Titanium Security Arena
The Hawks and the Taipans wrap up Round 2 in what should be fascinating Monday night primetime game between two up-and-comers.
It’s a big weekend for Cairns with a pair of road games and not much rest in between, which explains the one-sided market in favour of the Hawks.
For those that haven’t been keeping count, the Hawks have won six straight games over the Taipans dating back to 2017. With that in mind, it’s worth backing Illawarra to control this game through its entirety against a notoriously poor road side.
Tip: Half-Time/Full-Time: Hawks/Hawks @ $1.75
Round 1 of the 2018/2019 NBL season was packed full of upsets and that makes for some very interesting games from a betting perspective this weekend.
The action gets underway with a rematch between the Adelaide 36ers and the Sydney Kings, while the weekend is highlighted by an NBL Triple Header on Sunday.
We have analysed all five games set to take place and our complete 2018/2019 NBL Round 2 tips can be found below.
Friday October 19, 7:50pm, Titanium Security Arena
It wasn’t the start to the new NBL season that the Sydney Kings wanted.
Andrew Bogut was fouled out and the Kings were beaten by the Adelaide 36ers as short-priced favourites.
Sydney will still go into this clash as favourites and I am very keen to take them on once again.
The 36ers have won 13 of their past 16 games at home and they have now won their past ten games against the Kings.
Betting against the Kings is set to be a profitable play this season and the 36ers are well and truly over the odds once again.
Back Adelaide To Win @ $2.25
Saturday October 20, 3:00pm, Perth Arena
The Perth Wildcats are easily the shortest-priced favourites in the NBL this weekend.
They started their season with a pair of wins over the Adelaide 36ers and the Illawarra Hawks and they could hardly have been more impressive in the first week of the season.
The Wildcats have won only seven of their past 13 games as home favourites, but they have covered the line in each of those wins.
The Brisbane Bullets started their season with an upset win over the New Zealand Breakers and it was poor shooting that cost them.
Brisbane were able to win in Perth last season and they were 8-2-4 against the line as away underdogs last season.
I don’t think that there is as much between these two sides as the current market suggests and the Bullets can cover the line with the big start.
Back Brisbane To Cover The Line (+8 Points)
New Zealand Breakers
Sunday October 21, 12:20pm, Spark Arena
The Sydney Kings are on the quick back-up after taking on the Adelaide 36ers on Friday night.
A trip to New Zealand for a clash with the Breakers is always tough, especially after you have already played that weekend.
New Zealand suffered a shock loss in their season opener against the Bullets, but they played some excellent basketball to beat Melbourne United.
The Breakers have won three of their past four games against the Kings and Sydney have not beaten their rivals in New Zealand since 2016.
Once again, I am happy to take on the Kings and the Breakers are great value at their current price.
Back New Zealand To Win @ $2.20
Sunday October 21, 2:50pm, Melbourne Arena
It has been a chaotic start to the season for Melbourne United.
They needed four periods of overtime to finally put away the Illawarra Hawks in their season opener and it is no surprise that they were a touch flat against the New Zealand Breakers on Sunday.
Melbourne will start this clash as clear favourites and home court advantage has proven vital in the rivalry between these teams – the home side has won their past seven meetings.
Melbourne have won 15 of their past 19 games as home favourites and they have been a profitable betting play against the line in this scenario.
Back Melbourne United To Cover The Line (-4.5 Points)
Sunday October 21, 5:30pm, Cairns Convention Centre
The Cairns Taipans started their season with an impressive win over the Brisbane Bullets and they will start this clash as dominant favourites.
Import Melo Trimble could hardly have made a better start to his NBL career and if he continues to fire, the Taipans could be genuine contenders this season.
Cairns have won five of their past eight games as home favourites and the home side has won 11 of the past 12 games played between these two sides.
Illawarra have won five of their past 11 games as away underdogs, but winning in Cairns has always been a problem.
Back Cairns To Cover The Line (-3.5 Points)
The 2017/2018 NBL season got underway with a genuine blockbuster between Melbourne United and the Adelaide 36ers and there was a host of excellent games spread right across the week.
The NBL got another boost when Melbourne United gave the Oklahoma City Thunder a serious scare in their pre-season clash and there is plenty of excitement surrounding the competition.
Our NBL tips got off to a winning start and we are confident that will continue throughout the season, so don’t miss our 2017/2018 NBL round two tips below.
Thursday October 12, 7:30pm, Cairns Convention Centre
Cairns Taipans 70 - Adelaide 36ers 96
The Cairns Taipans have made an excellent start to the NBL season and they will go into this clash with the Adelaide 36ers as clear favourites.
Cairns scored in the final second to beat the Illawarra Hawks in their season opener before they were far too good for the New Zealand Breakers.
The Taipans have won seven of their past 11 games as home favourites, but they are still only 5-6 against the line in this scenario.
Adelaide were unlucky not to start their season with a win over the Melbourne United and they got off the mark with a dominant performance against the Sydney Kings.
The 36ers were nothing short of outstanding on the road last season and they have won eight of their past 12 games as away underdogs for a huge profit.
This is a game that Adelaide are more than capable of winning and I am keen to back them with the insurance of 1.5 points start.
Back Adelaide To Beat The Line (+1.5 Points)
New Zealand Breakers
Friday October 13, 5:30pm, Spark Arena
New Zealand Breakers 87 - Sydney Kings 85
Both these sides started the NBL season with opening weekend losses.
The New Zealand Breakers may have the home-court advantage, but it is the Sydney Kings that will start this clash as favourites.
Sydney were no match for Adelaide in their season opener and they are a team that I am always keen to take on as away favourites – they have won only two of their past six games in this scenario for a clear loss.
New Zealand were handily beaten by Cairns in their first game of the season and this is the first time they will start a home game as underdogs for over 12 months.
The Breakers have won 12 of their past 14 games against Sydney in New Zealand and they are great value to maintain that dominance.
Back New Zealand To Win @ $2.15
Friday October 13, 9:30pm, Perth Arena
Perth Wildcats 74 - Illawarra Hawks 64
The Perth Wildcats are the shortest-priced favourites in the NBL this weekend and are expected to beat the Illawarra Hawks in this NBL Grand Final Series rematch.
Perth started the season with a comfortable victory over the Brisbane Bullets and they are clearly the team to beat in the NBL this season.
The Wildcats have won 11 of their past 15 games as home favourites and they are 8-7 against the line in this scenario.
Illawarra started their season with a heart-breaking loss against the Cairns Taipans and it doesn’t get any easier for them this weekend.
The Hawks have won only six of their past 18 games as away underdogs over the past 12 months, while they are 7-11 against the line in this scenario.
This is a game that Perth should win comfortably and they can cover the line of 5.5 points.
Back Perth To Beat The Line (-5.5 Points)
Saturday October 14, 5:30pm, Titanium Security Arena
Adelaide 76ers 79 - Melbourne United 99
Melbourne United return to Australia after giving the Oklahoma City Thunder a serious scare in their exhibition game on Monday morning.
Melbourne United beat Adelaide by a single point when these teams met in the NBL season opener and this will be their second meeting in just over a week.
It is once again Melbourne that will start this clash as favourites, but their win over Adelaide last week represents their only win as away favourites over the past 12 months.
Adelaide are on the quick back-up after playing Cairns last Thursday night and they are good value to turn-the-tables on their rivals.
They have won 10 of their past 16 games at home and they have also been a profitable betting play against the line in this scenario.
I am always happy to take on Melbourne and I will once again side with the 36ers.
Back Adelaide To Win @ $2.05
Sunday October 15, 3:00pm, Qudos Bank Arena
Sydney Kings 103 - Illawarra Hawks 87
The Sydney Kings will go into the final game of the weekend with the Illawarra Hawks as clear favourites.
Sydney weren’t overly impressive at home last season and following their loss against Adelaide, they have now won only six of their past 13 games as home favourites for a clear loss.
In saying that, Illawarra have generally struggled away from home over the past 12 months and they have been a losing betting proposition on the road.
This is a game that the market looks to have got just about right and I am more than happy to stay out of this clash from a betting perspective.
There are plenty of big games in round 2 of the 2016/2017 NBL season.
The action starts on Thursday night when the Illawarra Hawks host the Sydney Kings before the Perth Wildcats take on the New Zealand Breakers on Saturday in a rematch of the 2015/2016 NBL Grand Final Series.
The Brisbane Bullets are back in the NBL in a big way and the round concludes when they host the Adelaide 36ers on Sunday.
Thursday October 13, 7:30pm, Win Entertainment Centre
Illawarra Hawks 84 - Sydney Kings 88
The Illawarra Hawks started their NBL season with a massive victory over the Adelaide 36ers and they are favourites to win again this weekend.
The Hawks put up plenty of points against the 36ers and their record as home favourites indicates that they should have no problems winning again – they have won 11 of their past 13 games in this scenario and are 10-3 against the line.
Sydney left slip a golden opportunity to start their season with a win when they went down to the Brisbane Bullets at home on Saturday night and a lack of composure cost them at key moments.
The Kings have won just one of their past 14 games as away underdogs and they are 7-7 against the line in this scenario.
This is clearly Illawarra’s game to win and they are an extremely safe bet at their current price of $1.65.
Illawarra To Win @ $1.65
Friday October 14, 7:30pm, Titanium Security Arena
Adelaide 36ers 87 - Melbourne United 98
The pressure is well and truly on Melbourne United after they started the NBL season with back-to-back losses against both New Zealand and Adelaide.
Melbourne United will still start this game as favourites despite losing to their rivals on Sunday and it is tough to see why.
They have won just three of their past six games as away favourites and they are 2-4 against the line in this scenario.
Adelaide bounced back from a heavy loss against Illawarra to beat Melbourne on Sunday and they have the benefit of home-court advantage in this clash.
The 36ers have won nine of their past 12 games in front of their home fans and based on their most recent clash should have no problems accounting for their rivals.
Back Adelaide To Win @ $2
New Zealand Breakers
Friday October 14, 9:30pm, Perth Arena
Perth Wildcats 75 - New Zealand Breakers 73
It has not been a smooth start to the season for the Perth Wildcats, but they were eventually able to get the job done against Cairns in overtime to maintain their stellar record in front of their home fans.
It is no surprise that Perth will start this clash as clear favourites as they have won 17 of their past 19 games as home favourites, while they are 11-2-6 against the line in this situation.
New Zealand started their season with a polished performance against Melbourne United, but it always tough for the Breakers on the road in the NBL.
They have won just three of their past ten games as away underdogs, but they have been a profitable 5-1-4 against the line in this situation.
Perth are deserving favourites to win this clash and should get the job done, but there is no value at their current price and I am happy to stay out of this clash from a betting perspective.
Saturday October 15, 7:30pm, Qudos Bank Arena
Sydney Kings 92 - Cairns 78
This is almost a must-win clash for Sydney – especially if they are unable to get the job done against Illawarra on Thursday night.
Sydney are desperate to turn Qudos Bank Arena into a fortress, but they have won just three of their past six games as home favourites and they have an identical record against the line.
Cairns were gallant in defeat against Perth in their opening game of the season and they looked like an improved outfit this season.
The problem for the Taipans last season was their woeful record against the line – they have won just one of their past 12 games as away underdogs and they are 3-9 against the line in this scenario.
Neither of these sides represent any value at their current prices, but the over in total points betting markets is a value play.
The over has saluted in nine of the past 13 home games played by Sydney and Cairns have a similar record away from home.
Back The Over
Sunday October 16, 3:00pm, Hisense Arena
Melbourne United 95 - Illawarra Hawks 83
This is another game in which Melbourne United will start as clear favourites.
Melbourne United at least have the benefit of home-court advantage in this fixture, but they have won nine of their past 14 games in this scenario for a loss while they are 5-9 against the line.
Illawarra don’t have a particularly strong record away from home and they have won just three of their past 11 games for a clear loss, with a record against the line of just 4-7.
There really is no value at the current price of either of these teams in this fixture and I am more than happy to stay out of this game from a betting perspective.
Sunday October 16, 7:00pm, Brisbane Convention Centre
Brisbane Bullets 93 - Adelaide 36ers 96
The Brisbane Bullets could not have made a better start to their return to the NBL and they go into this clash with an unbeaten record.
Brisbane came from behind to record an impressive victory over Perth in the opening game of the season and they showed plenty of composure to get the job done against Sydney.
This is another test for Brisbane, but there has been plenty to like about the type of basketball they have played to date.
Adelaide do have a strong record on the road from a betting standpoint – at least in contrast to a number of other teams in the NBL – and they have won four of their past 13 games as away underdogs for a handy profit.
Their record against the line is not as impressive, but this is a roster packed full of talent and they are good value to upset their rivals on Sunday afternoon.
Back Adelaide To Win @ $2.50